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We consider the problem of estimating complex statistical latent variable models using variational Bayes methods. These methods are used when exact posterior inference is either infeasible or computationally expensive, and they approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 David Gunawan , David Nott , Robert Kohn

Bayesian Model Calibration is used to revisit the problem of scaling factor calibration for semi-empirical correction of ab initio calculations. A particular attention is devoted to uncertainty evaluation for scaling factors, and to their…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-01-12 Pascal Pernot

Despite major methodological developments, Bayesian inference for Gaussian graphical models remains challenging in high dimension due to the tremendous size of the model space. This article proposes a method to infer the marginal and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Sylvia Richardson

Estimation of a high dimensional precision matrix is a critical problem to many areas of statistics including Gaussian graphical models and inference on high dimensional data. Working under the structural assumption of sparsity, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-17 Adam B Kashlak

We propose a new approach to mixed-frequency regressions in a high-dimensional environment that resorts to Group Lasso penalization and Bayesian techniques for estimation and inference. In particular, to improve the prediction properties of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-12 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Adrian G. Wills , Johannes Hendriks , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

Missing data is a common problem in real-world sensor data collection. The performance of various approaches to impute data degrade rapidly in the extreme scenarios of low data sampling and noisy sampling, a case present in many real-world…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-21 Charul Paliwal , Pravesh Biyani , Ketan Rajawat

We develop a method to carry out MAP estimation for a class of Bayesian regression models in which coefficients are assigned with Gaussian-based spike and slab priors. The objective function in the corresponding optimization problem has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-26 Tso-Jung Yen

We consider the problem of estimating a variable number of parameters with a dynamic nature. A familiar example is finding the position of moving targets using sensor array observations. The problem is challenging in cases where either the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-03 Ashkan Panahi , Mats Viberg

We formulate, and present a numerical method for solving, an inverse problem for inferring parameters of a deterministic model from stochastic observational data (quantities of interest). The solution, given as a probability measure, is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 T. Butler , J. D. Jakeman , T. Wildey

Gaussian process priors are a popular choice for Bayesian analysis of regression problems. However, the implementation of these models can be complex, and ensuring that the implementation is correct can be challenging. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 John Mcleod , Fergus Simpson

Estimating conditional independence graphs from high-dimensional Gaussian data is challenging because methods must detect relevant edges while rigorously controlling statistical errors. We propose a Bayesian framework based on a prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Roland B. Sogan , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

The statistical matching problem is a data integration problem with structured missing data. The general form involves the analysis of multiple datasets that only have a strict subset of variables jointly observed across all datasets. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Daniel Ahfock , Saumyadipta Pyne , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

The Gaussian graphical model (GGM) incorporates an undirected graph to represent the conditional dependence between variables, with the precision matrix encoding partial correlation between pair of variables given the others. To achieve…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yueqi Qian , Xianghong Hu , Can Yang

We present a Bayesian method for feature selection in the presence of grouping information with sparsity on the between- and within group level. Instead of using a stochastic algorithm for parameter inference, we employ expectation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-26 Edgar Steiger , Martin Vingron

Iterative methods for fitting a Gaussian Random Field (GRF) model via maximum likelihood (ML) estimation requires solving a nonconvex optimization problem. The problem is aggravated for anisotropic GRFs where the number of covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh , Necdet Serhat Aybat , Enrique Del Castillo

In this paper, we study the accuracy of values aggregated over classes predicted by a classification algorithm. The problem is that the resulting aggregates (e.g., sums of a variable) are known to be biased. The bias can be large even for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-02 Q. A. Meertens , C. G. H. Diks , H. J. van den Herik , F W Takes

Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models are an essential tool for analyzing count data. However, designing efficient algorithms to sample from the posterior distribution of the target parameters remains a challenging task for this class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini , Fedele Greco , Carlo Trivisano