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Conversion rate (CVR) prediction is one of the core components in online recommender systems, and various approaches have been proposed to obtain accurate and well-calibrated CVR estimation. However, we observe that a well-trained CVR…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Zhangming Chan , Yu Zhang , Shuguang Han , Yong Bai , Xiang-Rong Sheng , Siyuan Lou , Jiacen Hu , Baolin Liu , Yuning Jiang , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng

In display advertising, predicting the conversion rate (CVR), meaning the probability that a user takes a predefined action on an advertiser's website, is a fundamental task for estimating the value of displaying an advertisement to a user.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-20 Yuta Saito , Gota Morishita , Shota Yasui

In this work, we introduce the notion of Context-Based Prediction Models. A Context-Based Prediction Model determines the probability of a user's action (such as a click or a conversion) solely by relying on user and contextual features,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Jan Hartman , Assaf Klein , Davorin Kopič , Natalia Silberstein

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction is one of the core tasks in recommender systems (RS). It predicts a personalized click probability for each user-item pair. Recently, researchers have found that the performance of CTR model can be…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Qiwei Chen , Changhua Pei , Shanshan Lv , Chao Li , Junfeng Ge , Wenwu Ou

Promotions are becoming more important and prevalent in e-commerce to attract customers and boost sales, leading to frequent changes of occasions, which drives users to behave differently. In such situations, most existing Click-Through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Xiaofeng Pan , Yibin Shen , Jing Zhang , Xu He , Yang Huang , Hong Wen , Chengjun Mao , Bo Cao

Click-through rate (CTR) estimation plays as a core function module in various personalized online services, including online advertising, recommender systems, and web search etc. From 2015, the success of deep learning started to benefit…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Weinan Zhang , Jiarui Qin , Wei Guo , Ruiming Tang , Xiuqiang He

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction, which aims to estimate the probability that a user will click an item, is an essential component of online advertising. Existing methods mainly attempt to mine user interests from users' historical…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Erxue Min , Yu Rong , Tingyang Xu , Yatao Bian , Peilin Zhao , Junzhou Huang , Da Luo , Kangyi Lin , Sophia Ananiadou

We study the design of loss functions for click-through rates (CTR) to optimize (social) welfare in advertising auctions. Existing works either only focus on CTR predictions without consideration of business objectives (e.g., welfare) in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Boxiang Lyu , Zhe Feng , Zachary Robertson , Sanmi Koyejo

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is an important task for the companies to recommend products which better match user preferences. User behavior in digital advertising is dynamic and changes over time. It is crucial for the companies to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Ramazan Tarık Türksoy , Beyza Türkmen , Furkan Durmuş

Click-through rates prediction is critical in modern advertising systems, where ranking relevance and user engagement directly impact platform efficiency and business value. In this project, we explore how to model CTR more effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Hongyu Yang , Chunxi Wen , Jiyin Zhang , Nanfei Shen , Shijiao Zhang , Xiyan Han

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction holds a pivotal place in online advertising and recommender systems since CTR prediction performance directly influences the overall satisfaction of the users and the revenue generated by companies. Even…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Serdarcan Dilbaz , Hasan Saribas

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction has been one of the most central problems in computational advertising. Lately, embedding techniques that produce low-dimensional representations of ad IDs drastically improve CTR prediction accuracies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Feiyang Pan , Shuokai Li , Xiang Ao , Pingzhong Tang , Qing He

Sponsored search adopts generalized second price (GSP) auction mechanism which works on the concept of pay per click which is most commonly used for the allocation of slots in the searched page. Two main aspects associated with GSP are the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2014-03-26 Rahul Gupta , Gitansh Khirbat , Sanjay Singh

The click-through rate (CTR) reflects the ratio of clicks on a specific item to its total number of views. It has significant impact on websites' advertising revenue. Learning sophisticated models to understand and predict user behavior is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Amit Livne , Roy Dor , Eyal Mazuz , Tamar Didi , Bracha Shapira , Lior Rokach

Industrial recommender systems are frequently tasked with approximating probabilities for multiple, often closely related, user actions. For example, predicting if a user will click on an advertisement and if they will then purchase the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-09-01 Conor O'Brien , Kin Sum Liu , James Neufeld , Rafael Barreto , Jonathan J Hunt

Advertising is critical to many online e-commerce platforms such as e-Bay and Amazon. One of the important signals that these platforms rely upon is the click-through rate (CTR) prediction. The recent popularity of multi-modal sharing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Li He , Hongxu Chen , Dingxian Wang , Jameel Shoaib , Philip Yu , Guandong Xu

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction plays an important role in online advertising systems. On the one hand, traditional CTR prediction models capture the collaborative signals in tabular data via feature interaction modeling, but they lose…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Rui Dong , Wentao Ouyang , Xiangzheng Liu

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction, which aims to predict the probability of a user clicking on an ad or an item, is critical to many online applications such as online advertising and recommender systems. The problem is very challenging…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Weiping Song , Chence Shi , Zhiping Xiao , Zhijian Duan , Yewen Xu , Ming Zhang , Jian Tang

Real-time Bidding (RTB) advertisers wish to \textit{know in advance} the expected cost and yield of ad campaigns to avoid trial-and-error expenses. However, Campaign Performance Forecasting (CPF), a sequence modeling task involving tens of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-05-20 XiaoYu Wang , YongHui Guo , Hui Sheng , Peili Lv , Chi Zhou , Wei Huang , ShiQin Ta , Dongbo Huang , XiuJin Yang , Lan Xu , Hao Zhou , Yusheng Ji

Click-through rate (CTR) estimation is a fundamental task in personalized advertising and recommender systems and it's important for ranking models to effectively capture complex high-order features.Inspired by the success of ELMO and Bert…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Zhiqiang Wang , Qingyun She , PengTao Zhang , Junlin Zhang