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Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

Lung nodule malignancy prediction is an essential step in the early diagnosis of lung cancer. Besides the difficulties commonly discussed, the challenges of this task also come from the ambiguous labels provided by annotators, since deep…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-26 Zehui Liao , Yutong Xie , Shishuai Hu , Yong Xia

Annotation cost is a bottleneck for collecting massive data in mammography, especially for training deep neural networks. In this paper, we study the use of heterogeneous levels of annotation granularity to improve predictive performances.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-13 Thi-Lam-Thuy Le , Nicolas Thome , Sylvain Bernard , Vincent Bismuth , Fanny Patoureaux

Multi-task neural network architectures provide a mechanism that jointly integrates information from distinct sources. It is ideal in the context of MR-only radiotherapy planning as it can jointly regress a synthetic CT (synCT) scan and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-23 Felix J. S. Bragman , Ryutaro Tanno , Zach Eaton-Rosen , Wenqi Li , David J. Hawkes , Sebastien Ourselin , Daniel C. Alexander , Jamie R. McClelland , M. Jorge Cardoso

Uncertainty quantification is an important and challenging problem in deep learning. Previous methods rely on dropout layers which are not present in modern deep architectures or batch normalization which is sensitive to batch sizes. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Lukasz Wandzik , Raul Vicente Garcia , Jörg Krüger

Uncertainty quantification is essential in human-machine collaboration, as human agents tend to adjust their decisions based on the confidence of the machine counterpart. Reliably calibrated model uncertainties, hence, enable more effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Teodor Chiaburu , Vipin Singh , Frank Haußer , Felix Bießmann

Despite the state-of-the-art performance for medical image segmentation, deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have rarely provided uncertainty estimations regarding their segmentation outputs, e.g., model (epistemic) and image-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Guotai Wang , Wenqi Li , Michael Aertsen , Jan Deprest , Sebastien Ourselin , Tom Vercauteren

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Quality control (QC) of MR images is essential to ensure that downstream analyses such as segmentation can be performed successfully. Currently, QC is predominantly performed visually and subjectively, at significant time and operator cost.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-07 Richard Shaw , Carole H. Sudre , Sebastien Ourselin , M. Jorge Cardoso , Hugh G. Pemberton

Quality of deep convolutional neural network predictions strongly depends on the size of the training dataset and the quality of the annotations. Creating annotations, especially for 3D medical image segmentation, is time-consuming and…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-11 Matin Hosseinzadeh , Anindo Saha , Joeran Bosma , Henkjan Huisman

Structured-output learning is a challenging problem; particularly so because of the difficulty in obtaining large datasets of fully labelled instances for training. In this paper we try to overcome this difficulty by presenting a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-06-24 Roman Shapovalov , Dmitry Vetrov , Anton Osokin , Pushmeet Kohli

Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

In safety-critical applications like medical diagnosis, certainty associated with a model's prediction is just as important as its accuracy. Consequently, uncertainty estimation and reduction play a crucial role. Uncertainty in predictions…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Abhishek Singh Sambyal , Narayanan C. Krishnan , Deepti R. Bathula

Accurate and reliable tumor segmentation is essential in medical imaging analysis for improving diagnosis, treatment planning, and monitoring. However, existing segmentation models often lack robust mechanisms for quantifying the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-14 Seyed Sina Ziaee , Farhad Maleki , Katie Ovens

The success of Deep Neural Network (DNN) models significantly depends on the quality of provided annotations. In medical image segmentation, for example, having multiple expert annotations for each data point is common to minimize…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Asma Ahmed Hashmi , Aigerim Zhumabayeva , Nikita Kotelevskii , Artem Agafonov , Mohammad Yaqub , Maxim Panov , Martin Takáč

Quantifying aleatoric uncertainty in medical image segmentation is critical since it is a reflection of the natural variability observed among expert annotators. A conventional approach is to model the segmentation distribution using the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Phi Van Nguyen , Ngoc Huynh Trinh , Duy Minh Lam Nguyen , Phu Loc Nguyen , Quoc Long Tran

Predictive uncertainty-a model's self awareness regarding its accuracy on an input-is key for both building robust models via training interventions and for test-time applications such as selective classification. We propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Nishant Jain , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Pradeep Shenoy

In image segmentation, there is often more than one plausible solution for a given input. In medical imaging, for example, experts will often disagree about the exact location of object boundaries. Estimating this inherent uncertainty and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Miguel Monteiro , Loïc Le Folgoc , Daniel Coelho de Castro , Nick Pawlowski , Bernardo Marques , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Mark van der Wilk , Ben Glocker

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert