Related papers: Cram\'{e}r type moderate deviations for stationary…
We present precise moderate deviation probabilities, in both quenched and annealed settings, for a recurrent diffusion process with a Brownian potential. Our method relies on fine tools in stochastic calculus, including Kotani's lemma and…
This article presents a new proof of the rate of convergence to the normal distribution of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables in chi-square distance, which was also recently studied in \cite{BobkovRenyi}. Our…
We obtain non-uniform Edgeworth expansions for several classes of weakly dependent (non-stationary) sequences of random variables, including uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains, random and time-varying (partially) hyperbolic or…
We derive explicit Berry-Esseen bounds in the total variation distance for the Breuer-Major central limit theorem, in the case of a subordinating function $\varphi$ satisfying minimal regularity assumptions. Our approach is based on the…
Our purpose is to prove central limit theorem for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chain under the condition of uniform convergence of transition probability matrices for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chain in Ces\`aro sense. Furthermore,…
We adapt Stein's method to obtain Berry--Esseen type error bounds in the multivariate central limit theorem for non-stationary processes generated by time-dependent compositions of uniformly expanding dynamical systems. In a particular case…
Suppose that the (normalised) partial sum of a stationary sequence converges to a standard normal random variable. Given sufficiently moments, when do we have a rate of convergence of $n^{-1/2}$ in the uniform metric, in other words, when…
By using the conjugate distribution technique of Cram\'er, we obtain some expansions of large deviation probabilities for martingales with differences satisfying the conditional Bernstein's condition. The expansions are of the same order as…
We obtain explicit Berry-Esseen bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for the normal approximation of non-linear functionals of vectors of independent random variables. Our results are based on the use of Stein's method and of random difference…
The limiting behavior of Toeplitz type quadratic forms of stationary processes has received much attention through decades, particularly due to its importance in statistical estimation of the spectrum. In the present paper we study such…
We derive a new closed-form variance-adaptive confidence sequence (CS) for estimating the average conditional mean of a sequence of bounded random variables. Empirically, it yields the tightest closed-form CS we have found for tracking…
Stein's method is applied to obtain a general Cramer-type moderate deviation result for dependent random variables whose dependence is defined in terms of a Stein identity. A corollary for zero-bias coupling is deduced. The result is also…
We establish both uniform and nonuniform error bounds of the Berry-Esseen type in normal approximation under local dependence. These results are of an order close to the best possible if not best possible. They are more general or sharper…
We prove central limit theorems, Berry-Esseen type theorems, almost sure invariance principles, large deviations and Livsic type regularity for partial sums of the form $S_n=\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}f_j(...,X_{j-1},X_j,X_{j+1},...)$, where $(X_j)$…
An important step in the Markov reward approach to error bounds on stationary performance measures of Markov chains is to bound the bias terms. Affine functions have been successfully used for these bounds for various models, but there are…
We construct a compound Poisson process conditioned on its random summation that represents the sizes of the connected components in the sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $G(n,c/n)$. This new representation depicts a connection between…
Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…
The random field Curie-Weiss model is derived from the classical Curie-Weiss model by replacing the deterministic global magnetic field by random local magnetic fields. This opens up a new and interestingly rich phase structure. In this…
The Koml\'os$\unicode{x2013}$Major$\unicode{x2013}$Tusn\'ady (KMT) inequality for partial sums is one of the most celebrated results in probability theory. Yet its practical application has been hindered by a lack of practical constants.…
We are interested in quasi-stationarity and quasi-ergodicity when the absorbing boundary is moving. First we show that, in the moving boundary case, the quasi-stationary distribution and the quasi-limiting distribution are not well-defined…