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Two natural ways of modelling Formula 1 race outcomes are a probabilistic approach, based on the exponential distribution, and econometric modelling of the ranks. Both approaches lead to exactly soluble race-winning probabilities. Equating…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-21 John Fry , Tom Brighton , Silvio Fanzon

Variability in human response creates non-trivial challenges for modeling and control of human-automation systems. As autonomy becomes pervasive, methods that can accommodate human variability will become paramount, to ensure efficiency,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-06 Kendric R. Ortiz , Adam J. Thorpe , AnaMaria Perez , Maya Luster , Brandon J. Pitts , Meeko Oishi

Towards safe autonomous driving (AD), we consider the problem of learning models that accurately capture the diversity and tail quantiles of human driver behavior probability distributions, in interaction with an AD vehicle. Such models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Jia Yu Tee , Oliver De Candido , Wolfgang Utschick , Philipp Geiger

The recent availability of large databases allows to study macroscopic properties of many complex systems. However, inferring a model from a fit of empirical data without any knowledge of the dynamics might lead to erroneous interpretations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-31 Riccardo Gallotti , Armando Bazzani , Sandro Rambaldi , Marc Barthelemy

Autonomous driving systems require a deep understanding of human driving behaviors to achieve higher intelligence and safety.Despite advancements in deep learning, challenges such as long-tail distribution due to scarce samples and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Yilin Wang

The rapid development of automated driving systems in recent years has led to improvements in road safety and travel comfort. One typical function of these systems is Lane Keep Assist, which generally does not take human driving preferences…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Gergo Igneczi , Tamas Dobay

The main motivation of this work is to assess the validity of a LWR traffic flow model to model measurements obtained from trajectory data, and propose extensions of this model to improve it. A formulation for a discrete dynamical system is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-06 Mike Pereira , Pinar Boyraz Baykas , Balázs Kulcsár , Annika Lang

On roads showing significant violations of posted speed limits, one measure of the safety effect of speeding is the difference between the road's actual accident count and the count that would have occurred if the posted speed limit had…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Gary A. Davis

Naturalistic driving action localization task aims to recognize and comprehend human behaviors and actions from video data captured during real-world driving scenarios. Previous studies have shown great action localization performance by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Quang Vinh Nguyen , Vo Hoang Thanh Son , Chau Truong Vinh Hoang , Duc Duy Nguyen , Nhat Huy Nguyen Minh , Soo-Hyung Kim

Advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) can be significantly improved with effective driver action prediction (DAP). Predicting driver actions early and accurately can help mitigate the effects of potentially unsafe driving behaviors and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-01 Oluwatobi Olabiyi , Eric Martinson , Vijay Chintalapudi , Rui Guo

This study shows how road traffic networks events, in particular road accidents on blackspots, can be modelled with simple probabilistic distributions. We considered the number of accidents and the number of deaths on Spanish blackspots in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-17 Faustino Prieto , Emilio Gómez-Déniz , José María Sarabia

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

We present a novel trajectory prediction algorithm for pedestrians based on a personality-aware probabilistic feature map. This map is computed using a spatial query structure and each value represents the probability of the predicted…

Graphics · Computer Science 2019-11-04 Chaochao Li , Pei Lv , Mingliang Xu , Xinyu Wang , Dinesh Manocha , Bing Zhou , Meng Wang

The paper addresses the problem of finding the causal direction between two associated variables. The proposed solution is to build an autoencoder of their joint distribution and to maximize its estimation capacity relative to both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-09 Matthias Feiler

This study aims to explore the associations between near-crash events and road geometry and trip features by investigating a naturalistic driving dataset and a corresponding roadway inventory dataset using an association rule mining method.

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Xiaoqiang Kong , Subasish Das , Hongmin Zhou , Yunlong Zhang

A fair simple car driving simulator was created based on the open source engine TORCS and used in car-following experiments aimed at studying the basic features of human behavior in car driving. Four subjects with different skill in driving…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-11-17 Hiromasa Ando , Ihor Lubashevsky , Arkady Zgonnikov , Yoshiaki Saito

A deterministic system of interacting agents is considered as a model for economic dynamics. The dynamics of the system is described by a coupled map lattice with near neighbor interactions. The evolution of each agent results from the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 J. Gonzalez-Estevez , M. G. Cosenza , R. Lopez-Ruiz , J. R. Sanchez

Understanding adaptive human driving behavior, in particular how drivers manage uncertainty, is of key importance for developing simulated human driver models that can be used in the evaluation and development of autonomous vehicles.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Johan Engström , Ran Wei , Anthony McDonald , Alfredo Garcia , Matt O'Kelly , Leif Johnson

We present a case study applying learning-based distributionally robust model predictive control to highway motion planning under stochastic uncertainty of the lane change behavior of surrounding road users. The dynamics of road users are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-08 Mathijs Schuurmans , Alexander Katriniok , Christopher Meissen , H. Eric Tseng , Panagiotis Patrinos

Driving behavior is inherently personal, influenced by individual habits, decision-making styles, and physiological states. However, most existing datasets treat all drivers as homogeneous, overlooking driver-specific variability. To…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Chuheng Wei , Ziye Qin , Siyan Li , Ziyan Zhang , Xuanpeng Zhao , Amr Abdelraouf , Rohit Gupta , Kyungtae Han , Matthew J. Barth , Guoyuan Wu