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The computational effort for the evaluation of numerical simulations based on e.g. the finite-element method is high. Metamodels can be utilized to create a low-cost alternative. However the number of required samples for the creation of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Jan N. Fuhg

Kriging is a fundamental tool for spatial prediction, but its computational complexity of $O(N^3)$ becomes prohibitive for large datasets. While local kriging using $K$-nearest neighbors addresses this issue, the selection of $K$ typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Jonathan Acosta

In various industrial contexts, estimating the distribution of unobserved random vectors Xi from some noisy indirect observations H(Xi) + Ui is required. If the relation between Xi and the quantity H(Xi), measured with the error Ui, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Shuai Fu , Mathieu Couplet , Nicolas Bousquet

Sensors are commonly deployed to perceive the environment. However, due to the high cost, sensors are usually sparsely deployed. Kriging is the tailored task to infer the unobserved nodes (without sensors) using the observed source nodes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Qianxiong Xu , Cheng Long , Ziyue Li , Sijie Ruan , Rui Zhao , Zhishuai Li

Kriging-based surrogate models have become very popular during the last decades to approximate a computer code output from few simulations. In practical applications, it is very common to sequentially add new simulations to obtain more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-31 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela

We investigate two new strategies for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems within the Regression Monte Carlo (RMC) framework of Longstaff and Schwartz. First, we propose the use of stochastic kriging (Gaussian process)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-27 Michael Ludkovski

In this paper, we further investigate the problem of selecting a set of design points for universal kriging, which is a widely used technique for spatial data analysis. Our goal is to select the design points in order to make simultaneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-18 Helmut Waldl , Werner G. Müller , Paula Camelia Trandafir

We propose an approach based on machine learning to solve two-stage linear adaptive robust optimization (ARO) problems with binary here-and-now variables and polyhedral uncertainty sets. We encode the optimal here-and-now decisions, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Dimitris Bertsimas , Cheol Woo Kim

This research is motivated by the need for effective classification in ice-breaking dynamic simulations, aimed at determining the conditions under which an underwater vehicle will break through the ice. This simulation is extremely…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Tian Bai , Dianpeng Wang , Kuangqi Chen , Xu He

We consider bi-objective ranking and selection problems, where the goal is to correctly identify the Pareto optimal solutions among a finite set of candidates for which the two objective outcomes have been observed with uncertainty (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-29 Sebastian Rojas Gonzalez , Juergen Branke , Inneke van Nieuwenhuyse

Kriging is a widely employed technique, in particular for computer experiments, in machine learning or in geostatistics. An important challenge for Kriging is the computational burden when the data set is large. This article focuses on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-01 François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Didier Rullière , Clément Chevalier

For estimation and predictions of random fields it is increasingly acknowledged that the kriging variance may be a poor representative of true uncertainty. Experimental designs based on more elaborate criteria that are appropriate for…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-15 Werner G. Müller , Luc Pronzato , Joao Rendas , Helmut Waldl

In this paper, the minimization of computational cost on evaluating multi-dimensional integrals is explored. More specifically, a method based on an adaptive scheme for error variance selection in Monte Carlo integration (MCI) is presented.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Felipe Carraro , Rafael Holdorf Lopez , Leandro Fleck Fadel Miguel , André Jacomel Torii

Kriging or Gaussian Process Regression is applied in many fields as a non-linear regression model as well as a surrogate model in the field of evolutionary computation. However, the computational and space complexity of Kriging, that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-07 Bas van Stein , Hao Wang , Wojtek Kowalczyk , Michael Emmerich , Thomas Bäck

Engineering design involves demanding models encompassing many decision variables and uncontrollable parameters. In addition, unavoidable aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties can be very impactful and add further complexity. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-27 Enrico Ampellio , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

Multi-fidelity Kriging model is a promising technique in surrogate-based design as it can balance the model accuracy and cost of sample preparation by fusing low- and high-fidelity data. However, the cost for building a multi-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Youwei He , Jinliang Luo

Stochastic kriging has been widely employed for simulation metamodeling to predict the response surface of complex simulation models. However, its use is limited to cases where the design space is low-dimensional because, in general, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-16 Liang Ding , Xiaowei Zhang

Several methods have been proposed in the literature to solve reliability-based optimization problems, where failure probabilities are design constraints. However, few methods address the problem of life-cycle cost or risk optimization,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-09 H. M. Kroetz , M. Moustapha , A. T. Beck , B. Sudret

In this paper, we propose a novel adaptive-rank method for simulating multi-scale BGK equations, based on a greedy sampling strategy. The method adaptively selects important rows and columns of the solution matrix and updates them using a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-09 William A. Sands , Jing-Mei Qiu , Daniel Hayes , Nanyi Zheng

In complex simulation environments, certain parameter space regions may result in non-convergent or unphysical outcomes. All parameters can therefore be labeled with a binary class describing whether or not they lead to valid results. In…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-19 Raoul Heese , Michal Walczak , Tobias Seidel , Norbert Asprion , Michael Bortz
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