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The voter model is a classical interacting particle system modelling how consensus is formed across a network. We analyse the time to consensus for the voter model when the underlying graph is a subcritical scale-free random graph.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 John Fernley , Marcel Ortgiese

We study how office-seeking parties use direct democracy to shape elections. A party with a strong electoral base can benefit from using a binding referendum to resolve issues that divide its core supporters. When referendums do not bind,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-12 Peter Buisseret , Richard Van Weelden

This paper emphasizes a determinant aim of identifying different approaches, as comparing to the education and democracy ways specific to e-government system. Introducing the information technology should offer the possibility by which…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2010-05-24 Bostan I

Opinion formation is a process with strong implications for public policy. In controversial debates with large consequences, the public opinion is often trapped in a fifty-fifty stalemate, jeopardizing broadly accepted political decisions.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-17 Sebastian M. Krause , Fritz Weyhausen-Brinkmann , Stefan Bornholdt

Under certain circumstances such as lack of information or bounded rationality, human players can take decisions on which strategy to choose in a game on the basis of simple opinions. These opinions can be modified after each round by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Floriana Gargiulo , Jose J. Ramasco

Despite the prevalence of voting systems in the real world there is no consensus among researchers of how people vote strategically, even in simple voting settings. This paper addresses this gap by comparing different approaches that have…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

Population protocols are a relatively novel computational model in which very resource-limited anonymous agents interact in pairs with the goal of computing predicates. We consider the probabilistic version of this model, which naturally…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Vladyslav Melnychuk

A general model for opinion formation and competition, like in ideological struggles is formulated. The underlying set is a closed one, like a country but in which the population size is variable in time. Several ideologies compete to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Nikolay K. Vitanov , Zlatinka I. Dimitrova , Marcel Ausloos

The combined effects of collective beliefs and individual stubbornness in the dynamic of a public debate are investigated using the Galam sequential probabilistic model of opinion dynamics. The study is focused on pair interactions for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-06-14 Serge Galam

We study a game of strategic information design between a sender, who chooses state-dependent information structures, a mediator who can then garble the signals generated from these structures, and a receiver who takes an action after…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-12-07 Andrew Kosenko

We consider the disclosure problem of a sender with a large data set of hard evidence who wants to persuade a receiver to take higher actions. Because the receiver will make inferences based on the distribution of the data they see, the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-03 Ying Gao

The mass media plays a fundamental role in the formation of public opinion, either by defining the topics of discussion or by making an emphasis on certain issues. Directly or indirectly, people get informed by consuming news from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Sebastián Pinto , Federico Albanese , Claudio O. Dorso , Pablo Balenzuela

The Bayesian persuasion model studies communication between an informed sender and a receiver with a payoff-relevant action, emphasizing the ability of a sender to extract maximal surplus from his informational advantage. In this paper we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Ronen Gradwohl , Niklas Hahn , Martin Hoefer , Rann Smorodinsky

In this paper, we investigate deliberation procedures that invite citizens with contextual opinions to explore alternative thinking frames. Contextuality is captured in a simple quantum cognitive model. We show how disagreeing citizens…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-02 Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky , Irénée Frérot

The adaptive voter model is a paradigmatic model in the study of opinion formation. Here we propose an extension for this model, in which conflicts are resolved by obtaining another opinion, and analytically study the time required for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-02 Tim Rogers , Thilo Gross

Opinions are an integral part of how we perceive the world and each other. They shape collective action, playing a role in democratic processes, the evolution of norms, and cultural change. For decades, researchers in the social and natural…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-21 Antonio F. Peralta , János Kertész , Gerardo Iñiguez

Prediction markets are often used as mechanisms to aggregate information about a future event, for example, whether a candidate will win an election. The event is typically assumed to be exogenous. In reality, participants may influence the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-28 Mithun Chakraborty , Sanmay Das

Current models for opinion dynamics typically utilize a Poisson process for speaker selection, making the waiting time between events exponentially distributed. Human interaction tends to be bursty, though, having higher probabilities of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-28 Casey Doyle , Boleslaw Szymanski , Gyorgy Korniss

Learning models do not in general imply that weakly dominated strategies are irrelevant or justify the related concept of "forward induction," because rational agents may use dominated strategies as experiments to learn how opponents play,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-11-15 Daniel Clark , Drew Fudenberg , Kevin He

Frequently we revise our first opinions after talking over with other individuals because we get convinced. Argumentation is a verbal and social process aimed at convincing. It includes conversation and persuasion. In this case, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-26 Juan Pablo Pinasco , Viktoriya Semeshenko , Pablo Balenzuela