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The growing field of large-scale time domain astronomy requires methods for probabilistic data analysis that are computationally tractable, even with large datasets. Gaussian Processes are a popular class of models used for this purpose…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Eric Agol , Sivaram Ambikasaran , Ruth Angus

Large scale Gaussian process (GP) regression is infeasible for larger data sets due to cubic scaling of flops and quadratic storage involved in working with covariance matrices. Remedies in recent literature focus on divide-and-conquer,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-28 Adam M. Edwards , Robert B. Gramacy

Solving partial differential equations (PDEs) within the framework of probabilistic numerics offers a principled approach to quantifying epistemic uncertainty arising from discretization. By leveraging Gaussian process regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Akshay Thakur , Sawan Kumar , Matthew Zahr , Souvik Chakraborty

A computer model can be used for predicting an output only after specifying the values of some unknown physical constants known as calibration parameters. The unknown calibration parameters can be estimated from real data by conducting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Arvind Krishna , V. Roshan Joseph , Shan Ba , William A. Brenneman , William R. Myers

Quantum computing is expected to transform a range of computational tasks beyond the reach of classical algorithms. In this work, we examine the application of variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) for unsupervised image segmentation to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Supreeth Mysore Venkatesh , Antonio Macaluso , Marlon Nuske , Matthias Klusch , Andreas Dengel

Computer experiments with quantitative and qualitative inputs are widely used to study many scientific and engineering processes. Much of the existing work has focused on design and modeling or process optimization for such experiments.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-30 A. Shahrokhian , X. Deng , C. D. Lin , P. Ranjan , L. Xu

Posterior sampling by Monte Carlo methods provides a more comprehensive solution approach to inverse problems than computing point estimates such as the maximum posterior using optimization methods, at the expense of usually requiring many…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés-Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

We study the problem of sequential experimental design to estimate the parametric component of a partially linear model with a Gaussian process prior. We consider an active learning setting where an experimenter adaptively decides which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Shunsuke Horii

The scientific understanding of real-world processes has dramatically improved over the years through computer simulations. Such simulators represent complex mathematical models that are implemented as computer codes which are often…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-20 Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , F. Alejandro DiazDelaO , Konstantin M. Zuev

Image segmentation is a popular area of research in computer vision that has many applications in automated image processing. A recent technique called piecewise flat embeddings (PFE) has been proposed for use in image segmentation; PFE…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-21 Renee T. Meinhold , Tyler L. Hayes , Nathan D. Cahill

The recent accelerated growth in the computing power has generated popularization of experimentation with dynamic computer models in various physical and engineering applications. Despite the extensive statistical research in computer…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-18 Ru Zhang , Chunfang Devon Lin , Pritam Ranjan

Quantifying uncertainties in physical or engineering systems often requires a large number of simulations of the underlying computer models that are computationally intensive. Emulators or surrogate models are often used to accelerate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Junda Xiong , Xin Cai , Jinglai Li

Gaussian process (GP) emulator has been used as a surrogate model for predicting force field and molecular potential, to overcome the computational bottleneck of molecular dynamics simulation. Integrating both atomic force and energy in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-05-13 Hao Li , Musen Zhou , Jessalyn Sebastian , Jianzhong Wu , Mengyang Gu

Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty, sensitivity, optimization and robustness analyses. A widely accepted method to circumvent this problem consists in replacing cpu-time expensive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

Scientists often express their understanding of the world through a computationally demanding simulation program. Analyzing the posterior distribution of the parameters given observations (the inverse problem) can be extremely challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-14 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

Computer simulations of differential equations require a time discretization, which inhibits to identify the exact solution with certainty. Probabilistic simulations take this into account via uncertainty quantification. The construction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Philipp Frank , Torsten A. Enßlin

A large amount of recent research has the far-reaching goal of finding training methods for deep neural networks that can serve as alternatives to backpropagation (BP). A prominent example is predictive coding (PC), which is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Luca Pinchetti , Tommaso Salvatori , Yordan Yordanov , Beren Millidge , Yuhang Song , Thomas Lukasiewicz

Gaussian processes offer a flexible kernel method for regression. While Gaussian processes have many useful theoretical properties and have proven practically useful, they suffer from poor scaling in the number of observations. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-26 Nick Terry , Youngjun Choe

Computer experiments have become ubiquitous in science and engineering. Commonly, runs of these simulations demand considerable time and computing, making experimental design extremely important in gaining high quality information with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-15 Benjamin Haaland , Wenjia Wang , Vaibhav Maheshwari

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira