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The embedded ensemble propagation approach introduced in [49] has been demonstrated to be a powerful means of reducing the computational cost of sampling-based uncertainty quantification methods, particularly on emerging computational…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-08 Marta D'Elia , Eric Phipps , Ahmad Rushdi , Mohamed Ebeida

Predicting particle trajectories with neural networks (NNs) has substantially enhanced many scientific and engineering domains. However, effectively quantifying and visualizing the inherent uncertainty in predictions remains challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Jixian Li , Timbwaoga Aime Judicael Ouermi , Mengjiao Han , Chris R. Johnson

Machine learning is a popular tool that is being applied to many domains, from computer vision to natural language processing. It is not long ago that its use was extended to physics, but its capabilities remain to be accurately contoured.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-31 Junfeng Chen , Jonathan Viquerat , Elie Hachem

Precise probabilistic forecasts are fundamental for energy risk management, and there is a wide range of both statistical and machine learning models for this purpose. Inherent to these probabilistic models is some form of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Andreas Lebedev , Abhinav Das , Sven Pappert , Stephan Schlüter

Neural networks (NNs) can achieved high performance in various fields such as computer vision, and natural language processing. However, deploying NNs in resource-constrained safety-critical systems has challenges due to uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed

Statistical learning algorithms provide a generally-applicable framework to sidestep time-consuming experiments, or accurate physics-based modeling, but they introduce a further source of error on top of the intrinsic limitations of the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-05-17 Matthias Kellner , Michele Ceriotti

Monitoring changes inside a reservoir in real time is crucial for the success of CO2 injection and long-term storage. Machine learning (ML) is well-suited for real-time CO2 monitoring because of its computational efficiency. However, most…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Yanhua Liu , Xitong Zhang , Ilya Tsvankin , Youzuo Lin

The large-scale integration of renewable energy sources introduces significant operational uncertainty into power systems. Although Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) provides an efficient tool for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Le Fang , Wangkun Xu , Fei Teng

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in medical image enhancement problems, such as super-resolution or image synthesis. However, to date, little consideration has been given to uncertainty quantification over the output image. Here…

The prediction of time series is a challenging task relevant in such diverse applications as analyzing financial data, forecasting flow dynamics or understanding biological processes. Especially chaotic time series that depend on a long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Johannes Viehweg , Dominik Walther , Patrick Mäder

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

The work focuses on gathering high-fidelity and low-fidelity numerical simulations data using Nektar++ (Solver based on Applied Mathematics) and XFOIL respectively. The utilization of the higher polynomial distribution in calculating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Swapnil Kumar

In this paper, we study uncertainty quantification (UQ) in forward problems. Our objective is to construct accurate and robust surrogate models by incorporating the seventh-order central weighted essentially non-oscillatory (CWENO7) scheme…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Alina Chertock , Arsen S. Iskhakov , Alexander Kurganov

CFD acceleration for virtual nuclear reactors or digital twin technology is a primary goal in the nuclear industry. This study compares advanced convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures for accelerating unsteady computational fluid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Sangam Khanal , Shilaj Baral , Joongoo Jeon

Accurate characterization of subsurface heterogeneity is challenging but essential for applications such as reservoir pressure management, geothermal energy extraction and CO$_2$, H$_2$, and wastewater injection operations. This challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Harun Ur Rashid , Mingxin Li , Aleksandra Pachalieva , Georg Stadler , Daniel O'Malley

Predicting fuel assembly bow in pressurized water reactors requires solving tightly coupled fluid-structure interaction problems, whose direct simulations can be computationally prohibitive, making large-scale uncertainty quantification…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Ali Abboud , Josselin Garnier , Bertrand Leturcq , Stanislas de Lambert

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) includes the characterization, integration, and propagation of uncertainties that result from stochastic variations and a lack of knowledge or data in the natural world. Monte Carlo (MC) method is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Jiaxin Zhang

We present a simple and effective approach for posterior uncertainty quantification in deep operator networks (DeepONets); an emerging paradigm for supervised learning in function spaces. We adopt a frequentist approach based on randomized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Yibo Yang , Georgios Kissas , Paris Perdikaris

Recent advances in quantum computing have demonstrated its potential to significantly enhance the analysis and forecasting of complex classical data. Among these, quantum reservoir computing has emerged as a particularly powerful approach,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-10 Qingyu Li , Chiranjib Mukhopadhyay , Abolfazl Bayat , Ali Habibnia

In hydrology, modeling streamflow remains a challenging task due to the limited availability of basin characteristics information such as soil geology and geomorphology. These characteristics may be noisy due to measurement errors or may be…

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