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We introduce a method to prove metastability of the contact process on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs and on configuration model graphs. The method relies on uniformly bounding the total infection rate from below, over all sets with a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Eric Cator , Henk Don

The three state contact process is the modification of the contact process at rate $\mu$ in which first infections occur at rate $\lambda$ instead. Chapters 2 and 3 consider the three state contact process on (graphs that have as set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Achillefs Tzioufas

We investigate the contact process on four different types of scale-free inhomogeneous random graphs evolving according to a stationary dynamics, where each potential edge is updated with a rate depending on the strength of the adjacent…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Emmanuel Jacob , Amitai Linker , Peter Mörters

In the last decade Hawkes processes have received much attention as models for functional connectivity in neural spiking networks and other dynamical systems with a cascade behavior. In this paper we establish a renewal approach for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Mads Bonde Raad

In this paper we study the metastability of the contact process on a random regular graph. We show that the extinction time of the contact process, when initialized so that all vertices are infected at time 0, grows exponentially with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Wei Su

We analyze the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) process, a continuous-time Markov chain frequently employed in epidemiology to model the spread of infections on networks. In this framework, infections spread as infected…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Phuc Lam , Oanh Nguyen , Iris Yang

We investigate a modified one-dimensional contact process with varying infection rates. Specifically, the infection spreads at rate $\lambda_e$ along the boundaries of the infected region and at rate $\lambda_i$ elsewhere. We establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Célio Terra

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on $N$ vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Eric Foxall , Roderick Edwards , P. van den Driessche

We study the SIRS process, a continuous-time Markov chain modeling the spread of infections on graphs. In this model, vertices are either susceptible, infected, or recovered. Each infected vertex becomes recovered at rate 1 and infects each…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Tobias Friedrich , Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca , Marcus Pappik

We study the discrete-time threshold-$\theta \geq 2$ contact process on random graphs of general degrees. For random graphs with a given degree distribution $\mu$, we show that if $\mu$ is lower bounded by $\theta+2$ and has finite $k$th…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-12 Danny Nam

The key to our investigation is an improved (and in a sense sharp) understanding of the survival time of the contact process on star graphs. Using these results, we show that for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees, when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Xiangying Huang , Rick Durrett

We study the survival/extinction phase transition for contact processes with quenched disorder. The disorder is given by a locally finite random graph with vertices indexed by the integers that is assumed to be invariant under index shifts…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Christian Mönch

In this paper we are concerned with the contact process with semi-infected state on the complete graph $C_n$ with $n$ vertices. In our model, each vertex is in one of three states that `healthy', `semi-infected' or `wholly-infected'. Only…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Xiaofeng Xue

The quadratic contact process (QCP) is a natural extension of the well studied linear contact process where infected (1) individuals infect susceptible (0) neighbors at rate $\lambda$ and infected individuals recover ($1 \longrightarrow 0$)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-28 Chris Varghese , Rick Durrett

In this paper we are concerned with the contact process with random recovery rates and edge weights on complete graph with $n$ vertices. We show that the model has a critical value which is inversely proportional to the product of the mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Xiaofeng Xue , Yu Pan

In this paper, we establish the necessary and sufficient criterion for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees (resp. random graphs) to exhibit the phase of extinction (resp. short survival). We prove that the survival threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Shankar Bhamidi , Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

In order to understand the cost of a potentially high infectiousness of symptomatic individuals or, on the contrary, the benefit of social distancing, quarantine, etc. in the course of an infectious disease, this paper considers a natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Lamia Belhadji , Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer

We study the supercritical contact process on Galton-Watson trees and periodic trees. We prove that if the contact process survives weakly then it dominates a supercritical Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process. Hence the number of infected…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Xiangying Huang

We show that the contact process on a random $d$-regular graph initiated by a single infected vertex obeys the "cutoff phenomenon" in its supercritical phase. In particular, we prove that when the infection rate is larger than the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Steven Lalley , Wei Su

We study a two dimensional version of Neuhauser's long range sexual reproduction model and prove results that give bounds on the critical values $\lambda_f$ for the process to survive from a finite set and $\lambda_e$ for the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Mariya Bessonov , Richard Durrett