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We propose a novel machine learning approach for inferring causal variables of a target variable from observations. Our focus is on directly inferring a set of causal factors without requiring full causal graph reconstruction, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Jang-Hyun Kim , Claudia Skok Gibbs , Sangdoo Yun , Hyun Oh Song , Kyunghyun Cho

Probabilistic inference in graphical models is the task of computing marginal and conditional densities of interest from a factorized representation of a joint probability distribution. Inference algorithms such as variable elimination and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Ilya Shpitser , Thomas S. Richardson , James M. Robins

Missing data is a ubiquitous challenge in data analysis, often leading to biased and inaccurate results. Traditional imputation methods usually assume that the missingness mechanism is missing-at-random (MAR), where the missingness is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Huiming Xie , Fei Xue , Xiao Wang

The clandestine nature of covert networks makes reliable data difficult to obtain and leads to concerns with missing data. We explore the use of network models to represent missingness mechanisms. Exponential random graph models provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Jonathan Januar , H Colin Gallagher , Johan Koskinen

We introduce a new class of identifiable DAG models where the conditional distribution of each node given its parents belongs to a family of generalized hypergeometric distributions (GHD). A family of generalized hypergeometric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-17 Gunwoong Park , Hyewon Park

In the context of modern machine learning, models deployed in real-world scenarios often encounter diverse data shifts like covariate and semantic shifts, leading to challenges in both out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization and detection.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Han Wang , Yixuan Li

Missing data problems arise in many applied research studies. They may jeopardize statistical inference of the model of interest, if the missing mechanism is nonignorable, that is, the missing mechanism depends on the missing values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Wang Miao , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng

Causal inference is made challenging by confounding, selection bias, and other complications. A common approach to addressing these difficulties is the inclusion of auxiliary data on the superpopulation of interest. Such data may measure a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Jaron J. R. Lee , AmirEmad Ghassami , Ilya Shpitser

We study the identification of causal effects in the presence of different types of constraints (e.g., logical constraints) in addition to the causal graph. These constraints impose restrictions on the models (parameterizations) induced by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Yizuo Chen , Adnan Darwiche

The goal of causal representation learning is to find a representation of data that consists of causally related latent variables. We consider a setup where one has access to data from multiple domains that potentially share a causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Nils Sturma , Chandler Squires , Mathias Drton , Caroline Uhler

Prior research has shown that human perception of similarity differs from mathematical measures in visual comparison tasks, including those involving directed acyclic graphs. This divergence can lead to missed differences and skepticism…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-31 Kathrin Guckes , Alena Beyer , Margit Pohl , Tatiana von Landesberger

Directed acyclic graphs have been used fruitfully to represent causal strucures (Pearl 1988). However, in the social sciences and elsewhere models are often used which correspond both causally and statistically to directed graphs with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-24 Thomas S. Richardson

Drug target identification is of significant commercial interest to pharmaceutical companies, and there is a vast amount of research done related to the topic of therapeutic target identification. Interdisciplinary research in this area…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-30 Reka Albert , Bhaskar DasGupta , Nasim Mobasheri

We analyze the identifiability of directed acyclic graphs in the case of partial excitation and measurement. We consider an additive model where the nonlinear functions located in the edges depend only on a past input, and we analyze the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Renato Vizuete , Julien M. Hendrickx

Despite the growing interest in causal and statistical inference for settings with data dependence, few methods currently exist to account for missing data in dependent data settings; most classical missing data methods in statistics and…

The assumption that data samples are independent and identically distributed (iid) is standard in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, in some settings, such as social networks, infectious disease modeling, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-06 Eli Sherman , Ilya Shpitser

An important task in data analysis is the discovery of causal relationships between observed variables. For continuous-valued data, linear acyclic causal models are commonly used to model the data-generating process, and the inference of…

It is often said that the fundamental problem of causal inference is a missing data problem -- the comparison of responses to two hypothetical treatment assignments is made difficult because for every experimental unit only one potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Razieh Nabi , Rohit Bhattacharya , Ilya Shpitser , James M. Robins

The recently introduced graphical continuous Lyapunov models provide a new approach to statistical modeling of correlated multivariate data. The models view each observation as a one-time cross-sectional snapshot of a multivariate dynamic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Philipp Dettling , Roser Homs , Carlos Améndola , Mathias Drton , Niels Richard Hansen

In many machine learning applications, we are faced with incomplete datasets. In the literature, missing data imputation techniques have been mostly concerned with filling missing values. However, the existence of missing values is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Mohammad Kachuee , Kimmo Karkkainen , Orpaz Goldstein , Sajad Darabi , Majid Sarrafzadeh