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The probability density is a fundamental quantity for characterizing diffusion processes. However, it is seldom known except in a few renowned cases, including Brownian motion and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and their bridges, geometric…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-05 Alain Mazzolo

We propose a test for model specification of a parametric diffusion process based on a kernel estimation of the transitional density of the process. The empirical likelihood is used to formulate a statistic, for each kernel smoothing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Song Xi Chen , Jiti Gao , Cheng Yong Tang

This paper considers the change point detection problem under dependent samples. In particular, we provide performance guarantees for the MMD-CUSUM test under exponentially $\alpha$, $\beta$, and fast $\phi$-mixing processes, which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-13 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

Many popular robust estimators are $U$-quantiles, most notably the Hodges-Lehmann location estimator and the $Q_n$ scale estimator. We prove a functional central limit theorem for the sequential $U$-quantile process without any moment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Daniel Vogel , Martin Wendler

We propose new tests to detect a change in the mean of a time series. Like many existing tests, the new ones are based on the CUSUM process. Existing CUSUM tests require an estimator of a scale parameter to make them asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Zsuzsanna Horváth , Marie Hušková

A CUSUM type test for constant correlation that goes beyond a previously suggested correlation constancy test by considering Spearman's rho in arbitrary dimensions is proposed. Since the new test does not require the existence of any…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-31 Dominik Wied , Herold Dehling , Maarten van Kampen , Daniel Vogel

In this study, we consider the experimentally-obtained, periodically-forced response of a nonlinear structure in the presence of process noise. Control-based continuation is used to measure both the stable and unstable periodic solutions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-17 Sandor Beregi , David A. W. Barton , Djamel Rezgui , Simon A. Neild

In this paper we consider the problem of detecting a change in the parameters of an autoregressive process, where the moments of the innovation process do not necessarily exist. An empirical likelihood ratio test for the existence of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Fumiya Akashi , Holger Dette , Yan Liu

Cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistics are widely used in the change point inference and identification. For the problem of testing for existence of a change point in an independent sample generated from the mean-shift model, we introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Mengjia Yu , Xiaohui Chen

In this paper, we consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series, which the true conditional distribution of the observations is assumed to be unknown. The conditional mean of the process depends on a parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

In the problem of quickest change detection, a change occurs at some unknown time in the distribution of a sequence of random vectors that are monitored in real time, and the goal is to detect this change as quickly as possible subject to a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Georgios Fellouris , George V. Moustakides

We study the problem of unbiased estimation of expectations with respect to (w.r.t.) $\pi$ a given, general probability measure on $(\mathbb{R}^d,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d))$ that is absolutely continuous with respect to a standard Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

We present a robust test for change-points in time series which is based on the two-sample Hodges-Lehmann estimator. We develop new limit theory for a class of statistics based on the two-sample U-quantile processes, in the case of short…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Herold Dehling , Roland Fried , Martin Wendler

For a stopped diffusion process in a multidimensional time-dependent domain $\D$, we propose and analyse a new procedure consisting in simulating the process with an Euler scheme with step size $\Delta$ and stopping it at discrete times…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-22 Emmanuel Gobet , Stéphane Menozzi

We present a distribution-free CUSUM procedure designed for online change detection in a time series of low-rank images, particularly when the change causes a mean shift. We represent images as matrix data and allow for temporal dependence,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Tingnan Gong , Seong-Hee Kim , Yao Xie

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations is considered. The pre-change observations are assumed to be stationary with a known distribution, while the post-change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-19 Yuchen Liang , Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We introduce a methodology for performing parameter inference in high-dimensional, non-linear diffusion processes. We illustrate its applicability for obtaining insights into the evolution of and relationships between species, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-15 Nicklas Boserup , Gefan Yang , Michael Lind Severinsen , Christy Anna Hipsley , Stefan Sommer

Distance covariance is a popular measure of dependence between random variables. It has some robustness properties, but not all. We prove that the influence function of the usual distance covariance is bounded, but that its breakdown value…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Sarah Leyder , Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw

We consider two problems of constructing of goodness of fit tests for ergodic diffusion processes. The first one is concerned with a composite basic hypothesis for a parametric class of diffusion processes, which includes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-06 Yury A. Kutoyants

Universal compression algorithms have been studied in the past for sequential change detection, where they have been used to estimate the post-change distribution in the modified version of the Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) Test. In this paper, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Vikrant Malik , R. K. Bansal
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