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Gilboa and Schmeidler's (1989) uncertainty aversion plays a central role in decision theory and economics, yet many inconsistent behaviors have been observed in experiments. Motivated by this, we study an axiom postulating a minimal degree…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-22 Kensei Nakamura , Shohei Yanagita

We consider an investor, whose portfolio consists of a single risky asset and a risk free asset, who wants to maximize his expected utility of the portfolio subject to managing the Value at Risk (VaR) assuming a heavy tailed distribution of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-02 Subhojit Biswas , Mrinal K. Ghosh , Diganta Mukherjee

In economics, risk aversion is modeled via a concave Bernoulli utility within the expected-utility paradigm. We propose a simple test of expected utility and concavity. We find little support for either: only 30 percent of the choices are…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-07 Jacob K Goeree , Bernardo Garcia-Pola

We propose a novel distribution-free scheme to solve optimization problems where the goal is to minimize the expected value of a cost function subject to probabilistic constraints. Unlike standard sampling-based methods, our idea consists…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Francesco Cordiano , Matin Jafarian , Bart De Schutter

Financial portfolio optimization is a widely studied problem in mathematics, statistics, financial and computational literature. It adheres to determining an optimal combination of weights associated with financial assets held in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-21 Ankit Dangi

This paper studies an $\alpha$-robust utility maximization problem where an investor faces an intractable claim -- an exogenous contingent claim with known marginal distribution but unspecified dependence structure with financial market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Xinyu Chen , Zuo Quan Xu

Within the framework proposed in this paper, we address the issue of extending the certain networks to a fuzzy certain networks in order to cope with a vagueness and limitations of existing models for decision under imprecise and uncertain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-06 Abdelkader Heni , Mohamed Nazih Omri , Adel Alimi

Sharpe et al. proposed the idea of having an expected utility maximizer choose a probability distribution for future wealth as an input to her investment problem instead of a utility function. They developed a computer program, called The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 Phillip Monin

This paper studies a type of periodic utility maximization for portfolio management in an incomplete market model, where the underlying price diffusion process depends on some external stochastic factors. The portfolio performance is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-29 Wenyuan Wang , Kaixin Yan , Xiang Yu

We present the first calibration of quantum decision theory (QDT) to a dataset of binary risky choice. We quantitatively account for the fraction of choice reversals between two repetitions of the experiment, using a probabilistic choice…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-06 T. Kovalenko , S. Vincent , V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

The portfolio optimization problem in which the variances of the return rates of assets are not identical is analyzed in this paper using the methodology of statistical mechanical informatics, specifically, replica analysis. We define two…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato

We consider the problem of seeking an optimal set of model points associated to a fixed portfolio of life insurance policies. Such an optimal set is characterized by minimizing a certain risk functional, which gauges the average discrepancy…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-24 Enrico Ferri

We propose an efficient algorithm for estimation of possibility based qualitative expected utility. It is useful for decision making mechanisms where each possible decision is assigned a multi-attribute possibility distribution. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Jakub Brzostowski , Ryszard Kowalczyk

We study the two-times differentiability of the value functions of the primal and dual optimization problems that appear in the setting of expected utility maximization in incomplete markets. We also study the differentiability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Dmitry Kramkov , Mihai S\^{ı}rbu

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

We study the utility maximization problem for power utility random fields in a semimartingale financial market, with and without intermediate consumption. The notion of an opportunity process is introduced as a reduced form of the value…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-03 Marcel Nutz

The optimization of large portfolios displays an inherent instability to estimation error. This poses a fundamental problem, because solutions that are not stable under sample fluctuations may look optimal for a given sample, but are, in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Susanne Still , Imre Kondor

We investigate the portfolio selection problem against the systemic risk which is measured by CoVaR. We first demonstrate that the systemic risk of pure stock portfolios is essentially uncontrollable due to the contagion effect and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Xiaochuan Pang , Shushang Zhu , Xueting Cui , Jiali Ma

We study the dynamic investment decisions of investors who prioritise specific quantiles of outcomes over their expected values. Downside-focused agents targeting low quantiles reduce risk in states with high variance, while those with a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Janasek , Attila Sarkany

We consider the robust utility maximization using a static holding in derivatives and a dynamic holding in the stock. There is no fixed model for the price of the stock but we consider a set of probability measures (models) which are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-19 Erhan Bayraktar , Zhou Zhou