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We propose a new model for regression and dependence analysis when addressing spatial data with possibly heavy tails and an asymmetric marginal distribution. We first propose a stationary process with $t$ marginals obtained through scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-20 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , R. B. Arellano Valle , V. Morales-Onñate

This paper shows an analysis of the gridded European precipitation data. We combine simple linear regression with data mining tools like clustering, and evaluate the strength of the results by the modern bootstrap methods. We have used the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-01 Csilla Hajas , András Zempléni

Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

The growing field of large-scale time domain astronomy requires methods for probabilistic data analysis that are computationally tractable, even with large datasets. Gaussian Processes are a popular class of models used for this purpose…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 Daniel Foreman-Mackey , Eric Agol , Sivaram Ambikasaran , Ruth Angus

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

This paper presents an alternative formulation of the geodesic normal distribution on the sphere, building on the work of Hauberg (2018). While the isotropic version of this distribution is naturally defined on the sphere, the anisotropic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-25 José E. Chacón , Andrea Meilán-Vila

Earth observation (EO) by airborne and satellite remote sensing and in-situ observations play a fundamental role in monitoring our planet. In the last decade, machine learning and Gaussian processes (GPs) in particular has attained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Gustau Camps-Valls , Dino Sejdinovic , Jakob Runge , Markus Reichstein

Accurate wind pattern modelling is crucial for various applications, including renewable energy, agriculture, and climate adaptation. In this paper, we introduce the wrapped Gaussian spatial process (WGSP), as well as the projected Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-13 Jacobus S. Blom , Priyanka Nagar , Andriette Bekker

Model--based clustering for directional data data has attracted a lot of interest, but most methods utilize rotationally symmetric distributions. This paper suggests the use of elliptically symmetric distributions, namely the elliptically…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Theodoros Perdikis , Nader Alharbi , Michail Tsagris

In a broad and fundamental type of ''inverse problems'' in science, one infers a spatially distributed physical attribute based on observations of processes that are controlled by the spatial attribute in question. The data-generating field…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-09 Zepu Zhang

The world ocean plays a key role in redistributing heat in the climate system and hence in regulating Earth's climate. Yet statistical analysis of ocean heat transport suffers from partially incomplete large-scale data intertwined with…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Beomjo Park , Mikael Kuusela , Donata Giglio , Alison Gray

This chapter describes a novel approach for the treatment of model error in geophysical data assimilation. In this method, model error is treated as a deterministic process fully correlated in time. This allows for the derivation of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-11-11 Alberto Carrassi , Stéphane Vannitsem

Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic global warming requires accurate Earth system model (ESM) simulations. Statistical bias correction and downscaling can be applied to reduce errors and increase the resolution of ESMs. However,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-24 Philipp Hess , Niklas Boers

Paleoclimatology -- the study of past climate -- is relevant beyond climate science itself, such as in archaeology and anthropology for understanding past human dispersal. Information about the Earth's paleoclimate comes from simulations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Seth D. Axen , Alexandra Gessner , Christian Sommer , Nils Weitzel , Álvaro Tejero-Cantero

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Scattering transforms are a new type of summary statistics recently developed for the study of highly non-Gaussian processes, which have been shown to be very promising for astrophysical studies. In particular, they allow one to build…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-12 Louise Mousset , Erwan Allys , Matthew A. Price , Jonathan Aumont , Jean-Marc Delouis , Ludovic Montier , Jason D. McEwen

Analysis of geostatistical data is often based on the assumption that the spatial random field is isotropic. This assumption, if erroneous, can adversely affect model predictions and statistical inference. Nowadays many applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-30 Indranil Sahoo , Joseph Guinness , Brian J. Reich

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

Aggregated data is commonplace in areas such as epidemiology and demography. For example, census data for a population is usually given as averages defined over time periods or spatial resolutions (cities, regions or countries). In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-20 Fariba Yousefi , Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We give an interpretation of the global shallow water quasi-geostrophic equations on the sphere $\Sph^2$ as a geodesic equation on the central extension of the quantomorphism group on $\Sph^3$. The study includes deriving the model as a…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Klas Modin , Ali Suri