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We obtain large and moderate deviation estimates, as well as concentration inequalities, for a class of nonuniformly expanding maps with stretched exponential decay of correlations. In the large deviation regime, we also exhibit examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 C Cuny , J Dedecker , F Merlevède

State estimation has a pivotal role in several applications, including but not limited to advanced control design. Especially when dealing with nonlinear systems state estimation is a nontrivial task, often entailing approximations and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-08 Riccardo Busetto , Valentina Breschi , Marco Forgione , Dario Piga , Simone Formentin

Identification of the parameters of stable linear dynamical systems is a well-studied problem in the literature, both in the low and high-dimensional settings. However, there are hardly any results for the unstable case, especially…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-06 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Real world evolves in continuous time but computations are done from finite samples. Therefore, we study algorithms using finite observations in continuous-time linear dynamical systems. We first study the system identification problem, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-30 Hongyi Zhou , Jingwei Li , Jingzhao Zhang

The identification of a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work that provides finite sample guarantees for linear system identification typically uses data from a single long system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Lei Xin , Baike She , Qi Dou , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

This paper establishes problem-specific sample complexity lower bounds for linear system identification problems. The sample complexity is defined in the PAC framework: it corresponds to the time it takes to identify the system parameters…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

Concentration inequalities are indispensable tools for studying the generalization capacity of learning models. Hoeffding's and McDiarmid's inequalities are commonly used, giving bounds independent of the data distribution. Although this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-21 Xinxing Wu , Junping Zhang

Clustering of time series is a well-studied problem, with applications ranging from quantitative, personalized models of metabolism obtained from metabolite concentrations to state discrimination in quantum information theory. We consider a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Mengjia Niu , Xiaoyu He , Petr Ryšavý , Quan Zhou , Jakub Marecek

We give concentration bounds for martingales that are uniform over finite times and extend classical Hoeffding and Bernstein inequalities. We also demonstrate our concentration bounds to be optimal with a matching anti-concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Akshay Balsubramani

In this paper we develop a method for learning nonlinear systems with multiple outputs and inputs. We begin by modelling the errors of a nominal predictor of the system using a latent variable framework. Then using the maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-28 Per Mattsson , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

This paper gives new concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of a wide class of matrix martingales in continuous time. These results extend previously established Freedman and Bernstein inequalities for series of random matrices to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-28 Emmanuel Bacry , Stéphane Gaïffas , Jean-François Muzy

We propose new concentration inequalities for self-normalized martingales. The main idea is to introduce a suitable weighted sum of the predictable quadratic variation and the total quadratic variation of the martingale. It offers much more…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Bernard Bercu , Taieb Touati

Dynamic nonlinear systems exhibit distortions arising from coupled static and dynamic effects. Their intertwined nature poses major challenges for data-driven modeling. This paper presents a theoretical framework grounded in structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Sri Satish Krishna Chaitanya Bulusu , Mikko Sillanpää

We investigate quantitative implications of the notion of log-concavity through a probabilistic interpretation. In particular, we derive concentration inequalities, moment and entropy bounds for random variables satisfying a precise degree…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Arnaud Marsiglietti , James Melbourne

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

Complex networks are ubiquitous to several Computer Science domains. Centrality measures are an important analysis mechanism to uncover vital elements of complex networks. However, these metrics have high computational costs and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Felipe Grando , Lisando Z. Granville , Luis C. Lamb

This paper addresses the problem of long-context linear system identification, where the state $x_t$ of a dynamical system at time $t$ depends linearly on previous states $x_s$ over a fixed context window of length $p$. We establish a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-03 Oğuz Kaan Yüksel , Mathieu Even , Nicolas Flammarion

This paper considers the problem of identifying the parameters of an uncertain linear system by means of feedback control. The problem is approached by considering time-varying controllers. It is shown that even when the uncertainty set is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-17 G. Battistelli , P. Tesi

In this paper, we aim to improve multivariate anomaly detection (AD) by modeling the \textit{time-varying non-linear spatio-temporal correlations} found in multivariate time series data . In multivariate time series data, an anomaly may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Padmaksha Roy , Almuatazbellah Boker , Lamine Mili

Bilinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in many different domains and they can also be used to approximate more general control-affine systems. This motivates the problem of learning bilinear systems from a single trajectory of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Yahya Sattar , Samet Oymak , Necmiye Ozay