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Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

We provide a recursive method for constructing product formula approximations to exponentials of commutators, giving the first approximations that are accurate to arbitrarily high order. Using these formulas, we show how to approximate…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-11-22 Andrew M. Childs , Nathan Wiebe

We propose a recursive method for the computation of the cumulants of self-exciting point processes of Hawkes type, based on standard combinatorial tools such as Bell polynomials. This closed-form approach is easier to implement on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Nicolas Privault

Associated to a finite measure on the real line with finite moments are recurrence coefficients in a three-term formula for orthogonal polynomials with respect to this measure. These recurrence coefficients are frequently inputs to modern…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Zexin Liu , Akil Narayan

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser

A finite-support constraint on the parameter space is used to derive a lower bound on the error of an estimator of the correlation coefficient in the bivariate exponential distribution. The bound is then exploited to examine optimality of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 W. J. Szajnowski

An explicit procedure to construct a family of martingales generated by a process with independent increments is presented. The main tools are the polynomials that give the relationship between the moments and cumulants, and a set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-20 Josep Lluís Solé , Frederic Utzet

We establish a combinatorial formula for homogeneous moments and give some examples where it can be put to use. An application to the statistical mechanics of interacting gauged vortices is discussed.

Symplectic Geometry · Mathematics 2011-08-04 Michael G. Eastwood , Nuno M. Romão

Continuous time models in the theory of real options give explicit formulas for optimal exercise strategies when options are simple and the price of an underlying asset follows a geometric Brownian motion. This paper suggests a general,…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Sergei Levendorskii

Reaction-diffusion equations are widely used as the governing evolution equations for modeling many physical, chemical, and biological processes. Here we derive reaction-diffusion equations to model transport with reactions on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-16 E. Abad , C. N. Angstmann , B. I. Henry , A. V. McGann , F. Le Vot , S. B. Yuste

The discovery of transition pathways to unravel distinct reaction mechanisms and, in general, rare events that occur in molecular systems is still a challenge. Recent advances have focused on analyzing the transition path ensemble using the…

We present a method that permits the calculation of the dynamical correlation functions for quantum systems. These are obtained by evaluating the generating functionals of the static moments of the relaxation functions in a self-consistent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 A. Cuccoli , R. Giachetti , V. Tognetti , R. Vaia

We consider a renewal-reward process with multivariate rewards. Such a process is constructed from an i.i.d.\ sequence of time periods, to each of which there is associated a multivariate reward vector. The rewards in each time period may…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-08 Brendan Patch , Yoni Nazarathy , Thomas Taimre

Starting from an iterative and hence numerically easily implementable representation of the thin set of jumps of a c\`{a}dl\`{a}g adapted stochastic process $X$ (including a few applications to the integration with respect to the jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Frank Oertel

In this paper, we present a very fast Monte Carlo scheme for additive processes: the computational time is of the same order of magnitude of standard algorithms for Brownian motions. We analyze in detail numerical error sources and propose…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-17 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

We develop a general approach for monitoring and controlling evolution of open quantum systems. In contrast to the master equations describing time evolution of density operators, here, we formulate a dynamical equation for the evolution of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-08-09 M. Mohseni , A. T. Rezakhani

The paper Borovkova et al. [4] uses moment matching method to obtain closed form formulas for spread and basket call option prices under log normal models. In this note, we also use moment matching method to obtain semi-closed form formulas…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Dongdong Hu , Hasanjan Sayit , Svetlozar T. Rachev

In this article, we propose a new method for calculating the mixed correlation coefficient (Pearson, polyserial and polychoric) matrix and its covariance matrix based on the GMM framework. We build moment equations for each coefficient and…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-11 Ben Liu , Peng Zhang , Yi Feng , Xiaowei Lou

The instability of historical risk factor correlations renders their use in estimating portfolio risk extremely questionable. In periods of market stress correlations of risk factors have a tendency to quickly go well beyond estimated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-10 Vineer Bhansali , Mark B. Wise

Forward-looking correlations are of interest in different financial applications, including factor-based asset pricing, forecasting stock-price movements or pricing index options. With a focus on non-FX markets, this paper defines necessary…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-02 Wolfgang Schadner