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In the past decade the mathematical theory of machine learning has lagged far behind the triumphs of deep neural networks on practical challenges. However, the gap between theory and practice is gradually starting to close. In this paper I…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-01 Mikhail Belkin

Modern deep neural networks are highly over-parameterized compared to the data on which they are trained, yet they often generalize remarkably well. A flurry of recent work has asked: why do deep networks not overfit to their training data?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Minyoung Huh , Hossein Mobahi , Richard Zhang , Brian Cheung , Pulkit Agrawal , Phillip Isola

This paper focuses on over-parameterized deep neural networks (DNNs) with ReLU activation functions and proves that when the data distribution is well-separated, DNNs can achieve Bayes-optimal test error for classification while obtaining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Zhenyu Zhu , Fanghui Liu , Grigorios G Chrysos , Francesco Locatello , Volkan Cevher

This paper analyzes the generalization error of minimum-norm interpolating solutions in linear regression using spiked covariance data models. The paper characterizes how varying spike strengths and target-spike alignments can affect risk,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Jiping Li , Rishi Sonthalia

Generalization performance of classifiers in deep learning has recently become a subject of intense study. Deep models, typically over-parametrized, tend to fit the training data exactly. Despite this "overfitting", they perform well on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-18 Mikhail Belkin , Siyuan Ma , Soumik Mandal

The generalization ability of kernel interpolation in large dimensions (i.e., $n \asymp d^{\gamma}$ for some $\gamma>0$) might be one of the most interesting problems in the recent renaissance of kernel regression, since it may help us…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Haobo Zhang , Weihao Lu , Qian Lin

We investigate the high-dimensional linear regression problem in the presence of noise correlated with Gaussian covariates. This correlation, known as endogeneity in regression models, often arises from unobserved variables and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Toshiki Tsuda , Masaaki Imaizumi

We examine the necessity of interpolation in overparameterized models, that is, when achieving optimal predictive risk in machine learning problems requires (nearly) interpolating the training data. In particular, we consider simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-17 Chen Cheng , John Duchi , Rohith Kuditipudi

Classical wisdom suggests that estimators should avoid fitting noise to achieve good generalization. In contrast, modern overparameterized models can yield small test error despite interpolating noise -- a phenomenon often called "benign…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Michael Aerni , Marco Milanta , Konstantin Donhauser , Fanny Yang

Neural networks trained with class-imbalanced data are known to perform poorly on minor classes of scarce training data. Several recent works attribute this to over-fitting to minor classes. In this paper, we provide a novel explanation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan , Wei-Lun Chao

Current deep neural networks are highly overparameterized (up to billions of connection weights) and nonlinear. Yet they can fit data almost perfectly through variants of gradient descent algorithms and achieve unexpected levels of…

We consider the overfitting behavior of minimum norm interpolating solutions of Gaussian kernel ridge regression (i.e. kernel ridgeless regression), when the bandwidth or input dimension varies with the sample size. For fixed dimensions, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Marko Medvedev , Gal Vardi , Nathan Srebro

An overarching goal in machine learning is to build a generalizable model with few samples. To this end, overparameterization has been the subject of immense interest to explain the generalization ability of deep nets even when the size of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Yue Sun , Adhyyan Narang , Halil Ibrahim Gulluk , Samet Oymak , Maryam Fazel

A recent line of work has shown that an overparametrized neural network can perfectly fit the training data, an otherwise often intractable nonconvex optimization problem. For (fully-connected) shallow networks, in the best case scenario,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Armin Eftekhari , ChaeHwan Song , Volkan Cevher

A continuing mystery in understanding the empirical success of deep neural networks is their ability to achieve zero training error and generalize well, even when the training data is noisy and there are more parameters than data points. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Vidya Muthukumar , Kailas Vodrahalli , Vignesh Subramanian , Anant Sahai

Likelihood-based, or explicit, deep generative models use neural networks to construct flexible high-dimensional densities. This formulation directly contradicts the manifold hypothesis, which states that observed data lies on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-30 Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem , Brendan Leigh Ross , Jesse C. Cresswell , Anthony L. Caterini

We study double descent and benign overfitting in macroeconomic forecasting. We document that double-descent risk curves arise in standard macroeconomic datasets that are driven by a small number of latent factors, and we characterize when…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-18 Andrea Carriero , Florian Huber , Davide Pettenuzzo

Deep networks are typically trained with many more parameters than the size of the training dataset. Recent empirical evidence indicates that the practice of overparameterization not only benefits training large models, but also assists -…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Xiangyu Chang , Yingcong Li , Samet Oymak , Christos Thrampoulidis

Over-parameterization and adaptive methods have played a crucial role in the success of deep learning in the last decade. The widespread use of over-parameterization has forced us to rethink generalization by bringing forth new phenomena,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-01 Vatsal Shah , Soumya Basu , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Sujay Sanghavi

In this work, we investigate the behavior of ridge regression in an overparameterized binary classification task. We assume examples are drawn from (anisotropic) class-conditional cluster distributions with opposing means and we allow for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Alexander Tsigler , Luiz F. O. Chamon , Spencer Frei , Peter L. Bartlett