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Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Sparse autoencoders can localize where concepts live in language models, but not how they interact during multi-step reasoning. We propose Causal Concept Graphs (CCG): a directed acyclic graph over sparse, interpretable latent features,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Md Muntaqim Meherab , Noor Islam S. Mohammad , Faiza Feroz

Causal graphs are widely used in software engineering to document and explore causal relationships. Though widely used, they may also be wildly misleading. Causal structures generated from SE data can be highly variable. This instability is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Jeremy Hulse , Nasir U. Eisty , Tim Menzies

Causal inference is a science with multi-disciplinary evolution and applications. On the one hand, it measures effects of treatments in observational data based on experimental designs and rigorous statistical inference to draw causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Jingying Zeng , Run Wang

Current approaches for modeling discrete-valued outcomes associated with spatially-dependent areal units incur computational and theoretical challenges, especially in the Bayesian setting when full posterior inference is desired. As an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-22 J. Brandon Carter , Catherine A. Calder

Abstractive related work generation has attracted increasing attention in generating coherent related work that better helps readers grasp the background in the current research. However, most existing abstractive models ignore the inherent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Jiachang Liu , Qi Zhang , Chongyang Shi , Usman Naseem , Shoujin Wang , Ivor Tsang

Reasoning about the effect of interventions and counterfactuals is a fundamental task found throughout the data sciences. A collection of principles, algorithms, and tools has been developed for performing such tasks in the last decades…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-08 Tara V. Anand , Adèle H. Ribeiro , Jin Tian , Elias Bareinboim

We consider a binary response which is potentially affected by a set of continuous variables. Of special interest is the causal effect on the response due to an intervention on a specific variable. The latter can be meaningfully determined…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-11 Federico Castelletti , Guido Consonni

This essay is about a neural implementation of the fuzzy cognitive map, the FHM, and corresponding evaluations. Firstly, a neural net has been designed to behave the same way that an FCM does; as inputs it accepts many fuzzy cognitive maps…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Alexis Kafantaris

To determine causal relationships between two variables, approaches based on Functional Causal Models (FCMs) have been proposed by properly restricting model classes; however, the performance is sensitive to the model assumptions, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Ruibo Tu , Kun Zhang , Hedvig Kjellström , Cheng Zhang

Deep generative models have shown tremendous capability in data density estimation and data generation from finite samples. While these models have shown impressive performance by learning correlations among features in the data, some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Aneesh Komanduri , Xintao Wu , Yongkai Wu , Feng Chen

Numerous learning methods for fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs), such as the Hebbian-based and the population-based learning methods, have been developed for modeling and simulating dynamic systems. However, these methods are faced with several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-23 Guoliang Feng , Wei Lu , Witold Pedrycz , Jianhua Yang , Xiaodong Liu

Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and associated probability models are widely used to model neural connectivity and communication channels. In many experiments, data are collected from multiple subjects whose connectivities may differ but are…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-17 Chris J. Oates , Lilia Carneiro da Costa , Tom Nichols

The Fuzzy General Grey Cognitive Map (FGGCM) and Fuzzy Grey Cognitive Map (FGCM) extend the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) by integrating uncertainty from multiple interval data or fuzzy numbers. Despite extensive studies on the convergence of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-18 Xudong Gao , Xiaoguang Gao , Jia Rong , Xiaolei Li , Ni Li , Yifeng Niu , Jun Chen

Causal graphs, such as directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and partial ancestral graphs (PAGs), represent causal relationships among variables in a model. Methods exist for learning DAGs and PAGs from data and for converting DAGs to PAGs.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-19 Nishant Subramani

It has been stated that the notion of cause and effect is one object of study that sciences and engineering revolve around. Lately, in software engineering, diagrammatic causal inference methods (e.g., Pearl s model) have gained popularity…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Sabah Al-Fedaghi

Causal discovery serves a pivotal role in mitigating model uncertainty through recovering the underlying causal mechanisms among variables. In many practical domains, such as healthcare, access to the data gathered by individual entities is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Amin Abyaneh , Nino Scherrer , Patrick Schwab , Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Arash Mehrjou

Effective connectivity analysis in functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) studies directional interactions among brain regions and experimental stimuli. Dynamic causal modeling (DCM) is a widely used method to estimate effective…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Kaitlyn R. Fales , Hyebin Song , Nicole A. Lazar

Finding cause-effect relationships is of key importance in science. Causal discovery aims to recover a graph from data that succinctly describes these cause-effect relationships. However, current methods face several challenges, especially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Jan Marco Ruiz de Vargas , Kirtan Padh , Niki Kilbertus

A new fuzzy optimization framework that extends FCM causality is proposed. This model utilizes the dynamics to map data into metrics and create a framework that examines logical implication and hierarchy of concepts using a multiplex.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Alexis Kafantaris