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Inferring the coupling direction from measured time series of complex systems is challenging. We propose a new state space based causality measure obtained from cross-distance vectors for quantifying interaction strength. It is a model-free…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-05-04 Martin Brešar , Pavle Boškoski

We discuss ways to measure duration in a power transmission system resilience event by modeling outage and restore processes from utility data. We introduce novel Poisson process models that describe how resilience events progress and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-04 Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva

This contribution studies a well-known failure criterion and its application to the life-time prediction of adhesive anchor systems under sustained load. The Monkman-Grant relation, which has previously been applied to a wide range of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-03 Ioannis Boumakis , Krešimir Ninčević , Jan Vorel , Roman Wan-Wendner

A time series consists of a series of values or events obtained over repeated measurements in time. Analysis of time series represents and important tool in many application areas, such as stock market analysis, process and quality control,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-12-30 Vladimir Kurbalija , Miloš Radovanović , Zoltan Geler , Mirjana Ivanović

The paper deals with an empirical validation of a building thermal model. We put the emphasis on sensitivity analysis and on research of inputs/residual correlation to improve our model. In this article, we apply a sensitivity analysis…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-12-26 T. A. Mara , F. Garde , H. Boyer , M. Mamode

The electric distribution system is a cornerstone of modern life, playing a critical role in the daily activities and well-being of individuals. As the world transitions toward a decarbonized future, where even mobility relies on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Shikhar Pandey , Gowtham Kandaperumal , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Dynamical response functions are standard tools for probing local physics near the equilibrium. They provide information about relaxation properties after the equilibrium state is weakly perturbed. In this paper we focus on systems which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-08 Marko Medenjak , Tomaz Prosen , Lenart Zadnik

Structural break identification methods are an important tool for evaluating the effectiveness of climate change mitigation policies. In this paper, we introduce a unified probabilistic framework for detecting structural breaks with unknown…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-06 Lucas D. Konrad , Lukas Vashold , Jesus Crespo Cuaresma

Discrete-time random walks and their extensions are common tools for analyzing animal movement data. In these analyses, resolution of temporal discretization is a critical feature. Ideally, a model both mirrors the relevant temporal scale…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-27 Ulrike E. Schlägel , Mark A. Lewis

Assessing the causal effect of time-varying exposures on recurrent event processes is challenging in the presence of a terminating event. Our objective is to estimate both the short-term and delayed marginal causal effects of exposures on…

In this paper we review an approach to estimating the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time to some event of interest. This approach is designed for the situation where the treatment may have been repeatedly adapted to patient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 J. J. Lok , R. D. Gill , A. W. van der Vaart , J. M. Robins

Bone adapts in response to its mechanical environment. This evolution of bone density is one of the most important mechanisms for developing fracture resistance. A finite element framework for simulating bone adaptation, commonly called…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Karol Lewandowski , Łukasz Kaczmarczyk , Ignatios Athanasiadis , John F. Marshall , Chris J. Pearce

Nonlinear Resonant Ultrasound Spectroscopy (NRUS) experiments that rely on repeated sampling of resonance curves are inherently sensitive to measurement protocol due to evolution of material parameters caused by fast and slow dynamic…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Jan Kober , Radovan Zeman , Marco Scalerandi

Complexity in engineered systems presents one of the most persistent challenges in modern development since it is driving cost overruns, schedule delays, and outright project failures. Yet while architectural complexity has been studied,…

As an integral part of assessing the seismic performance of structures, the probabilistic seismic demand-intensity relationship has been widely studied. In this study, the phenomenon of heteroscedasticity in probabilistic seismic demand…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-19 Libo Chen

A recently proposed method for scaling real accelerograms to obtain sets of code-compliant records is assessed. The method, which uses combined time and amplitude scaling, corroborated with an imposed value of an instrumental, Arias type…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-01-15 Iolanda-Gabriela Craifaleanu , Ioan Sorin Borcia

A theoretical scaling law for the size effect of the strength of brittle materials is presented. To some extend, it can be seen as an extension of the well known Weibull law. For that a correlated Random Fields is used to model the…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-09-21 Emmanuel Roubin , Jean-Baptiste Colliat

Bayesian model updating facilitates the calibration of analytical models based on observations and the quantification of uncertainties in model parameters such as stiffness and mass. This process significantly enhances damage assessment and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-06 Taro Yaoyama , Tatsuya Itoi , Jun Iyama

The transition from quasi-static slip growth to dynamic rupture propagation constitutes one possible scenario to describe earthquake nucleation. If this transition is rather well understood for homogeneous faults, how the friction…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-03-18 Mathias Lebihain , Thibault Roch , Marie Violay , Jean-François Molinari

We study efficiency of intensity-based dynamic speckle method for characterization of dynamic events which occur at variable rate in time within the temporal averaging interval. We checked ability of the method to describe the speed…