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We present a novel approach to the pricing of financial instruments in emission markets, for example, the EU ETS. The proposed structural model is positioned between existing complex full equilibrium models and pure reduced form models.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Sam Howison , Daniel Schwarz

The European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) is a cornerstone of the EU's strategy to fight climate change and an important device for plummeting greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in an economically efficient manner. The power industry…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-03 Arega Getaneh Abate , Rossana Riccardi , Carlos Ruiz

The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), the world's first and largest cap-and-trade carbon market, is a cornerstone of EU climate policy. This study provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the EU carbon market's…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-21 Avirup Chakraborty

This paper explores the relationship between economic growth and CO$_2$ emissions across European regions from 1990 to 2022, specifically concerning the dynamics of emissions growth rates through different phases of the European Union…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-29 Marco Dueñas , Antoine Mandel

The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) is a key policy tool for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and advancing toward a net-zero economy. Under this scheme, tradeable carbon credits, European Union Allowances (EUAs), are…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-16 Jan Maciejowski , Manuele Leonelli

We introduce a model for the evolution of emissions and the price of emissions allowances in a carbon market such as the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). The model accounts for multiple trading periods, or phases, with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-21 Chassagneux Jean-Francois , Chotai Hinesh , Crisan Dan

The European Union Emission Trading Scheme is a carbon emission allowance trading system designed by Europe to achieve emission reduction targets. The amount of carbon emission caused by production activities is closely related to the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-19 Peng-Fei Dai , Xiong Xiong , Toan Luu Duc Huynh , Jiqiang Wang

The European carbon market plays a pivotal role in the European Union's ambitious target of achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. Understanding the intricacies of factors influencing European Union Emission Trading System (EU ETS) market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-10 Cristiano Salvagnin , Aldo Glielmo , Maria Elena De Giuli , Antonietta Mira

Putting a price on carbon -- with taxes or developing carbon markets -- is a widely used policy measure to achieve the target of net-zero emissions by 2050. This paper tackles the issue of producing point, direction-of-change, and density…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-21 Andrea Bastianin , Elisabetta Mirto , Yan Qin , Luca Rossini

Existing emissions trading system (ETS) designs inhibit emissions but do not constrain warming to any fxed level, preventing certainty of the global path of warming. Instead, they have the indirect objective of reducing emissions. They…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-01 John F. Raffensperger

The results based on the nonparametric nearest neighbor matching suggest a statistically significant positive effect of the EU ETS on the economic performance of the regulated firms during Phase I of the EU ETS. A year-by-year analysis…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-17 Nitish Gupta , Ruchir Kaul , Satwik Gupta , Jay Shah

We study the prices of European Emission Allowances (EUA), whereby we analyze their uncertainty and dependencies on related energy prices (natural gas, coal, and oil). We propose a probabilistic multivariate conditional time series model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-13 Jonathan Berrisch , Sven Pappert , Florian Ziel , Antonia Arsova

In this paper, we estimate the causal impact (i.e. Average Treatment Effect, ATT) of the EU ETS on GHG emissions and firm competitiveness (primarily measured by employment, turnover, and exports levels) by combining a…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-17 Nitish Gupta , Jay Shah , Satwik Gupta , Ruchir Kaul

An increase in energy production from renewable energy sources is viewed as a crucial achievement in most industrialized countries. The higher variability of power production via renewables leads to a rise in ancillary service costs over…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-25 Mario Mureddu , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

Recent increases in basic food prices are severely impacting vulnerable populations worldwide. Proposed causes such as shortages of grain due to adverse weather, increasing meat consumption in China and India, conversion of corn to ethanol…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-23 Marco Lagi , Yavni Bar-Yam , Karla Z. Bertrand , Yaneer Bar-Yam

In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Muhammad Khan , Mazen Kebewar , Nikolay Nenovsky

Tackling climate change is at the top of many agendas. In this context, emission trading schemes are considered as promising tools. The regulatory framework for an emission trading scheme introduces a market for emission allowances and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Juri Hinz , Alex Novikov

The global carbon market is fragmented and characterized by limited pricing transparency and empirical evidence, creating challenges for investors and policymakers in identifying carbon management opportunities. The European Union is among…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-12 Joseph Nyangon , Brecht Seifi

The recent energy crisis starting in 2021 led to record-high gas, coal, carbon and power prices, with electricity reaching up to 40 times the pre-crisis average. This had dramatic consequences for operational and risk management prompting…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-27 Paul Ghelasi , Florian Ziel

We consider stochastic volatility models under parameter uncertainty and investigate how model derived prices of European options are affected. We let the pricing parameters evolve dynamically in time within a specified region, and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Martin Tegnér
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