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Related papers: Probabilistic Error Analysis for Inner Products

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We derive two probabilistic bounds for the relative forward error in the floating point summation of $n$ real numbers, by representing the roundoffs as independent, zero-mean, bounded random variables. The first probabilistic bound is based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Johnathan Rhyne

This paper considers a probabilistic model for floating-point computation in which the roundoff errors are represented by bounded random variables with mean zero. Using this model, a probabilistic bound is derived for the forward error of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-15 Eric Hallman

Probabilistic rounding error analysis can yield much sharper bounds than classical worst-case theory, but existing results typically rely on zero-mean rounding errors and often leave the confidence parameter implicit. This work revisits…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-10 Sahil Bhola , Karthik Duraisamy

We present a detailed study of roundoff errors in probabilistic floating-point computations. We derive closed-form expressions for the distribution of roundoff errors associated with a random variable, and we prove that roundoff errors are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-28 George Constantinides , Fredrik Dahlqvist , Zvonimir Rakamaric , Rocco Salvia

The conventional rounding error analysis provides worst-case bounds with an associated failure probability and ignores the statistical property of the rounding errors. In this paper, we develop a new statistical rounding error analysis for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Yiming Fang , Li Chen

Finite-precision floating point arithmetic unavoidably introduces rounding errors which are traditionally bounded using a worst-case analysis. However, worst-case analysis might be overly conservative because worst-case errors can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-11 Fredrik Dahlqvist , Rocco Salvia , George A Constantinides

Edge-exchangeable probabilistic network models generate edges as an i.i.d.~sequence from a discrete measure, providing a simple means for statistical inference of latent network properties. The measure is often constructed using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Xinglong Li , Trevor Campbell

The quality of numerical computations can be measured through their forward error, for which finding good error bounds is challenging in general. For several algorithms and using stochastic rounding (SR), probabilistic analysis has been…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-29 Pablo de Oliveira Castro , El-Mehdi El Arar , Eric Petit , Devan Sohier

Floating-point round-off errors are ubiquitous in numerically intensive programs arising in fields such as scientific computing and optimization. As floating-point errors potentially lead to unexpected and catastrophic program failures, one…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Yichen Tao , Hongfei Fu , Jiawei Chen , Jean-Baptiste Jeannin

A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein numerical error is regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several statistical challenges, including the design of statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-19 François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates , Mark Girolami , Michael A. Osborne , Dino Sejdinovic

In this paper, we propose the uncertain volatility models with stochastic bounds. Like the regular uncertain volatility models, we know only that the true model lies in a family of progressively measurable and bounded processes, but instead…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-17 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ning Ning

The classical approach to system identification is based on stochastic assumptions about the measurement error, and provides estimates that have random nature. Worst-case identification, on the other hand, only assumes the knowledge of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-07 Fabrizio Dabbene , Mario Sznaier , Roberto Tempo

Probabilities of causation (PoCs) are fundamental quantities for counterfactual analysis and personalized decision making. However, existing analytical results are largely confined to binary settings. This paper extends PoCs to multi-valued…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Xin Shu , Shuai Wang , Ang Li

We analyse the forward error in the floating point summation of real numbers, from algorithms that do not require recourse to higher precision or better hardware. We derive informative explicit expressions, and new deterministic and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Eric Hallman , Ilse C. F. Ipsen

We analyze the forward error in the floating point summation of real numbers, for computations in low precision or extreme-scale problem dimensions that push the limits of the precision. We present a systematic recurrence for a martingale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Eric Hallman , Ilse C. F. Ipsen

Online learning methods yield sequential regret bounds under minimal assumptions and provide in-expectation risk bounds for statistical learning. However, despite the apparent advantage of online guarantees over their statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

In a first part, we present a mathematical analysis of a general methodology of a probabilistic learning inference that allows for estimating a posterior probability model for a stochastic boundary value problem from a prior probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Christian Soize

In this work, we present a novel inner product design for stochastic computing. Stochastic computing is an emerging computing technique, that encodes a number in the probability of observing a one in a random bit stream. This leads to…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Werner Haselmayr , Daniel Wiesinger , Michael Lunglmayr

In competitive industries, a reliable yield forecasting is a prime factor to accurately determine the production costs and therefore ensure profitability. Indeed, quantifying the risks long before the effective manufacturing process enables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Julie Oger , Emmanuel Lesigne , Philippe Leduc

Coherent lower previsions are general probabilistic models allowing incompletely specified probability distributions. However, for complete description of a coherent lower prevision -- even on finite underlying sample spaces -- an infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Damjan Škulj
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