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Financial networks are typically estimated by applying standard time series analyses to price-based economic variables collected at low-frequency (e.g., daily or monthly stock returns or realized volatility). These networks are used for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-09 Kara Karpman , Sumanta Basu , David Easley

Long-term planning, as in reinforcement learning (RL), involves finding strategies: actions that collectively work toward a goal rather than individually optimizing their immediate outcomes. As part of a strategy, some actions are taken at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Alihan Hüyük , Finale Doshi-Velez

In this paper we analyse the effects of information flows in cryptocurrency markets. We first define a cryptocurrency trading network, i.e. the network made using cryptocurrencies as nodes and the Granger causality among their weekly log…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-11 Tomas Scagliarini , Giuseppe Pappalardo , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda , Sebastiano Stramaglia

We study the cluster dynamics of multichannel (multivariate) time series by representing their correlations as time-dependent networks and investigating the evolution of network communities. We employ a node-centric approach that allows us…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

In this paper, we introduce a matrix-valued time series model for foreign exchange market. We then formulate trading matrices, foreign exchange options and return options (matrices), as well as on-line portfolio strategies. Moreover, we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-04 Panpan Ren , Jiang-Lun Wu

We study the long memory of order flow for each of three liquid currency pairs on a large electronic trading platform in the foreign exchange (FX) spot market. Due to the extremely high levels of market activity on the platform, and in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-23 Martin D. Gould , Mason A. Porter , Sam D. Howison

Stock market comovements are examined using cointegration, Granger causality tests and nonlinear approaches in context of mutual information and correlations. Underlying data sets are affected by non-stationarities and trends, we also apply…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-07 Paulo Ferreira , Andreia Dionísio , S. M. S. Movahed

In this paper we test the random walk hypothesis on the high frequency dataset of the bid--ask Deutschemark/US dollar exchange rate quotes registered by the inter-bank Reuters network over the period October 1, 1992 to September 30, 1993.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Baviera , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani

We build an agent-based model to study how the interplay between low- and high-frequency trading affects asset price dynamics. Our main goal is to investigate whether high-frequency trading exacerbates market volatility and generates flash…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-11 Sandrine Jacob Leal , Mauro Napoletano , Andrea Roventini , Giorgio Fagiolo

This study investigates the efficiency of some select stock markets. Using an improved wavelet estimator of long range dependence, we show evidence of long memory in the stock returns of some emerging Asian economies. However, developed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-21 Avishek Bhandari , Bandi Kamaiah

We quantify how co-jumps impact correlations in currency markets. To disentangle the continuous part of quadratic covariation from co-jumps, and study the influence of co-jumps on correlations, we propose a new wavelet-based estimator. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-17 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

The leverage effect refers to the generally negative correlation between the return of an asset and the changes in its volatility. There is broad agreement in the literature that the effect should be present for theoretical reasons, and it…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-25 Dangxing Chen

There is intense interest in understanding the stochastic and dynamical properties of the global Foreign Exchange (FX) market, whose daily transactions exceed one trillion US dollars. This is a formidable task since the FX market is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Neil F. Johnson , Mark McDonald , Omer Suleman , Stacy Williams , Sam Howison

We investigate high frequency price dynamics in foreign exchange market using data from Reuters information system (the dataset has been provided to us by Ols en & Associates). In our analysis we show that a na\"ive approach to the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Filippo Petroni , Maurizio Serva

To identify emerging interdependencies between traded stocks we investigate the behavior of the stocks of FTSE 100 companies in the period 2000-2015, by looking at daily stock values. Exploiting the power of information theoretical measures…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-05 Jacopo Rocchi , Enoch Yan Lok Tsui , David Saad

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mézard

International trade has been in the forefront of economic development and growth debates. Trade openness, its definition, scope, and impacts have also been studied numerously. Tariff has been dubbed as negative influencer of economic growth…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-15 S M Toufiqul Huq Sowrov

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Leveraged Exchange Traded Funds (LETFs), while extremely controversial in the literature, remain stubbornly popular with both institutional and retail investors in practice. While the criticisms of LETFs are certainly valid, we argue that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Pieter van Staden , Peter Forsyth , Yuying Li

Dynamic hedging strategies are essential for effective risk management in derivatives markets, where volatility and market sentiment can greatly impact performance. This paper introduces a novel framework that leverages large language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Jie Yang , Yiqiu Tang , Yongjie Li , Lihua Zhang , Haoran Zhang