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This paper offers a new approach to modeling and forecasting of nonstationary time series with applications to volatility modeling for financial data. The approach is based on the assumption of local homogeneity: for every time point, there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Vladimir Spokoiny

Graphs are commonly used to represent and visualize causal relations. For a small number of variables, this approach provides a succinct and clear view of the scenario at hand. As the number of variables under study increases, the graphical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-16 Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

Dynamic networks are increasingly being usedd to model real world datasets. A challenging task in their analysis is to detect and characterize clusters. It is useful for analyzing real-world data such as detecting evolving communities in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Kun Tu , Bruno Ribeiro , Ananthram Swami , Don Towsley

This paper introduces a novel asynchronous, event-driven algorithm for real-time detection of small event clusters in event camera data. Like other hierarchical agglomerative clustering algorithms, the algorithm detects the event clusters…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 David El-Chai Ben-Ezra , Adar Tal , Daniel Brisk

Clustering algorithms fundamentally group data points by characteristics to identify patterns. Over the past two decades, researchers have extended these methods to analyze trajectories of humans, animals, and vehicles, studying their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Atieh Rahmani , Mansoor Davoodi , Justin M. Calabrese

Statistical node clustering in discrete time dynamic networks is an emerging field that raises many challenges. Here, we explore statistical properties and frequentist inference in a model that combines a stochastic block model (SBM) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-23 Catherine Matias , Vincent Miele

Human behavior modeling deals with learning and understanding behavior patterns inherent in humans' daily routines. Existing pattern mining techniques either assume human dynamics is strictly periodic, or require the number of modes as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Rohan Kabra , Divya Saxena , Dhaval Patel , Jiannong Cao

Economic policy and research rely on the correct evaluation of the billions of high-frequency data points that we collect every day. Consistent clustering algorithms, like DBSCAN, allow us to make sense of the data in a useful way. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Nicholas Waltz

The paper tackles the problem of clustering multiple networks, directed or not, that do not share the same set of vertices, into groups of networks with similar topology. A statistical model-based approach based on a finite mixture of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Tabea Rebafka

An original graph clustering approach to efficient localization of error covariances is proposed within an ensemble-variational data assimilation framework. Here the localization term is very generic and refers to the idea of breaking up a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-03 Sibo Cheng , Jean-Philippe Argaud , Bertrand Iooss , Angélique Ponçot , Didier Lucor

Financial price changes obey two universal properties: they follow a power law and they tend to be clustered in time. The second regularity, known as volatility clustering, entails some predictability in the price changes: while their sign…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-02 Sabiou Inoua

This paper builds the clustering model of measures of market microstructure features which are popular in predicting stock returns. In a 10-second time-frequency, we study the clustering structure of different measures to find out the best…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Liao Zhu , Ningning Sun , Martin T. Wells

We introduce a simple, intuitive and yet powerful algorithm for clustering analysis. This algorithm is an iterative process on the sample space, which arises as an extension of the iteratively generated correlation matrices. It allows for…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-21 Shang-Ying Shiu , Ting-Li Chen

Clustering is ubiquitous in data analysis, including analysis of time series. It is inherently subjective: different users may prefer different clusterings for a particular dataset. Semi-supervised clustering addresses this by allowing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-03 Toon Van Craenendonck , Wannes Meert , Sebastijan Dumancic , Hendrik Blockeel

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

In temporal ordered clustering, given a single snapshot of a dynamic network in which nodes arrive at distinct time instants, we aim at partitioning its nodes into $K$ ordered clusters $\mathcal{C}_1 \prec \cdots \prec \mathcal{C}_K$ such…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-10 Krzysztof Turowski , Jithin K. Sreedharan , Wojciech Szpankowski

Machine learning and in particular deep learning algorithms are the emerging approaches to data analysis. These techniques have transformed traditional data mining-based analysis radically into a learning-based model in which existing data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Neda Tavakoli , Sima Siami-Namini , Mahdi Adl Khanghah , Fahimeh Mirza Soltani , Akbar Siami Namin

Time series data may exhibit clustering over time and, in a multiple time series context, the clustering behavior may differ across the series. This paper is motivated by the Bayesian non--parametric modeling of the dependence between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-23 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Fabrizio Leisen

Catastrophic transitions, where a system shifts abruptly between alternate steady states, are a generic feature of many nonlinear systems. Recently these regime shift were suggested as the mechanism underlies many ecological catastrophes,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Haim Weissmann , Nadav M. Shnerb

Following the work of arXiv:2101.09512, we are interested in clustering a given multi-variate series in an unsupervised manner. We would like to segment and cluster the series such that the resulting blocks present in each cluster are…