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The dynamics of prices in financial markets has been studied intensively both experimentally (data analysis) and theoretically (models). Nevertheless, a complete stochastic characterization of volatility is still lacking. What it is well…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

We propose a node clustering method for time-varying graphs based on the assumption that the cluster labels are changed smoothly over time. Clustering is one of the fundamental tasks in many science and engineering fields including signal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Katsuki Fukumoto , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Hoi-To Wai

Dynamic networks, especially those representing social networks, undergo constant evolution of their community structure over time. Nodes can migrate between different communities, communities can split into multiple new communities,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-29 Timothy La Fond , Geoffrey Sanders , Christine Klymko , Van Emden Henson

Generative approaches to clustering provide information on geometric properties of clusters, whereas discriminative approaches provide boundaries between clusters. Ideas from both approaches are incorporated to present a fully unsupervised,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Mackenzie R. Neal , Paul D. McNicholas , Arthur White

Unsupervised learning of time series data, also known as temporal clustering, is a challenging problem in machine learning. Here we propose a novel algorithm, Deep Temporal Clustering (DTC), to naturally integrate dimensionality reduction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Naveen Sai Madiraju , Seid M. Sadat , Dimitry Fisher , Homa Karimabadi

This paper introduces a novel technique to track structures in time varying graphs. The method uses a maximum a posteriori approach for adjusting a three-dimensional co-clustering of the source vertices, the destination vertices and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-30 Romain Guigourès , Marc Boullé , Fabrice Rossi

In many physical, social or economical phenomena we observe changes of a studied quantity only in discrete, irregularly distributed points in time. The stochastic process used by physicists to describe this kind of variables is the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Jarosław Klamut , Tomasz Gubiec

Due to the wider availability of modern electronic health records, patient care data is often being stored in the form of time-series. Clustering such time-series data is crucial for patient phenotyping, anticipating patients' prognoses by…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-06-17 Changhee Lee , Mihaela van der Schaar

We propose a new anytime hierarchical clustering method that iteratively transforms an arbitrary initial hierarchy on the configuration of measurements along a sequence of trees we prove for a fixed data set must terminate in a chain of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-15 Omur Arslan , Daniel E. Koditschek

In the realm of big data, discerning patterns in nonlinear systems affected by external control inputs is increasingly challenging. Our approach blends the coarse-graining strengths of centroid-based unsupervised clustering with the clarity…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-12-25 Nitish Arya , Aditya G. Nair

It is common for long financial time series to exhibit gradual change in the unconditional volatility. We propose a new model that captures this type of nonstationarity in a parsimonious way. The model augments the volatility equation of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-15 Niklas Ahlgren , Alexander Back , Timo Teräsvirta

Understanding the dependence structure of asset returns is fundamental in risk assessment and is particularly relevant in a portfolio diversification strategy. We propose a clustering approach where evidence accumulated in a multiplicity of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-08 Andrea Mecchina , Roberta Pappadà , Nicola Torelli

Clustering algorithms are one of the main analytical methods to detect patterns in unlabeled data. Existing clustering methods typically treat samples in a dataset as points in a metric space and compute distances to group together similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Tarek Naous , Srinjay Sarkar , Abubakar Abid , James Zou

Starting from a dataset with input/output time series generated by multiple deterministic linear dynamical systems, this paper tackles the problem of automatically clustering these time series. We propose an extension to the so-called…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-09 Oliver Lauwers , Bart De Moor

Recently there has been an increase in the studies on time-series data mining specifically time-series clustering due to the vast existence of time-series in various domains. The large volume of data in the form of time-series makes it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Hossein Kamalzadeh , Abbas Ahmadi , Saeed Mansour

A given set of data-points in some feature space may be associated with a Schrodinger equation whose potential is determined by the data. This is known to lead to good clustering solutions. Here we extend this approach into a full-fledged…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-02-16 Marvin Weinstein , David Horn

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

We proposed a data-driven approach to dissect multivariate time series in order to discover multiple phases underlying dynamics of complex systems. This computing approach is developed as a multiple-dimension version of Hierarchical Factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

In this paper, we propose a novel method of model-based time series clustering with mixtures of general state space models (MSSMs). Each component of MSSMs is associated with each cluster. An advantage of the proposed method is that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Ryoichi Ishizuka , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto

The measured correlations of financial time series in subsequent epochs change considerably as a function of time. When studying the whole correlation matrices, quasi-stationary patterns, referred to as market states, are seen by applying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Anton J. Heckens , Sebastian M. Krause , Thomas Guhr