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Uncertainty quantification for complex deep learning models is increasingly important as these techniques see growing use in high-stakes, real-world settings. Currently, the quality of a model's uncertainty is evaluated using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Benjamin Kompa , Jasper Snoek , Andrew Beam

We present a critical survey on the consistency of uncertainty quantification used in deep learning and highlight partial uncertainty coverage and many inconsistencies. We then provide a comprehensive and statistically consistent framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , J. Christine Chiu , C. Kevin Yang

Quality-Diversity (QD) algorithms have exhibited promising results across many domains and applications. However, uncertainty in fitness and behaviour estimations of solutions remains a major challenge when QD is used in complex real-world…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Manon Flageat , Hannah Janmohamed , Bryan Lim , Antoine Cully

Researchers have proposed several approaches for neural network (NN) based uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, most of the approaches are developed considering strong assumptions. Uncertainty quantification algorithms often perform…

In this work, we consider the fundamental problem of deriving quantitative bounds on the probability that a given assertion is violated in a probabilistic program. We provide automated algorithms that obtain both lower and upper bounds on…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Jinyi Wang , Yican Sun , Hongfei Fu , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Amir Kafshdar Goharshady

In a world where more decisions are made using artificial intelligence, it is of utmost importance to ensure these decisions are well-grounded. Neural networks are the modern building blocks for artificial intelligence. Modern neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Mohamad Al Shaar , Nils Ekström , Gustav Gille , Reza Rezvan , Ivan Wely

Efficiently performing predictive studies of irradiated particle-laden turbulent flows has the potential of providing significant contributions towards better understanding and optimizing, for example, concentrated solar power systems. As…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-08-20 Hillary R. Fairbanks , Lluis Jofre , Gianluca Geraci , Gianluca Iaccarino , Alireza Doostan

Uncertainty quantification is a key aspect in many tasks such as model selection/regularization, or quantifying prediction uncertainties to perform active learning or OOD detection. Within credal approaches that consider modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Tuan-Anh Vu , Sébastien Destercke , Frédéric Pichon

Robust optimization is a method for optimization under uncertainties in engineering systems and designs for applications ranging from aeronautics to nuclear. In a robust design process, parameter variability (or uncertainty) is incorporated…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-17 Richa Verma , Dinesh Kumar , Kazuma Kobayashi , Syed Alam

Optimal uncertainty quantification (OUQ) is a framework for numerical extreme-case analysis of stochastic systems with imperfect knowledge of the underlying probability distribution. This paper presents sufficient conditions under which an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-29 Shuo Han , Molei Tao , Ufuk Topcu , Houman Owhadi , Richard M. Murray

Uncertainty quantification for inverse problems in imaging has drawn much attention lately. Existing approaches towards this task define uncertainty regions based on probable values per pixel, while ignoring spatial correlations within the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Omer Belhasin , Yaniv Romano , Daniel Freedman , Ehud Rivlin , Michael Elad

This survey, aimed at information processing researchers, highlights intriguing but lesser known results, corrects misconceptions, and suggests research areas. Themes include: certainty in quantum algorithms; the "fewer worlds" theory of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Eleanor G. Rieffel

This dissertation investigates questions arising in the consistent histories formulation of the quantum mechanics of closed systems. Various criteria for approximate consistency are analysed. The connection between the Dowker-Halliwell…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jim McElwaine

In the context of industrially mass-manufactured products, quality management is based on physically inspecting a small sample from a large batch and reasoning about the batch's quality conformance. When complementing physical inspections…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-22 Simon Cramer , Tobias Müller , Robert H. Schmitt

Extracting the valuable features and information in Big Data has become one of the important research issues in Data Science. In most Internet of Things (IoT) applications, the collected data are uncertain and imprecise due to sensor device…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Chuan-Chi Lai , Tien-Chun Wang , Chuan-Ming Liu , Li-Chun Wang

Incompatibility of certain measurements -- impossibility of obtaining deterministic outcomes simultaneously -- is a well known property of quantum mechanics. This feature can be utilized in many contexts, ranging from Bell inequalities to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-14 Martin Plesch , Matej Pivoluska

Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary information on the prediction confidence. Even measures…

Probabilistic pushdown automata (pPDA) are a standard model for discrete probabilistic programs with procedures and recursion. In pPDA, many quantitative properties are characterized as least fixpoints of polynomial equation systems. In…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Tobias Winkler , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Linear programming is widely used for decision-making in science, engineering, and operations research, yet in many modern applications the coefficients entering the constraints and objective are not known exactly and must be learned from…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-09 Debashis Chatterjee

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for the deployment of image restoration models in safety-critical domains, like autonomous driving and biological imaging. To date, methods for uncertainty visualization have mainly focused on per-pixel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Elias Nehme , Omer Yair , Tomer Michaeli
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