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This paper introduces the Non-homogeneous Generalized Skellam process (NGSP) and its fractional version NGFSP by time changing it with an independent inverse stable subordinator. We study distributional properties for NGSP and NGFSP…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Kartik Tathe , Sayan Ghosh

This paper studies the first hitting times of generalized Poisson processes $N^f(t)$, related to Bernstein functions $f$. For the space-fractional Poisson processes, $N^\alpha(t)$, $t>0$ (corresponding to $f= x^\alpha$), the hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-19 R. Garra , E. Orsingher , M. Scavino

Motivated by a real failure dataset in a two-dimensional context, this paper presents an extension of the Markov modulated Poisson process (MMPP) to two dimensions. The one-dimensional MMPP has been proposed for the modeling of dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yoel G. Yera , Rosa E. Lillo , Bo F. Nielsen , Pepa Ramírez-Cobo , Fabrizio Ruggeri

This paper discusses properties of a Doubly Stochastic Poisson Process (DSPP) where the intensity process belongs to a class of affine diffusions. For any intensity process from this class we derive an analytical expression for probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-15 Alan De Genaro Dario , Adilson Simonis

This paper gives an elementary proof for the following theorem: a renewal process can be represented by a doubly-stochastic Poisson process (DSPP) if and only if the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the inter-arrival times is of the following…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-30 Xinlong Du , Harsha Honnappa

A generalization of the Poisson distribution based on the generalized Mittag-Leffler function $E_{\alpha, \beta}(\lambda)$ is proposed and the raw moments are calculated algebraically in terms of Bell polynomials. It is demonstrated, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Richard Herrmann

A Gaussian process (GP)-based methodology is proposed to emulate complex dynamical computer models (or simulators). The method relies on emulating the numerical flow map of the system over an initial (short) time step, where the flow map is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

In this paper, we first define the multivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (MTSFPP) by time-changing the multivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered {\alpha}-stable subordinator. Its distributional properties,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Ashok Kumar Pathak , Ritik Soni

In this work, we study the partial sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with the number of terms following a fractional Poisson (FP) distribution. The FP sum contains the Poisson and geometric summations as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-01 Gabriela Oliveira , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Roger W. C. Silva

We introduce and study here a renewal process defined by means of a time-fractional relaxation equation with derivative order $\alpha(t)$ varying with time $t\geq0$. In particular, we use the operator introduced by Scarpi in the Seventies…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Luisa Beghin , Lorenzo Cristofaro , Roberto Garrappa

This third part extends the theory of Generalized Poisson-Kac (GPK) processes to nonlinear stochastic models and to a continuum of states. Nonlinearity is treated in two ways: (i) as a dependence of the parameters (intensity of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-02 Massimiliano Giona , Antonio Brasiello , Silvestro Crescitelli

In this paper we introduce the space-fractional Poisson process whose state probabilities $p_k^\alpha(t)$, $t>0$, $\alpha \in (0,1]$, are governed by the equations $(\mathrm d/\mathrm dt)p_k(t) = -\lambda^\alpha (1-B)p_k^\alpha(t)$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

With the development of new remote sensing technology, large or even massive spatial datasets covering the globe become available. Statistical analysis of such data is challenging. This article proposes a semiparametric approach to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-24 Pulong Ma , Emily L. Kang

In this paper, we investigate the stochastic counterpart of the generalized Wright analysis introduced in Beghin et al.~ in Integral Equations and Operator Theory, {\bf 97}, 2025. We define a new class of non-Gaussian and non-Markovian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 W. Bock , L. Cristofaro , J. L. da Silva

The feedback particle filter (FPF) is an innovative, control-oriented and resampling-free adaptation of the traditional particle filter (PF). In the FPF, individual particles are regulated via a feedback gain, and the corresponding gain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Ruoyu Wang , Huimin Miao , Xue Luo

Multitudinous probabilistic and combinatorial objects are associated with generating functions satisfying a composition scheme $F(z)=G(H(z))$. The analysis becomes challenging when this scheme is critical (i.e., $G$ and $H$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-06 Cyril Banderier , Markus Kuba , Michael Wallner

In this paper we suggest a consistent approach to derivation of generalized Fokker-Planck equation (GFPE) for Gaussian non-Markovian processes with stationary increments. This approach allows us to construct the probability density function…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-07-06 O. Yu. Sliusarenko

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

Hawkes process (HP) is a point process with a conditionally dependent intensity function. This paper defines the tempered fractional Hawkes process (TFHP) by time-changing the HP with an inverse tempered stable subordinator. We obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari

In this paper, we introduce a risk process, namely, the mixed fractional risk process (MFRP) in which the number of claims in the associated claim process are modelled using the mixed fractional Poisson process (MFPP). The covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar