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The distribution of block maxima of sequences of independent and identically-distributed random variables is used to model extreme values in many disciplines. The traditional extreme value (EV) theory derives a closed-form expression for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-27 Marco Marani , Enrico Zorzetto

In this note we present a series expansion of inverse moments of a non-negative discrete random variate in terms of its factorial cumulants, based on the Poisson-Charlier expansion of a discrete distribution. We apply the general method to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-25 Koenraad M. R. Audenaert

We consider a generalization of the classical risk model when the premium intensity depends on the current surplus of an insurance company. All surplus is invested in the risky asset, the price of which follows a geometric Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Yuliya Mishura , Mykola Perestyuk , Olena Ragulina

We propose a general method for optimization with semi-infinite constraints that involve a linear combination of functions, focusing on the case of the exponential function. Each function is lower and upper bounded on sub-intervals by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-13 Bogdan Dumitrescu , Bogdan C. Sicleru , Florin Avram

The $\lambda$-exponential family generalizes the standard exponential family via a generalized convex duality motivated by optimal transport. It is the constant-curvature analogue of the exponential family from the information-geometric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xiwei Tian , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong , Jiaowen Yang , Jun Zhang

We study random points on the real line generated by the eigenvalues in unitary invariant random matrix ensembles or by more general repulsive particle systems. As the number of points tends to infinity, we prove convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-11 Kristina Schubert , Martin Venker

We completely characterize $\Delta$- and local subexponentialities of positive-half compound Poisson distributions and extend the characterization on two-sided distributions. Moreover, $\Delta$-subexponentiality of infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Muneya Matsui , Toshiro Watanabe

We characterize the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator for discrete exponential families. Our criterion is simple to apply as we show in various settings, most notably for exponential models of random graphs. As an application,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Krzysztof Bogdan , Michał Bosy , Tomasz Skalski

For better learning, large datasets are often split into small batches and fed sequentially to the predictive model. In this paper, we study such batch decompositions from a probabilistic perspective. We assume that data points (possibly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Ghurumuruhan Ganesan

A sequence of random variables is exchangeable if its joint distribution is invariant under variable permutations. We introduce exchangeable variable models (EVMs) as a novel class of probabilistic models whose basic building blocks are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-06 Mathias Niepert , Pedro Domingos

Stochastic ordering among distributions has been considered in a variety of scenarios. Economic studies often involve research about the ordering of investment strategies or social welfare. However, as noted in the literature, stochastic…

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for solving inverse problems, yet prior work has primarily focused on observations with Gaussian measurement noise, restricting their use in real-world scenarios. This limitation persists due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Alessandro Micheli , Mélodie Monod , Samir Bhatt

The exponential upper bounds for the convergence rate of the distribution of restorable element with partially energized standby redundancy are founded, in the case when all working and repair times are bounded by exponential random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-30 Galina Zverkina

In this paper a class of optimization problems with uncertain linear constraints is discussed. It is assumed that the constraint coefficients are random vectors whose probability distributions are only partially known. Possibility theory is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

The basic principle of any version of insurance is the paradigm that exchanging risk by sharing it in a pool is beneficial for the participants. In case of independent risks with a finite mean this is the case for risk averse decision…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-08 Alfred Müller

We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-07 Christopher S. Withers , Saralees Nadarajah

In this letter, we present an improved hazard rate twisting technique for the estimation of the probability that a sum of independent but not necessarily identically distributed subexponential Random Variables (RVs) exceeds a given…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-10 Nadhir Ben Rached , Abla Kammoun , Mohamed-Slim Alouini , Raul Tempone

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

We show that an arbitrary probability distribution can be represented in exponential form. In physical contexts, this implies that the equilibrium distribution of any classical or quantum dynamical system is expressible in grand canonical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-25 Dorje C. Brody

Grubbs and Weaver (JASA 42 (1947) 224--241) suggest a minimum-variance unbiased estimator for the population standard deviation of a normal random variable, where a random sample is drawn and a weighted sum of the ranges of subsamples is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Andrew V. Sills , Charles W. Champ
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