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Temporal point process (TPP) is commonly used to model the asynchronous event sequence featuring occurrence timestamps and revealed by probabilistic models conditioned on historical impacts. While lots of previous works have focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Haitao Lin , Lirong Wu , Guojiang Zhao , Pai Liu , Stan Z. Li

Determinantal Point Processes (DPPs) provide an elegant and versatile way to sample sets of items that balance the point-wise quality with the set-wise diversity of selected items. For this reason, they have gained prominence in many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-09 Zelda Mariet , Yaniv Ovadia , Jasper Snoek

Urban flow prediction is a classic spatial-temporal forecasting task that estimates the amount of future traffic flow for a given location. Though models represented by Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have established…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Haiyang Jiang , Tong Chen , Wentao Zhang , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Yuan Yuan , Yong Li , Lizhen Cui

Learning continuous-time point processes is essential to many discrete event forecasting tasks. However, integration poses a major challenge, particularly for spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs), as it involves calculating the likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Zihao Zhou , Rose Yu

Self- and mutually-exciting point processes are popular models in machine learning and statistics for dependent discrete event data. To date, most existing models assume stationary kernels (including the classical Hawkes processes) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Shixiang Zhu , Haoyun Wang , Zheng Dong , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

We propose a new class of determinantal point processes (DPPs) which can be manipulated for inference and parameter learning in potentially sublinear time in the number of items. This class, based on a specific low-rank factorization of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-20 Christophe Dupuy , Francis Bach

Traffic forecasting is a challenging problem due to complex road networks and sudden speed changes caused by various events on roads. A number of models have been proposed to solve this challenging problem with a focus on learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Hyunwook Lee , Seungmin Jin , Hyeshin Chu , Hongkyu Lim , Sungahn Ko

Deep learning models are widely used in traffic forecasting and have achieved state-of-the-art prediction accuracy. However, the black-box nature of those models makes the results difficult to interpret by users. This study aims to leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Rushan Wang , Yanan Xin , Yatao Zhang , Fernando Perez-Cruz , Martin Raubal

This work introduces a novel approach to modeling temporal point processes using diffusion models with an asynchronous noise schedule. At each step of the diffusion process, the noise schedule injects noise of varying scales into different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Amartya Mukherjee , Ruizhi Deng , He Zhao , Yuzhen Mao , Leonid Sigal , Frederick Tung

Predicting crime hotspots in a city is a complex and critical task with significant societal implications. Numerous spatiotemporal correlations and irregularities pose substantial challenges to this endeavor. Existing methods commonly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Jiahui Jin , Yi Hong , Guandong Xu , Jinghui Zhang , Jun Tang , Hancheng Wang

The availability of large spatial data geocoded at accurate locations has fueled a growing interest in spatial modeling and analysis of point processes. The proposed research is motivated by the intensity estimation problem for large…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-19 Lihao Yin , Huiyan Sang

In high-density environments where numerous autonomous agents move simultaneously in a distributed manner, streamlining global flows to mitigate local congestion is crucial to maintain overall navigation efficiency. This paper introduces a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Takuro Kato , Keisuke Okumura , Yoko Sasaki , Naoya Yokomachi

Spatio-temporal forecasting is an open research field whose interest is growing exponentially. In this work we focus on creating a complex deep neural framework for spatio-temporal traffic forecasting with comparatively very good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Rodrigo de Medrano , José L. Aznarte

Predicting risk map of traffic accidents is vital for accident prevention and early planning of emergency response. Here, the challenge lies in the multimodal nature of urban big data. We propose a compact neural ensemble model to alleviate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Wenshan Wang , Su Yang , Weishan Zhang

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) hold a pivotal role in modeling event sequences across diverse domains, including social networking and e-commerce, and have significantly contributed to the advancement of recommendation systems and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Maolin Wang , Yu Pan , Zenglin Xu , Ruocheng Guo , Xiangyu Zhao , Wanyu Wang , Yiqi Wang , Zitao Liu , Langming Liu

Point processes model the distribution of random point sets in mathematical spaces, such as spatial and temporal domains, with applications in fields like seismology, neuroscience, and economics. Existing statistical and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 David Lüdke , Enric Rabasseda Raventós , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

Cities have been a thriving place for citizens over the centuries due to their complex infrastructure. The emergence of the Cyber-Physical-Social Systems (CPSS) and context-aware technologies boost a growing interest in analysing,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-30 Nazli Farajidavar , Sefki Kolozali , Payam Barnaghi

Many real-world ubiquitous applications, such as parking recommendations and air pollution monitoring, benefit significantly from accurate long-term spatio-temporal forecasting (LSTF). LSTF makes use of long-term dependency between spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Wei Shao , Zhiling Jin , Shuo Wang , Yufan Kang , Xiao Xiao , Hamid Menouar , Zhaofeng Zhang , Junshan Zhang , Flora Salim

Traffic prediction is a typical spatio-temporal data mining task and has great significance to the public transportation system. Considering the demand for its grand application, we recognize key factors for an ideal spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Zijian Zhang , Ze Huang , Zhiwei Hu , Xiangyu Zhao , Wanyu Wang , Zitao Liu , Junbo Zhang , S. Joe Qin , Hongwei Zhao
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