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The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm has been extensively studied in the estimation and simulation literature, with most prior work focusing on convergence behavior and asymptotic theory. However, its covariance structure-an important…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-03 Jingyi Zhang , James C. Spall

We consider the multivariate max-linear regression problem where the model parameters $\boldsymbol{\beta}_{1},\dotsc,\boldsymbol{\beta}_{k}\in\mathbb{R}^{p}$ need to be estimated from $n$ independent samples of the (noisy) observations $y =…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Seonho Kim , Sohail Bahmani , Kiryung Lee

We collect robust proposals given in the field of regression models with heteroscedastic errors. Our motivation stems from the fact that the practitioner frequently faces the confluence of two phenomena in the context of data analysis:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Conceição Amado , Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Isabel M. Rodrigues

A/B test, a simple type of controlled experiment, refers to the statistical procedure of experimenting to compare two treatments applied to test subjects. For example, many IT companies frequently conduct A/B tests on their users who are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Qiong Zhang , Lulu Kang

Active learning shows promise to decrease test bench time for model-based drivability calibration. This paper presents a new strategy for active output selection, which suits the needs of calibration tasks. The strategy is actively learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Adrian Prochaska , Julien Pillas , Bernard Bäker

In this paper we propose a novel experimental design-based algorithm to minimize regret in online stochastic linear and combinatorial bandits. While existing literature tends to focus on optimism-based algorithms--which have been shown to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Andrew Wagenmaker , Julian Katz-Samuels , Kevin Jamieson

This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Yoichi Arai , Taisuke Otsu , Myung Hwan Seo

A central problem in online learning and decision making -- from bandits to reinforcement learning -- is to understand what modeling assumptions lead to sample-efficient learning guarantees. We consider a general adversarial decision making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Dylan J. Foster , Alexander Rakhlin , Ayush Sekhari , Karthik Sridharan

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Jiashuo Jiang

Bayesian optimal experiments that maximize the information gained from collected data are critical to efficiently identify behavioral models. We extend a seminal method for designing Bayesian optimal experiments by introducing two…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Stefano Balietti , Brennan Klein , Christoph Riedl

A computer model can be used for predicting an output only after specifying the values of some unknown physical constants known as calibration parameters. The unknown calibration parameters can be estimated from real data by conducting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Arvind Krishna , V. Roshan Joseph , Shan Ba , William A. Brenneman , William R. Myers

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

Traditionally Bayesian decision-theoretic design of experiments proceeds by choosing a design to minimise expectation of a given loss function over the space of all designs. The loss function encapsulates the aim of the experiment, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker

We study optimization for data-driven decision-making when we have observations of the uncertain parameters within the optimization model together with concurrent observations of covariates. Given a new covariate observation, the goal is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

Implicit stochastic models, where the data-generation distribution is intractable but sampling is possible, are ubiquitous in the natural sciences. The models typically have free parameters that need to be inferred from data collected in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

Offline reinforcement learning enables agents to leverage large pre-collected datasets of environment transitions to learn control policies, circumventing the need for potentially expensive or unsafe online data collection. Significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Cong Lu , Philip J. Ball , Jack Parker-Holder , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Penalized regression has become a standard tool for model building across a wide range of application domains. Common practice is to tune the amount of penalization to tradeoff bias and variance or to optimize some other measure of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-05 Wenhao Hu , Eric Laber , Leonard Stefanski

During the last few decades, online controlled experiments (also known as A/B tests) have been adopted as a golden standard for measuring business improvements in industry. In our company, there are more than a billion users participating…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-06 Tao Xiong , Yihan Bao , Penglei Zhao , Yong Wang

Active regression considers a linear regression problem where the learner receives a large number of data points but can only observe a small number of labels. Since online algorithms can deal with incremental training data and take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Cheng Chen , Yi Li , Yiming Sun
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