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We study optimal variance reduction solutions for count and ratio metrics in online controlled experiments. Our methods leverage flexible machine learning tools to incorporate covariates that are independent from the treatment but have…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Ying Jin , Shan Ba

A stochastic search method, the so-called Adaptive Subspace (AdaSub) method, is proposed for variable selection in high-dimensional linear regression models. The method aims at finding the best model with respect to a certain model…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-20 Christian Staerk , Maria Kateri , Ioannis Ntzoufras

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Capturing aleatoric uncertainty is a critical part of many machine learning systems. In deep learning, a common approach to this end is to train a neural network to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic Gaussian distribution by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Maximilian Seitzer , Arash Tavakoli , Dimitrije Antic , Georg Martius

Datasets with sheer volume have been generated from fields including computer vision, medical imageology, and astronomy whose large-scale and high-dimensional properties hamper the implementation of classical statistical models. To tackle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Hang Yu , Zhenxing Dou , Zhiwei Chen , Xiaomeng Yan

In this work we build optimal experimental designs for precise estimation of the functional coefficient of a function-on-function linear regression model where both the response and the factors are continuous functions of time. After…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-20 Caterina May , Theodoros Ladas , Davide Pigoli , Kalliopi Mylona

We study random designs that minimize the asymptotic variance of a de-biased lasso estimator when a large pool of unlabeled data is available but measuring the corresponding responses is costly. The optimal sampling distribution arises as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Hamid Eftekhari , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

A challenge that machine learning practitioners in the industry face is the task of selecting the best model to deploy in production. As a model is often an intermediate component of a production system, online controlled experiments such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-31 Zhenwen Dai , Praveen Chandar , Ghazal Fazelnia , Ben Carterette , Mounia Lalmas-Roelleke

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

We address online linear optimization problems when the possible actions of the decision maker are represented by binary vectors. The regret of the decision maker is the difference between her realized loss and the best loss she would have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-02 Jean-Yves Audibert , Sébastien Bubeck , Gábor Lugosi

The problem of learning the structure of a high dimensional graphical model from data has received considerable attention in recent years. In many applications such as sensor networks and proteomics it is often expensive to obtain samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-08 Gautam Dasarathy , Aarti Singh , Maria-Florina Balcan , Jong Hyuk Park

Active learning is usually applied to acquire labels of informative data points in supervised learning, to maximize accuracy in a sample-efficient way. However, maximizing the accuracy is not the end goal when the results are used for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-22 Louis Filstroff , Iiris Sundin , Petrus Mikkola , Aleksei Tiulpin , Juuso Kylmäoja , Samuel Kaski

The goal of this work is to accelerate the identification of an unknown ARX system from trajectory data through online input design. Specifically, we present an active learning algorithm that sequentially selects the input to excite the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-04 Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Bowen Song , Philipp Rank , Andrea Iannelli

In this paper, we study a special bandit setting of online stochastic linear optimization, where only one-bit of information is revealed to the learner at each round. This problem has found many applications including online advertisement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-28 Lijun Zhang , Tianbao Yang , Rong Jin , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Optimal design for model training is a critical topic in machine learning. Active Learning aims at obtaining improved models by querying samples with maximum uncertainty according to the estimation model for artificially labeling; this has…

We consider the problem of computing optimal experimental design on a finite design space with respect to a compound Bayes risk criterion, which includes the linear criterion for prediction in a random coefficient regression model. We show…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-08 Radoslav Harman , Maryna Prus

We study covariance matrix estimation for the case of partially observed random vectors, where different samples contain different subsets of vector coordinates. Each observation is the product of the variable of interest with a $0-1$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-06 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

We investigate online convex optimization in non-stationary environments and choose dynamic regret as the performance measure, defined as the difference between cumulative loss incurred by the online algorithm and that of any feasible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Peng Zhao , Yu-Jie Zhang , Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Subset selection in multiple linear regression aims to choose a subset of candidate explanatory variables that tradeoff fitting error (explanatory power) and model complexity (number of variables selected). We build mathematical programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Young Woong Park , Diego Klabjan

The goal of data-driven algorithm design is to obtain high-performing algorithms for specific application domains using machine learning and data. Across many fields in AI, science, and engineering, practitioners will often fix a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Maria-Florina Balcan , Travis Dick , Wesley Pegden