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We propose a new, more general definition of extended probability measures. We study their properties and provide a behavioral interpretation. We put them to use in an inference procedure, whose environment is canonically represented by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-13 Michele Caprio , Sayan Mukherjee

The paper examines stochastic diffusion within an expanding space-time framework. It starts with providing a rationale for the considered model and its motivation from cosmology where the expansion of space-time is used in modelling various…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-22 Philip Broadbridge , Illia Donhauzer , Andriy Olenko

In this paper we develop tools for studying limit theorems by means of convexity. We establish bounds for the discrepancy in total variation between probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ such that $\nu$ is log-concave with respect to $\mu$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Arturo Jaramillo , James Melbourne

In practice, we often encounter situations where a sample size is not defined in advance and can be a random value. The randomness of the sample size crucially changes the asymptotic properties of the underlying statistic. In the present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-25 Gerd Christoph , Vladimir V. Ulyanov , Vladimir E. Bening

This paper explores certain kinds of empirical process with respect to the components of multivariate Gaussian. We put forward some finite sample bounds which hold for multivariate Gaussian under general dependence. We give necessary and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Jikai Hou

In this paper we present the result of successively applying a Chebyshev polynomial to a continuous random variable. In particular we show that under mild assumptions the limiting distribution will be the same as the weight with respect to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Javier Chico Vazquez , Andrew J. Horning

We prove an asymptotic Edgeworth expansion for the profiles of certain random trees including binary search trees, random recursive trees and plane-oriented random trees, as the size of the tree goes to infinity. All these models can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-06 Zakhar Kabluchko , Alexander Marynych , Henning Sulzbach

We derive asymptotic expansions up to order $n^{-1/2}$ for the nonnull distribution functions of the likelihood ratio, Wald, score and gradient test statistics in the class of dispersion models, under a sequence of Pitman alternatives. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Artur J. Lemonte , Silvia L. P. Ferrari

We describe various properties of continued fraction expansions of complex numbers in terms of Gaussian integers. Numerous distinct such expansions are possible for a complex number. They can be arrived at through various algorithms, as…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-21 S. G. Dani , Arnaldo Nogueira

The Gaussian theory of errors has been generalized to situations, where the Gaussian distribution and, hence, the Gaussian rules of error propagation are inadequate. The generalizations are based on Bayes' theorem and a suitable measure.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Hanns L. Harney

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

The ordinary continued fractions expansion of a real number is based on the Euclidean division. Variants of the latter yield variants of the former, all encompassed by a more general Dynamical Systems framework. For all these variants the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-19 Giovanni Panti

We propose new goodness-of-fit tests for the Poisson distribution. The testing procedure entails fitting a weighted Poisson distribution, which has the Poisson as a special case, to observed data. Based on sample data, we calculate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-21 Winnie Kirui , Elzanie Bothma , Marius Smuts , Anke Steyn , Jaco Visagie

In this paper we establish the pathwise Taylor expansions for random fields that are "regular" in the spirit of Dupire's path-derivatives \cite{Dupire}. Our result is motivated by but extends the recent result of Buckdahn-Bulla-Ma…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-03 Rainer Buckdahn , Jin Ma , Jianfeng Zhang

We extend Fano's inequality, which controls the average probability of events in terms of the average of some $f$--divergences, to work with arbitrary events (not necessarily forming a partition) and even with arbitrary $[0,1]$--valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Sebastien Gerchinovitz , Pierre Ménard , Gilles Stoltz

We find the perhaps surprising inequality that the weighted average of independent and identically distributed Pareto random variables with infinite mean is larger than one such random variable in the sense of first-order stochastic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-14 Yuyu Chen , Paul Embrechts , Ruodu Wang

Edgeworth-type expansions for convolutions of probability densities and powers of the characteristic functions with non-uniform error terms are established for i.i.d. random variables with finite (fractional) moments of order $s \geq 2$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-20 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

We obtain non-uniform Edgeworth expansions for several classes of weakly dependent (non-stationary) sequences of random variables, including uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains, random and time-varying (partially) hyperbolic or…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Yeor Hafouta

We study the structure and dynamics of the infinite sequence of extensions of the Poincar{\'e} algebra whose method of construction was described in a previous paper [1]. We give explicitly the Maurer-Cartan (MC) 1-forms of the extended Lie…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-12-15 Sotirios Bonanos , Joaquim Gomis

For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Badr-Eddine Cherief-Abdellatif , Randal Douc , Arnaud Doucet , Hugo Marival