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Gaussian process (GP) based Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box functions efficiently. The practical performance and theoretical guarantees of this approach depend on having the correct GP hyperparameter…
This paper presents a novel one-factor stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous volatility of the asset log-return is a diffusion with a quadratic drift and a linear dispersion function. The instantaneous volatility mean reverts…
We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for the partial sum of squares of general Gaussian sequences, using tools from analysis on Wiener space. No assumption of stationarity, asymptotically or otherwise, is made. The main…
Using gradient descent (GD) with fixed or decaying step-size is a standard practice in unconstrained optimization problems. However, when the loss function is only locally convex, such a step-size schedule artificially slows GD down as it…
Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are fundamental to decision-making under uncertainty. We introduce a novel scalable approach to accelerate upper bound estimation in Point-Based Value Iteration (PBVI) algorithms, the…
In this paper, we are presenting a method for estimation of market parameters modeled by jump diffusion process. The method proposed is based on Gibbs sampler, while the market parameters are the drift, the volatility, the jump intensity…
Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…
Optimal B-robust estimate is constructed for multidimensional parameter in drift coefficient of diffusion type process with small noise. Optimal mean-variance robust (optimal V -robust) trading strategy is find to hedge in mean-variance…
We study the asymptotic normality of two feasible estimators of the integrated volatility of volatility based on the Fourier methodology, which does not require the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. We show that the bias-corrected…
Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…
We investigate the convergence rate in the Lyapunov theorem when the third absolute moments exist. By means of convex analysis we obtain the sharp estimate for the distance in the mean metric between a probability distribution and its zero…
Stochastic optimal control problems have a long tradition in applied probability, with the questions addressed being of high relevance in a multitude of fields. Even though theoretical solutions are well understood in many scenarios, their…
The purpose of this note is to prove a lower bound for the estimation of the memory parameter of a stationary long memory process. The memory parameter is defined here as the index of regular variation of the spectral density at 0. The…
This paper proposes a new integrated variance estimator based on order statistics within the framework of jump-diffusion models. Its ability to disentangle the integrated variance from the total process quadratic variation is confirmed by…
For a semimartingale with jumps, we propose a new estimation method for integrated volatility, i.e., the quadratic variation of the continuous martingale part, based on the global jump filter proposed by Inatsugu and Yoshida [8]. To decide…
In this paper we present some new limit theorems for power variation of $k$th order increments of stationary increments L\'evy driven moving averages. In this infill sampling setting, the asymptotic theory gives very surprising results,…
Nonparametric methods for the estimation of the Levy density of a Levy process are developed. Estimators that can be written in terms of the ``jumps'' of the process are introduced, and so are discrete-data based approximations. A model…
In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on $\mu$ and volatility coefficient depends on $\sigma$, two unknown parameters. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the…
In recent environmental studies extreme events have a great impact. The yearly and monthly maxima of environment related indices can be analysed by the tools of extreme value theory. For instance, the monthly maxima of the fire weather…
We propose a new estimator for the integrated covariance of two Ito semimartingales observed at a high-frequency. This new estimator, which we call the pre-averaged truncated Hayashi-Yoshida estimator, enables us to separate the sum of the…