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I introduce a model of predictive scoring. A receiver wants to predict a sender's quality. An intermediary observes multiple features of the sender and aggregates them into a score. Based on the score, the receiver makes a decision. The…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-17 Ian Ball

We propose a rigorous decomposition of predictive error, highlighting that not all 'irreducible' error is genuinely immutable. Many domains stand to benefit from iterative enhancements in measurement, construct validity, and modeling. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Jiani Yan , Charles Rahal

The use of patterns in predictive models is a topic that has received a lot of attention in recent years. Pattern mining can help to obtain models for structured domains, such as graphs and sequences, and has been proposed as a means to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-11-29 Björn Bringmann , Siegfried Nijssen , Albrecht Zimmermann

Classification is a common statistical task in many areas. In order to ameliorate the performance of the existing methods, there are always some new classification procedures proposed. These procedures, especially those raised in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

Multiple linear regression is a basic statistical tool, yielding a prediction formula with the input variables, slopes, and an intercept. But is it really easy to see which terms have the largest effect, or to explain why the prediction of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Peter J. Rousseeuw

The predict-then-optimize framework arises in a wide variety of applications where the unknown cost coefficients of an optimization problem are first predicted based on contextual features and then used to solve the problem. In this work,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Bo Tang , Elias B. Khalil

This paper reviews the growing field of Bayesian prediction. Bayes point and interval prediction are defined and exemplified and situated in statistical prediction more generally. Then, four general approaches to Bayes prediction are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Bertrand Clarke , Yuling Yao

In this paper, we further investigate the problem of selecting a set of design points for universal kriging, which is a widely used technique for spatial data analysis. Our goal is to select the design points in order to make simultaneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-18 Helmut Waldl , Werner G. Müller , Paula Camelia Trandafir

A new family of parameters intended for composition studies is presented. They make exclusive use of surface data combining the information from the total signal at each triggered detector and the array geometry. We perform an analytical…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2009-08-03 G. Ros , A. D. Supanitsky , G. A. Medina-Tanco , L. del Peral , M. D. Rodriguez-Frias

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Perception and prediction modules are critical components of autonomous driving systems, enabling vehicles to navigate safely through complex environments. The perception module is responsible for perceiving the environment, including…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Lucas Dal'Col , Miguel Oliveira , Vítor Santos

Neural collaborative filtering is the state of art field in the recommender systems area; it provides some models that obtain accurate predictions and recommendations. These models are regression-based, and they just return rating…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Jesús Bobadilla , Abraham Gutiérrez , Santiago Alonso , Ángel González-Prieto

Conformal prediction is a learning framework controlling prediction coverage of prediction sets, which can be built on any learning algorithm for point prediction. This work proposes a learning framework named conformal loss-controlling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Di Wang , Ping Wang , Zhong Ji , Xiaojun Yang , Hongyue Li

Selective rationalization has become a common mechanism to ensure that predictive models reveal how they use any available features. The selection may be soft or hard, and identifies a subset of input features relevant for prediction. The…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Mo Yu , Shiyu Chang , Yang Zhang , Tommi S. Jaakkola

Providing users with alternatives to choose from is an essential component in many online platforms, making the accurate prediction of choice vital to their success. A renewed interest in learning choice models has led to significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Nir Rosenfeld , Kojin Oshiba , Yaron Singer

Lattice structures have great potential for several application fields ranging from medical and tissue engineering to aeronautical one. Their development is further speeded up by the continuing advances in additive manufacturing…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-01-13 Chiara Pasini , Oscar Ramponi , Stefano Pandini , Luciana Sartore , Giulia Scalet

Sequential and terminal constraint feasibility of the model predictive control (MPC) play important roles in ensuring MPC control continuity. This study thus investigates these two properties theoretically using an MPC model for vehicle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Hanyu Zhang , Lili Du

Nanoscale design of surfaces and interfaces is essential for modern technologies like organic LEDs, batteries, fuel cells, superlubricating surfaces, and heterogeneous catalysis. However, these systems often exhibit complex surface…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-07-08 Lukas Hörmann , Wojciech G. Stark , Reinhard J. Maurer

The last decade has witnessed a number of important and exciting developments that had been achieved for improving recurrence plot based data analysis and to widen its application potential. We will give a brief overview about important and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-09-09 Norbert Marwan , K. Hauke Kraemer

Forecast combinations have been widely applied in the last few decades to improve forecasting. Estimating optimal weights that can outperform simple averages is not always an easy task. In recent years, the idea of using time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Yanfei Kang , Wei Cao , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li