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Foreign exchange rates movements exhibit significant cross-correlations even on very short time-scales. The effect of these statistical relationships become evident during extreme market events, such as flash crashes.In this scenario, an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-09 Alberto Ciacci , Takumi Sueshige , Hideki Takayasu , Kim Christensen , Misako Takayasu

We propose a novel algorithm - Multifractal Cross-Correlation Analysis (MFCCA) - that constitutes a consistent extension of the Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (DCCA) and is able to properly identify and quantify subtle characteristics…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-02-25 Paweł Oświȩcimka , Stanisław Drożdż , Marcin Forczek , Stanisław Jadach , Jarosław Kwapień

We propose an algorithm to capture emergent patterns in the cross-correlations of financial markets, highlighting regime changes on a global scale. In our approach, financial markets are viewed as complex adaptive systems, and multiscale…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-02 Marina Dolfin , George Kapetanios , Leone Leonida , Jose De Leon Miranda

The detrended cross-correlation coefficient $\rho_{\rm DCCA}$ has recently been proposed to quantify the strength of cross-correlations on different temporal scales in bivariate, non-stationary time series. It is based on the detrended…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-12-09 Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Stanislaw Drozdz

The cross-correlations between the exchange rate fluctuations of 74 currencies over the period 1995-2012 are analyzed in this paper. The eigenvalue distribution of the cross-correlation matrix exhibits a bulk which approximately matches the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-02 Sitabhra Sinha , Uday Kovur

The performance of the multifractal detrended analysis on short time series is evaluated for synthetic samples of several mono- and multifractal models. The reconstruction of the generalized Hurst exponents is used to determine the range of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 Juan Luis Lopez , Jesus Guillermo Contreras

It is ubiquitous in natural and social sciences that two variables, recorded temporally or spatially in a complex system, are cross-correlated and possess multifractal features. We propose a new method called multifractal detrended…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Wei-Xing Zhou

An average instantaneous cross-correlation function is introduced to quantify the interaction of the financial market of a specific time. Based on the daily data of the American and Chinese stock markets, memory effect of the average…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Tian Qiu , Guang Chen , Li-Xin Zhong , Xiao-Wei Lei

Correlations in complex systems are often obscured by nonstationarity, long-range memory, and heavy-tailed fluctuations, which limit the usefulness of traditional covariance-based analyses. To address these challenges, we construct scale…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-09 Stanisław Drożdż , Paweł Jarosz , Jarosław Kwapień , Maria Skupień , Marcin Wątorek

Multifractal analysis is a forecasting technique used to study the scaling regularity properties of financial returns, to analyze the long-term memory and predictability of financial markets. In this paper, we propose a novel structural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-18 Foued Saâdaoui

We present a systematic study of various statistical characteristics of high-frequency returns from the foreign exchange market. This study is based on six exchange rates forming two triangles: EUR-GBP-USD and GBP-CHF-JPY. It is shown that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-24 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

World currency network constitutes one of the most complex structures that is associated with the contemporary civilization. On a way towards quantifying its characteristics we study the cross correlations in changes of the daily foreign…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 S. Drozdz , A. Z. Gorski , J. Kwapien

Unlike price fluctuations, the temporal structure of cryptocurrency trading has seldom been a subject of systematic study. In order to fill this gap, we analyse detrended correlations of the price returns, the average number of trades in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-03 Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

We investigate quotation and transaction activities in the foreign exchange market for every week during the period of June 2007 to December 2010. A scaling relationship between the mean values of number of quotations (or number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-03 Aki-Hiro Sato , Takaki Hayashi , Janusz A. Hołyst

We examine the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA), which is a well-established method for the detection of long-range correlations in time series. We show that deviations from scaling that appear at small time scales become stronger in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Henio H. A. Rego , Shlomo Havlin , Armin Bunde

We analyze structure of the world foreign currency exchange (FX) market viewed as a network of interacting currencies. We analyze daily time series of FX data for a set of 63 currencies, including gold, silver and platinum. We group…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-03 Jaroslaw Kwapien , Sylwia Gworek , Stanislaw Drozdz , Andrzej Gorski

We use techniques from network science to study correlations in the foreign exchange (FX) market over the period 1991--2008. We consider an FX market network in which each node represents an exchange rate and each weighted edge represents a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

We study the cluster dynamics of multichannel (multivariate) time series by representing their correlations as time-dependent networks and investigating the evolution of network communities. We employ a node-centric approach that allows us…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

Lead-lag relationships among assets represent a useful tool for analyzing high frequency financial data. However, research on these relationships predominantly focuses on correlation analyses for the dynamics of stock prices, spots and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-08 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

There are a number of situations in which several signals are simultaneously recorded in complex systems, which exhibit long-term power-law cross-correlations. The multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA) approaches can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou
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