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Electricity is typically traded in day-ahead auctions because many power system decisions, such as unit commitment, must be made in advance. However, when wind and solar generators sell power one day ahead, they face uncertainty about their…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-16 Thomas Hübner

Among the many challenges of integrating renewable energy sources into the existing power grid, is the challenge of integrating renewable energy generators into the power systems economy. Electricity markets currently are run in a way that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-12 Wenyuan Tang , Rahul Jain

Quantity and price risks are key uncertainties market participants face in electricity markets with increased volatility, for instance, due to high shares of renewables. From day ahead until real-time, there is a large variation in the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Paul E. Seifert , Emil Kraft , Steffen Bakker , Stein-Erik Fleten

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

Distribution locational marginal prices (DLMPs) facilitate the efficient operation of low-voltage electric power distribution systems. We propose an approach to internalize the stochasticity of renewable distributed energy resources (DERs)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin

This paper proposes a novel framework to price energy storage in economic dispatch with a social welfare maximization objective. This framework can be utilized by power system operators to generate default bids for storage or to benchmark…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Ning Qi , Ningkun Zheng , Bolun Xu

Recent studies show that the fast growing expansion of wind power generation may lead to extremely high levels of price volatility in wholesale electricity markets. Storage technologies, regardless of their specific forms e.g. pump-storage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Amin Masoumzadeh , Ehsan Nekouei , Tansu Alpcan , Deb Chattopadhyay

According to the fundamental theorems of welfare economics, any competitive equilibrium is Pareto efficient. Unfortunately, competitive equilibrium prices only exist under strong assumptions such as perfectly divisible goods and convex…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Johannes Knörr

We propose a multi-stage stochastic programming model for the optimal participation of energy communities in electricity markets. The multi-stage aspect captures the different times at which variable renewable generation and electricity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Albert Solà Vilalta , Ignasi Mañé , F. - Javier Heredia

Energy market designs with non-merchant storage have been proposed in recent years, with the aim of achieving optimal market integration of storage. In order to handle the time-linking constraints that are introduced in such markets,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Linde Frölke , Eléa Prat , Pierre Pinson , Richard M. Lusby , Jalal Kazempour

High shares of variable renewable energy necessitate substantial energy storage capacity. However, it remains unclear how to design a market that, on the one hand, ensures a stable and sufficient income for storage firms, and, on the other…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-06 Aviad Navon , Juri Belikov , Ariel Orda , Yoash Levron

Electricity price forecasting supports decision-making in energy markets and asset operation. Probabilistic forecasts are increasingly adopted to explicitly quantify uncertainty, typically issued as quantile predictions or ensembles of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

This paper deals with the problem of clearing sequential electricity markets under uncertainty. We consider the European approach, where reserves are traded separately from energy to meet exogenous reserve requirements. Recently pro- posed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Vladimir Dvorkin , Stefanos Delikaraoglou , Juan M. Morales

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

We consider a two-stage market mechanism for trading electricity including renewable generation as an alternative to the widely used multi-settlement market structure. The two-stage market structure allows for recourse decisions by the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Nathan Dahlin , Rahul Jain

Extreme events jeopardize power network operations, causing beyond-design failures and massive supply interruptions. Existing market designs fail to internalize and systematically assess the risk of extreme and rare events. Efficiently…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-03 Tomas Tapia , Zhirui Liang , Charalambos Konstantinou , Yury Dvorkin

Market-based coordination of demand side assets has gained great interests in recent years. In spite of its efficiency, there is a risk that the interaction between the dynamic assets through the price signal could result in an unstable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Lin Zhao , Wei Zhang

Forecasting electricity prices is a challenging task and an active area of research since the 1990s and the deregulation of the traditionally monopolistic and government-controlled power sectors. Although it aims at predicting both spot and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

We consider some crucial problems related to the secure and reliable operation of power systems with high renewable penetrations: how much reserve should we procure, how should reserve resources distribute among different locations, and how…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-19 Jiantao Shi , Ye Guo , Lang Tong , Wenchuan Wu , Hongbin Sun

Electricity market operators worldwide use mixed-integer linear programming to solve the allocation problem in wholesale electricity markets. Prices are typically determined based on the duals of relaxed versions of this optimization…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Teodora Dobos , Johannes Knörr