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Related papers: Ensemble Consider Kalman Filtering

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We propose a Dynamical Low-Rank Ensemble Kalman Filter (DLR-ENKF) for efficient joint state-parameter estimation in high-dimensional dynamical systems. The method extends the DLR-ENKF formulation of arXiv:2509.11210 to the augmented…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Fabio Nobile , Sébastien Riffaud , Thomas Trigo Trindade

Data assimilation is a method of uncertainty quantification to estimate the hidden true state by updating the prediction owing to model dynamics with observation data. As a prediction model, we consider a class of nonlinear dynamical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Kota Takeda , Takashi Sakajo

Variational inference (VI) combined with Bayesian nonlinear filtering produces state-of-the-art results for latent time-series modeling. A body of recent work has focused on sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and its variants, e.g., forward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Tomoyuki Higuchi , Kazuyuki Nakamura

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is a popular sequential data assimilation method that has been increasingly used for parameter estimation and forecast prediction in epidemiological studies. The observation function plays a critical role…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-20 Leah Mitchell , Andrea Arnold

In recent years, several ensemble-based filtering methods have been proposed and studied. The main challenge in such procedures is the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble at every step of the filtering recursions. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-11 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

Ensemble Kalman methods were initially developed to solve nonlinear data assimilation problems in oceanography, but are now popular in applications far beyond their original use cases. Of particular interest is climate model calibration. As…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-21 Rebecca Gjini , Matthias Morzfeld , Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Tapio Schneider

It is a grand challenge to find a feasible weather modification method to mitigate the impact of extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. Previous works have proposed potentially effective actuators and assessed their capabilities…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-15 Yohei Sawada

We present a novel sampling-based method for estimating probabilities of rare or failure events. Our approach is founded on the Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems. Therefore, we reformulate the rare event problem as an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-15 Fabian Wagner , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

We formulate the discrete-time inverse optimal control problem of inferring unknown parameters in the objective function of an optimal control problem from measurements of optimal states and controls as a nonlinear filtering problem. This…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Tian Zhao , Timothy L. Molloy

This paper investigates an approximation scheme of the optimal nonlinear Bayesian filter based on the Gaussian mixture representation of the state probability distribution function. The resulting filter is similar to the particle filter,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 Ibrahim Hoteit , Xiaodong Luo , Dinh-Tuan Pham

Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is an important data assimilation method for high dimensional geophysical systems. Efficient implementation of EnKF in practice often involves the localization technique, which updates each component using only…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Xin T. Tong

Several numerical tools designed to overcome the challenges of smoothing in a nonlinear and non-Gaussian setting are investigated for a class of particle smoothers. The considered family of smoothers is induced by the class of linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Jana de Wiljes , Sahani Pathiraja , Sebastian Reich

Ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) is an efficient approach to addressing uncertainties in subsurface groundwater models. The EnKF sequentially integrates field data into simulation models to obtain a better characterization of the model's…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-09 Boujemaa Ait-El-Fquih , Mohamad El Gharamti , Ibrahim Hoteit

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is a widely used method for data assimilation in high-dimensional systems, with an ensemble update step equivalent to an empirical version of the Matheron update popular in Gaussian process regression -- a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Dan MacKinlay

Simultaneous state and parameter estimation arises from various applicational areas but presents a major computational challenge. Most available Markov chain or sequential Monte Carlo techniques are applicable to relatively low dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Angwenyi David , Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich

Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (pMCMC) is now a popular method for performing Bayesian statistical inference on challenging state space models (SSMs) with unknown static parameters. It uses a particle filter (PF) at each iteration of an…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-19 Christopher Drovandi , Richard G Everitt , Andrew Golightly , Dennis Prangle

Several variations of the Kalman filter algorithm, such as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), are widely used in science and engineering applications. In this paper, we introduce two algorithms of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Wei Kang , Liang Xu

We study parameter estimation for non-global parameters in a low-dimensional chaotic model using the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF). By modifying existing techniques for using observational data to estimate global…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-09-03 Thomas Bellsky , Jesse Berwald , Lewis Mitchell

The Ensemble Kalman Filter method can be used as an iterative numerical scheme for parameter identification or nonlinear filtering problems. We study the limit of infinitely large ensemble size and derive the corresponding mean-field limit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Michael Herty , Giuseppe Visconti