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We introduce a Path Shadowing Monte-Carlo method, which provides prediction of future paths, given any generative model. At any given date, it averages future quantities over generated price paths whose past history matches, or `shadows',…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-04 Rudy Morel , Stéphane Mallat , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

When trading American and Asian options in the FX derivatives market, banks must calculate prices using a complex mathematical model. It is often observed that different models produce varying prices for the same exotic option, which…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-24 Dongli Wu , Bufan Zhang , Xiao Lin

We consider a class of discrete time stochastic control problems motivated by some financial applications. We use a pathwise stochastic control approach to provide a dual formulation of the problem. This enables us to develop a numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-20 Lajos Gergely Gyurko , Ben Hambly , Jan Hendrik Witte

This paper aims to develop a supervised deep-learning scheme to compute call option prices for the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model with a non-martingale asset price process having infinite active jumps. In our deep learning scheme,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Takuji Arai , Yuto Imai

The construction of approximate replication strategies for pricing and hedging of derivative contracts in incomplete markets is a key problem of financial engineering. Recently Reinforcement Learning algorithms for hedging under realistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Oleg Szehr

This paper presents a multinomial method for option pricing when the underlying asset follows an exponential Variance Gamma process. The continuous time Variance Gamma process is approximated by a discrete time Markov chain with the same…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-18 Nicola Cantarutti , João Guerra

An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 P. V. Shevchenko

Utility based methods provide a very general theoretically consistent approach to pricing and hedging of securities in incomplete financial markets. Solving problems in the utility based framework typically involves dynamic programming,…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 M. R. Grasselli , T. R. Hurd

The method and characteristics of several approaches to the pricing of discretely monitored arithmetic Asian options on stocks with discrete, absolute dividends are described. The contrast between method behaviors for options with an Asian…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-04 Jacob Lundgren , Yuri Shpolyanskiy

The pricing of options, warrants and other derivative securities is one of the great success of financial economics. These financial products can be modeled and simulated using quantum mechanical instruments based on a Hamiltonian…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-18 Belal E. Baaquie , Claudio Coriano , Marakani Srikant

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang

We present a novel method for the numerical pricing of American options based on Monte Carlo simulation and the optimization of exercise strategies. Previous solutions to this problem either explicitly or implicitly determine so-called…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-13 Christian Bayer , Raúl Tempone , Sören Wolfers

Tau-leaping is a popular discretization method for generating approximate paths of continuous time, discrete space, Markov chains, notably for biochemical reaction systems. To compute expected values in this context, an appropriate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-04 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham , Yu Sun

Derivatives on the Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility index (VIX) have gained significant popularity over the last decade. The pricing of VIX derivatives involves evaluating the square root of the expected realised variance which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-03 Ivan Guo , Gregoire Loeper

The binomial tree method and the Monte Carlo (MC) method are popular methods for solving option pricing problems. However in both methods there is a trade-off between accuracy and speed of computation, both of which are important in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-03 Yen Thuan Trinh , Bernard Hanzon

American options are the reference instruments for the model calibration of a large and important class of single stocks. For this task, a fast and accurate pricing algorithm is indispensable. The literature mainly discusses pricing methods…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-21 Olena Burkovska , Maximilian Gaß , Kathrin Glau , Mirco Mahlstedt , Wim Schoutens , Barbara Wohlmuth

Hedging a portfolio containing autocallable notes presents unique challenges due to the complex risk profile of these financial instruments. In addition to hedging, pricing these notes, particularly when multiple underlying assets are…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Anil Sharma , Freeman Chen , Jaesun Noh , Julio DeJesus , Mario Schlener

Maneuver decision-making can be regarded as a Markov decision process and can be address by reinforcement learning. However, original reinforcement learning algorithms can hardly solve the maneuvering decision-making problem. One reason is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Zhang Hong-Peng

We explore the possibilities of importance sampling in the Monte Carlo pricing of a structured credit derivative referred to as Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO). Modeling a CDO contract is challenging, since it depends on a pool of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-09 Marcell Stippinger , Bálint Vető , Éva Rácz , Zsolt Bihary

We extend the viscosity solution characterization proved in [5] for call/put American option prices to the case of a general payoff function in a multi-dimensional setting: the price satisfies a semilinear re-action/diffusion type equation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Bruno Bouchard , Ki Chau , Arij Manai , Ahmed Sid-Ali
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