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Deep tabular models have demonstrated remarkable success on i.i.d. data, excelling in a variety of structured data tasks. However, their performance often deteriorates under temporal distribution shifts, where trends and periodic patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Hao-Run Cai , Han-Jia Ye

Multi-armed bandit methods have been used for dynamic experiments particularly in online services. Among the methods, thompson sampling is widely used because it is simple but shows desirable performance. Many thompson sampling methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-05 Sulgi Kim , Kyungmin Kim

We study the fundamental problem of sampling independent events, called subset sampling. Specifically, consider a set of $n$ events $S=\{x_1, \ldots, x_n\}$, where each event $x_i$ has an associated probability $p(x_i)$. The subset sampling…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Lu Yi , Hanzhi Wang , Zhewei Wei

Adaptive experimentation is increasingly used in educational platforms to personalize learning through dynamic content and feedback. However, standard adaptive strategies such as Thompson Sampling often underperform in real-world…

We introduce Time-Conditioned Contraction Matching (TCCM), a novel method for semi-supervised anomaly detection in tabular data. TCCM is inspired by flow matching, a recent generative modeling framework that learns velocity fields between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Zhong Li , Qi Huang , Yuxuan Zhu , Lincen Yang , Mohammad Mohammadi Amiri , Niki van Stein , Matthijs van Leeuwen

Sampling is often a necessary evil to reduce the processing and storage costs of distributed tracing. In this work, we describe a scalable and adaptive sampling approach that can preserve events of interest better than the widely used…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Otmar Ertl

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

This paper proposes a variational Bayes algorithm for computationally efficient posterior and predictive inference in time-varying parameter (TVP) models. Within this context we specify a new dynamic variable/model selection strategy for…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Gary Koop , Dimitris Korobilis

Prediction modelling of claim frequency is an important task for pricing and risk management in non-life insurance and needed to be updated frequently with the changes in the insured population, regulatory legislation and technology.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Jiakun Jiang , Zhengxiao Li , Liang Yang

Sampling is a fundamental problem in computer science and statistics. However, for a given task and stream, it is often not possible to choose good sampling probabilities in advance. We derive a general framework for adaptively changing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Daniel Ting

Solving chance-constrained stochastic optimal control problems is a significant challenge in control. This is because no analytical solutions exist for up to a handful of special cases. A common and computationally efficient approach for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-05 Alexandre Capone , Tim Brüdigam , Sandra Hirche

Conventional machine learning applications typically assume that data samples are independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, practical scenarios often involve a data-generating process that produces highly dependent data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Shaocong Ma , Ziyi Chen , Yi Zhou , Kaiyi Ji , Yingbin Liang

Fitting statistical models to spatiotemporal data requires finding the right balance between imposing smoothness and following the data. In the context of p-splines, we propose a Bayesian framework for choosing the smoothing parameter which…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-30 A. W. Bowman , L. Evers , D. Molinari , W. R. Jones , M. J. Spence

Stochastic equations play an important role in computational science, due to their ability to treat a wide variety of complex statistical problems. However, current algorithms are strongly limited by their sampling variance, which scales…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Bogdan Opanchuk , Simon Kiesewetter , Peter D. Drummond

Balancing between computational efficiency and sample efficiency is an important goal in reinforcement learning. Temporal difference (TD) learning algorithms stochastically update the value function, with a linear time complexity in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-21 Clement Gehring , Yangchen Pan , Martha White

One of the main obstacles to broad application of reinforcement learning methods is the parameter sensitivity of our core learning algorithms. In many large-scale applications, online computation and function approximation represent key…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-25 Martha White , Adam White

Temporal set prediction involves forecasting the elements that will appear in the next set, given a sequence of prior sets, each containing a variable number of elements. Existing methods often rely on intricate architectures with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Ashish Ranjan , Ayush Agarwal , Shalin Barot , Sushant Kumar

In this paper we detail the reformulation and rewrite of core functions in the spBayes R package. These efforts have focused on improving computational efficiency, flexibility, and usability for point-referenced data models. Attention is…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-31 Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee , Alan E. Gelfand

Crop type classification using optical satellite time series remains limited in its ability to generalize across seasons, particularly when crop phenology shifts due to inter-annual weather variability. This hampers real-world applicability…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Mehmet Ozgur Turkoglu , Selene Ledain , Helge Aasen

Test-time adaptation aims to adapt to realistic environments in an online manner by learning during test time. Entropy minimization has emerged as a principal strategy for test-time adaptation due to its efficiency and adaptability.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Jisu Han , Jaemin Na , Wonjun Hwang