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We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

We study that the breakdown of epidemic depends on some parameters, that is expressed in epidemic reproduction ratio number. It is noted that when $R_0 $ exceeds 1, the stochastic model have two different results. But, eventually the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-19 Kurnia Susvitasari

For a large class of processes with an absorbing state, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain time-independent values in the quasi-stationary (QS) regime. We propose a practical simulation method for studying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marcelo Martins de Oliveira , Ronald Dickman

For general, almost surely absorbed Markov processes, we obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-25 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

It has recently been shown that structural conditions on the reaction network, rather than a 'fine-tuning' of system parameters, often suffice to impart 'absolute concentration robustness' on a wide class of biologically relevant,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 David F. Anderson , German Enciso , Matthew Johnston

We are interested in the long time behavior of a two-type density-dependent biological population conditioned to non-extinction, in both cases of competition or weak cooperation between the two species. This population is described by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-04 Patrick Cattiaux , Sylvie Méléard

This paper studies the sensitivity analysis of mass-action systems against their diffusion approximations, particularly the dependence on population sizes. As a continuous time Markov chain, a mass-action system can be described by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Yao Li , Yaping Yuan

Stochastic discrete-time SIS and SIR models of endemic diseases are introduced and analyzed. For the deterministic, mean-field model, the basic reproductive number $R_0$ determines their global dynamics. If $R_0\le 1$, then the frequency of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Shuo Huang , Jifa Jiang , Hao Wang

We consider an irreducible pure jump Markov process with rates Q=(q(x,y)) on \Lambda\cup\{0\} with \Lambda countable and 0 an absorbing state. A quasi-stationary distribution (qsd) is a probability measure \nu on \Lambda that satisfies:…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Pablo A. Ferrari , Nevena Maric

We study a random process with reinforcement, which evolves following the dynamics of a given diffusion process in a bounded domain and is resampled according to its occupation measure when it reaches the boundary. We show that its…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Michel Benaïm , Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

This paper studies the quasi-stationary distributions for a single death process (or downwardly skip-free process) with killing defined on the non-negative integers, corresponding to a non-conservative transition rate matrix. The set…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Zhe-Kang Fang , Yong-Hua Mao

A branching random walk in presence of an absorbing wall moving at a constant velocity $v$ undergoes a phase transition as the velocity $v$ of the wall varies. Below the critical velocity $v_c$, the population has a non-zero survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-02-12 Damien Simon , Bernard Derrida

Errors of approximations of the quasi-stationary distribution (the QSD) of the logistic SIS model are evaluated numerically. The results are used to derive asymptotic approximations of the approximation errors for large populations. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Ingemar Nåsell

We extend some results on the convergence of one-dimensional diffusions killed at the boundary, conditioned on extended survival, to the case of general killing on the interior. We show, under fairly general conditions, that a diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Steinsaltz , Steven N. Evans

We introduce the notion of a quasistatic dynamical system, which generalizes that of an ordinary dynamical system. Quasistatic dynamical systems are inspired by the namesake processes in thermodynamics, which are idealized processes where…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-18 Neil Dobbs , Mikko Stenlund

Quasi-stationary distributions, as discussed by Darroch & Seneta (1965), have been used in biology to describe the steady state behaviour of population models which, while eventually certain to become extinct, nevertheless maintain an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-01 A. D. Barbour , P. K. Pollett

Quasi-stationary distributions, as discussed by Darroch & Seneta (1965), have been used in biology to describe the steady state behaviour of population models which, while eventually certain to become extinct, nevertheless maintain an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-14 A. D. Barbour , P. K. Pollett

We consider the symmetric simple exclusion with open boundaries that are in contact with particle reservoirs at different densities. The reservoir densities changes at a slower time scale with respect to the natural time scale the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Anna De Masi , Stefano Olla

In this paper, we study quasi-stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. This type of distributions is of interest for the analysis of stochastic systems which have finite lifetimes, but are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

We introduce and study the basic properties of two ergodic stochastic control problems associated with the quasistationary distribution (QSD) of a diffusion process $X$ relative to a bounded domain. The two problems are in some sense dual,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Pierre Nyquist , Guo-Jhen Wu