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We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

We present a short introduction into the framework of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We illustrate the abstract mathematical setting with a series of examples related to dispersal of biological systems, cell cycle models, gene…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Ryszard Rudnicki , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

A Kernel Adaptive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is introduced, for the purpose of sampling from a target distribution with strongly nonlinear support. The algorithm embeds the trajectory of the Markov chain into a reproducing kernel Hilbert…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-16 Dino Sejdinovic , Heiko Strathmann , Maria Lomeli Garcia , Christophe Andrieu , Arthur Gretton

In this paper, we study the transition densities of pure-jump symmetric Markov processes in $ {{\mathbb R}}^d$, whose jumping kernels are comparable to radially symmetric functions with mixed polynomial growths. Under some mild assumptions…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-20 Joohak Bae , Jaehoon Kang , Panki Kim , Jaehun Lee

In this paper, we study a class of non-parametric density estimators under Bayesian settings. The estimators are piecewise constant functions on binary partitions. We analyze the concentration rate of the posterior distribution under a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Linxi Liu , Wing Hung Wong

Semi-Markov processes are a generalization of Markov processes since the exponential distribution of time intervals is replaced with an arbitrary distribution. This paper provides an integro-differential form of the Kolmogorov's backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Enzo Orsingher , Costantino Ricciuti , Bruno Toaldo

Bayesian filtering deals with computing the posterior distribution of the state of a stochastic dynamic system given noisy observations. In this paper, motivated by applications in counter-adversarial systems, we consider the following…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-28 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

This paper investigates almost sure exponential stabilization of continuous-time Markov jump linear systems (MJLSs) under communication data-rate constraints by introducing sampling and quantization into the feedback control. Different from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Jingyi Wang , Jianwen Feng , Chen Xu , Xiaoqun Wu , Jinhu Lü

Bayesian analysis has become an indispensable tool across many different cosmological fields including the study of gravitational waves, the Cosmic Microwave Background and the 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn among other phenomena. The…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-19 Harry T. J. Bevins , William J. Handley , Pablo Lemos , Peter H. Sims , Eloy de Lera Acedo , Anastasia Fialkov , Justin Alsing

Cyclical MCMC is a novel MCMC framework recently proposed by Zhang et al. (2019) to address the challenge posed by high-dimensional multimodal posterior distributions like those arising in deep learning. The algorithm works by generating a…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-04 Liwei Wang , Xinru Liu , Aaron Smith , Yves Atchade

We study nonparametric Bayesian binary classification, in the case where the unknown probability response function is possibly spatially inhomogeneous, for example, being generally flat across the domain but presenting localized sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

In Bayesian inverse problems, one aims at characterizing the posterior distribution of a set of unknowns, given indirect measurements. For non-linear/non-Gaussian problems, analytic solutions are seldom available: Sequential Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Alessandro Viani , Adam M Johansen , Alberto Sorrentino

In this paper we deal with the problem of testing for the equality of $k$ probability distributions defined on $(\mathcal{X},\mathcal{B})$, where $\mathcal{X}$ is a metric space and $\mathcal{B}$ is the corresponding Borel $\sigma$-field.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Armando Sosthene Kali Balogoun , Guy Martial Nkiet , Carlos Ogouyandjou

Density tempering (also called density annealing) is a sequential Monte Carlo approach to Bayesian inference for general state models; it is an alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo. When applied to state space models, it moves a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Minh Ngoc Tran

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Michael Levine , Xiaoguang Wang , Jian Frank Zou

We establish a domination principle for positive operators, which provides an upper bound on the essential spectral radius and yields quasi-compactness criteria on weighted supremum spaces with Lyapunov type functions and local domination.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Denis Villemonais

We develop novel learning rates for conditional mean embeddings by applying the theory of interpolation for reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS). We derive explicit, adaptive convergence rates for the sample estimator under the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-09 Prem Talwai , Ali Shameli , David Simchi-Levi

We introduce a distance between kernels based on the Wasserstein distances between their values, study its properties, and prove that it is a metric on an appropriately defined space of kernels. We also relate it to various modes of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Zhengqi Lin , Andrzej Ruszczynski

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

In this paper, we use the Markov property introduced in Balan and Ivanoff (J. Theor. Probab. 15, 2002, 553-588) for set-indexed processes and we prove that a Markov prior distribution leads to a Markov posterior distribution. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Raluca Balan