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Deep metric learning maps visually similar images onto nearby locations and visually dissimilar images apart from each other in an embedding manifold. The learning process is mainly based on the supplied image negative and positive training…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Chang-Hui Liang , Wan-Lei Zhao , Run-Qing Chen

How can we explain the predictions of a machine learning model? When the data is structured as a multivariate time series, this question induces additional difficulties such as the necessity for the explanation to embody the time dependency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Jonathan Crabbé , Mihaela van der Schaar

Time series has attracted a lot of attention in many fields today. Time series forecasting algorithm based on complex network analysis is a research hotspot. How to use time series information to achieve more accurate forecasting is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Tianxiang Zhan , Fuyuan Xiao

Multi-step forecasting (MSF) in time-series, the ability to make predictions multiple time steps into the future, is fundamental to almost all temporal domains. To make such forecasts, one must assume the recursive complexity of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Riku Green , Grant Stevens , Telmo de Menezes e Silva Filho , Zahraa Abdallah

We introduce a technique of time series analysis, potential forecasting, which is based on dynamical propagation of the probability density of time series. We employ polynomial coefficients of the orthogonal approximation of the empirical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 V. N. Livina , G. Lohmann , M. Mudelsee , T. M. Lenton

Many planning and decision activities in logistics and supply chain management are based on forecasts of multiple time dependent factors. Therefore, the quality of planning depends on the quality of the forecasts. We compare various…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-07 Lena Schmid , Moritz Roidl , Markus Pauly

Dynamic time warping constitutes a major tool for analyzing time series. In particular, computing a mean series of a given sample of series in dynamic time warping spaces (by minimizing the Fr\'echet function) is a challenging computational…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-06-01 Markus Brill , Till Fluschnik , Vincent Froese , Brijnesh Jain , Rolf Niedermeier , David Schultz

This paper tackles one of the most fundamental goals in functional time series analysis which is to provide reliable predictions for future functions. Existing methods for predicting a complete future functional observation use only…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Alexander Aue , Hernando Ombao

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

Models based on neural networks and machine learning are seeing a rise in popularity in space physics. In particular, the forecasting of geomagnetic indices with neural network models is becoming a popular field of study. These models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Brecht Laperre , Jorge Amaya , Giovanni Lapenta

Optical flow is a crucial component of the feature space for early visual processing of dynamic scenes especially in new applications such as self-driving vehicles, drones and autonomous robots. The dynamic vision sensors are well suited…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Himanshu Akolkar , SioHoi Ieng , Ryad Benosman

Analogs are nearest neighbors of the state of a system. By using analogs and their successors in time, one is able to produce empirical forecasts. Several analog forecasting methods have been used in atmospheric applications and tested on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-28 P Platzer , P. Yiou , P. Naveau , P Tandeo , Y Zhen , P Ailliot , J-F Filipot

We consider a dynamic method, based on synchronization and adaptive control, to estimate unknown parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system from a given scalar chaotic time series. We present an important extension of the method when time…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

In this work, we address time-series forecasting as a computer vision task. We capture input data as an image and train a model to produce the subsequent image. This approach results in predicting distributions as opposed to pointwise…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Naftali Cohen , Srijan Sood , Zhen Zeng , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Identifying a temporal pattern of events is a fundamental task of on-line (real-time) verification. We present efficient schemes for on-line monitoring of events for identifying desired/undesired patterns of events. The schemes use…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Shlomi Dolev , Jonathan Goldfeld , Rami Puzis

A method is presented to exploit adaptive integration algorithms using importance sampling, like VEGAS, for the task of scanning theoretical predictions depending on a multi-dimensional parameter space. Usually, a parameter scan is…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-04-05 Oliver Brein

Deciding the best future execution time is a critical task in many business activities while evolving time series forecasting, and optimal timing strategy provides such a solution, which is driven by observed data. This solution has plenty…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Chen Pan , Fan Zhou , Xuanwei Hu , Xinxin Zhu , Wenxin Ning , Zi Zhuang , Siqiao Xue , James Zhang , Yunhua Hu

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

We introduce a new methodology for forecasting which we call Signal Diffusion Mapping. Our approach accommodates features of real world financial data which have been ignored historically in existing forecasting methodologies. Our method…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-24 Paul Gaskell , Frank McGroarty , Thanassis Tiropanis

Time series classification is an important task in its own right, and it is often a precursor to further downstream analytics. To date, virtually all works in the literature have used either shape-based classification using a distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-23 Sara Alaee , Alireza Abdoli , Christian Shelton , Amy C. Murillo , Alec C. Gerry , Eamonn Keogh