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In this paper we apply a new approach of the string theory to the real financial market. It is direct extension and application of the work [1] into prediction of prices. The models are constructed with an idea of prediction models based on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Richard Pincak , Marian Repasan

This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Gang Hu

Terrorism has led to many problems in Thai societies, not only property damage but also civilian casualties. Predicting terrorism activities in advance can help prepare and manage risk from sabotage by these activities. This paper proposes…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-04-13 Uraiwan Inyaem , Choochart Haruechaiyasak , Phayung Meesad , Dat Tran

The architecture of a neural network and the selection of its activation function are both fundamental to its performance. Equally vital is ensuring these two elements are well-matched, as their alignment is key to achieving effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Shijun Zhang , Hongkai Zhao , Yimin Zhong , Haomin Zhou

With rapid progress in deep learning, neural networks have been widely used in scientific research and engineering applications as surrogate models. Despite the great success of neural networks in fitting complex systems, two major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Yuwen Deng , Wang Kang , Wei W. Xing

The paper proposes a new asset pricing model -- the News Embedding UMAP Selection (NEUS) model, to explain and predict the stock returns based on the financial news. Using a combination of various machine learning algorithms, we first…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Liao Zhu , Haoxuan Wu , Martin T. Wells

In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang

Fully Connected Neural Networks (FCNNs) have been the core of most state-of-the-art Machine Learning (ML) applications in recent years and also have been widely used for Intrusion Detection Systems (IDSs). Experimental results from the last…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Fares Meghdouri , Maximilian Bachl , Tanja Zseby

This study analyzes the transmission of market uncertainty on key European financial markets and the cryptocurrency market over an extended period, encompassing the pre, during, and post-pandemic periods. Daily financial market indices and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Apostolos Ampountolas

Graph neural networks (GNN) have been shown to provide substantial performance improvements for atomistic material representation and modeling compared with descriptor-based machine learning models. While most existing GNN models for…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-04-08 Kamal Choudhary , Brian DeCost

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) were recently proposed as a new paradigm for machine learning. Instead of training the network to an observed training set, a fixed model is pre-trained offline on small, simulated training sets from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-19 Thomas Nagler

Fuzzy time series forecasting (FTSF) is a typical forecasting method with wide application. Traditional FTSF is regarded as an expert system which leads to loss of the ability to recognize undefined features. The mentioned is the main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Yong Deng , Zhen Li

The pandemic COVID-19 disease has had a dramatic impact on almost all countries around the world so that many hospitals have been overwhelmed with Covid-19 cases. As medical resources are limited, deciding on the proper allocation of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Ali Akbar Sadat Asl , Mohammad Mahdi Ershadi , Shahabeddin Sotudian , Xingyu Li , Scott Dick

Different features have different relevance to a particular learning problem. Some features are less relevant; while some very important. Instead of selecting the most relevant features using feature selection, an algorithm can be given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-01-26 Ridwan Al Iqbal

This paper proposes a deep neural network (DNN)-driven framework to address the longstanding generalization challenge in adaptive filtering (AF). In contrast to traditional AF frameworks that emphasize explicit cost function design, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Qizhen Wang , Gang Wang , Ying-Chang Liang

Adoption of deep neural networks in fields such as economics or finance has been constrained by the lack of interpretability of model outcomes. This paper proposes a generative neural network architecture - the parameter encoder neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Johann Pfitzinger

This work presents a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for the prediction of next-day stock fluctuations using company-specific news headlines. Experiments to evaluate model performance using various configurations of word-embeddings and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Jonathan Readshaw , Stefano Giani

Recently, the application of advanced machine learning methods for asset management has become one of the most intriguing topics. Unfortunately, the application of these methods, such as deep neural networks, is difficult due to the data…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-05 Jinho Lee , Sungwoo Park , Jungyu Ahn , Jonghun Kwak

In the big data era, deep learning and intelligent data mining technique solutions have been applied by researchers in various areas. Forecast and analysis of stock market data have represented an essential role in today's economy, and a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-26 Wilfredo Tovar

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire