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Bayesian networks provide a modeling language and associated inference algorithm for stochastic domains. They have been successfully applied in a variety of medium-scale applications. However, when faced with a large complex domain, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Daphne Koller , Avi Pfeffer

We propose a gate-based quantum algorithm for the prediction step of Bayesian state estimation based on the Fokker-Planck equation on a discretized position-velocity state space. The probability density is encoded in the amplitudes of a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-28 Felix Govaers

We present an exact Bayesian inference method for discrete statistical models, which can find exact solutions to a large class of discrete inference problems, even with infinite support and continuous priors. To express such models, we…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Fabian Zaiser , Andrzej S. Murawski , Luke Ong

Model uncertainty is pervasive in real world analysis situations and is an often-neglected issue in applied statistics. However, standard approaches to the research process do not address the inherent uncertainty in model building and,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Mariana Nold , Florian Meinfelder , David Kaplan

Generative modeling using samples drawn from the probability distribution constitutes a powerful approach for unsupervised machine learning. Quantum mechanical systems can produce probability distributions that exhibit quantum correlations…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-10-07 Xun Gao , Eric R. Anschuetz , Sheng-Tao Wang , J. Ignacio Cirac , Mikhail D. Lukin

Statistical inference on the cancer-site specificities of collective ultra-rare whole genome somatic mutations is an open problem. Traditional statistical methods cannot handle whole-genome mutation data due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-02 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Zoe Guan , Colin B. Begg , Ronglai Shen

Bayesian networks provide an elegant formalism for representing and reasoning about uncertainty using probability theory. Theyare a probabilistic extension of propositional logic and, hence, inherit some of the limitations of propositional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kristian Kersting , Luc De Raedt

We examine the complexity of inference in Bayesian networks specified by logical languages. We consider representations that range from fragments of propositional logic to function-free first-order logic with equality; in doing so we cover…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-09 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman , Denis Deratani Mauá

Large Language models (LLMs) can generate complicated source code from natural language prompts. However, LLMs can generate output that deviates from what the user wants, requiring supervision and editing. To support this process, we offer…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-01-01 David Gros , Prem Devanbu

Step-by-step decision planning with large language models (LLMs) is gaining attention in AI agent development. This paper focuses on decision planning with uncertainty estimation to address the hallucination problem in language models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Walter Talbott , Jian Zhang

While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

Finding patterns in data is one of the most challenging open questions in information science. The number of possible relationships scales combinatorially with the size of the dataset, overwhelming the exponential increase in availability…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-16 Deborah A. Striegel , Damian Wojtowicz , Teresa M. Przytycka , Vipul Periwal

Probabilistic programming frameworks are powerful tools for statistical modelling and inference. They are not immediately generalisable to phylogenetic problems due to the particular computational properties of the phylogenetic tree object.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-11 Christiaan Swanepoel , Mathieu Fourment , Xiang Ji , Hassan Nasif , Marc A Suchard , Frederick A Matsen , Alexei Drummond

Genome-wide eQTL mapping explores the relationship between gene expression values and DNA variants to understand genetic causes of human disease. Due to the large number of genes and DNA variants that need to be assessed simultaneously,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-10 Jacob Rhyne , Jung-Ying Tzeng , Teng Zhang , X. Jessie Jeng

An important component of any generation system is the mapping dictionary, a lexicon of elementary semantic expressions and corresponding natural language realizations. Typically, labor-intensive knowledge-based methods are used to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Regina Barzilay , Lillian Lee

The computational costs of inference and planning have confined Bayesian model-based reinforcement learning to one of two dismal fates: powerful Bayes-adaptive planning but only for simplistic models, or powerful, Bayesian non-parametric…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Arthur Guez , David Silver , Peter Dayan

Combining predictions from different models is a central problem in Bayesian inference and machine learning more broadly. Currently, these predictive distributions are almost exclusively combined using linear mixtures such as Bayesian model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-15 Yuling Yao , Luiz Max Carvalho , Diego Mesquita , Yann McLatchie

In our previous work, we introduced the rule-based Bayesian Regression, a methodology that leverages two concepts: (i) Bayesian inference, for the general framework and uncertainty quantification and (ii) rule-based systems for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Themistoklis Botsas , Lachlan R. Mason , Omar K. Matar , Indranil Pan

Standard Bayesian approaches for linear time-invariant (LTI) system identification are hindered by parameter non-identifiability; the resulting complex, multi-modal posteriors make inference inefficient and impractical. We solve this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-29 Andrey Bryutkin , Matthew E. Levine , Iñigo Urteaga , Youssef Marzouk

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

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