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A Bayesian analytics framework that precisely quantifies uncertainty offers a significant advance for financial risk management. We develop an integrated approach that consistently enhances the handling of risk in market volatility…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-19 Sharif Al Mamun , Rakib Hossain , Md. Jobayer Rahman , Malay Kumar Devnath , Farhana Afroz , Lisan Al Amin

We use a neural network to identify the optimal solution to a family of optimal investment problems, where the parameters determining an investor's risk and consumption preferences are given as inputs to the neural network in addition to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 John Armstrong , Cristin Buescu , James Dalby , Rohan Hobbs

Lung cancer is a major issue in worldwide public health, requiring early diagnosis using stable techniques. This work begins a thorough investigation of the use of machine learning (ML) methods for precise classification of lung cancer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Shayli Farshchiha , Salman Asoudeh , Maryam Shavali Kuhshuri , Mehrshad Eisaeid , Mohamadreza Azadie , Saba Hesaraki

Heart disease remains a leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide, necessitating the development of accurate and reliable predictive models to facilitate early detection and intervention. While state of the art work has focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Mahade Hasan , Farhana Yasmin , Xue Yu

In an environment of increasingly volatile financial markets, the accurate estimation of risk remains a major challenge. Traditional econometric models, such as GARCH and its variants, are based on assumptions that are often too rigid to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Fredy Pokou , Jules Sadefo Kamdem , François Benhmad

The lifetime behaviour of loans is notoriously difficult to model, which can compromise a bank's financial reserves against future losses, if modelled poorly. Therefore, we present a data-driven comparative study amongst three techniques in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster , Roland Breedt

Survival analysis has become a standard approach for modelling time to default by time-varying covariates in credit risk. Unlike most existing methods that implicitly assume a stationary data-generating process, in practise, mortgage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Jianwei Peng , Stefan Lessmann

Boosting techniques and neural networks are particularly effective machine learning methods for insurance pricing. Often in practice, there are nevertheless endless debates about the choice of the right loss function to be used to train the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-12 Michel Denuit , Arthur Charpentier , Julien Trufin

Machine learning models that aim to predict dementia onset usually follow the classification methodology ignoring the time until an event happens. This study presents an alternative, using survival analysis within the context of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Daniel Stamate , Henry Musto , Olesya Ajnakina , Daniel Stahl

We introduce a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees. Our calibration algorithms work with any underlying model and (unknown) data-generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Emmanuel J. Candès , Michael I. Jordan , Lihua Lei

Machine learning systems show significant promise for forecasting patient adverse events via risk scores. However, these risk scores implicitly encode assumptions about future interventions that the patient is likely to receive, based on…

International trade policies have recently garnered attention for limiting cross-border exchange of essential goods (e.g. steel, aluminum, soybeans, and beef). Since trade critically affects employment and wages, predicting future patterns…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-09 Feras Batarseh , Munisamy Gopinath , Ganesh Nalluru , Jayson Beckman

This paper presents an interpretable review of various machine learning and deep learning models to predict the maintenance of aircraft engine to avoid any kind of disaster. One of the advantages of the strategy is that it can work with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Abdullah Al Hasib , Ashikur Rahman , Mahpara Khabir , Md. Tanvir Rouf Shawon

Reinforcement Learning (RL) applications in real-world scenarios must prioritize safety and reliability, which impose strict constraints on agent behavior. Model-based RL leverages predictive world models for action planning and policy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Artem Latyshev , Gregory Gorbov , Aleksandr I. Panov

This study reveals the important role of prevention care and medication adherence in reducing hospitalizations. By using a structured dataset of 1,171 patients, four machine learning models Logistic Regression, Gradient Boosting, Random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Yixin Zhang , Yisong Chen

Using machine learning in solving constraint optimization and combinatorial problems is becoming an active research area in both computer science and operations research communities. This paper aims to predict a good solution for constraint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Babak Abbasi , Toktam Babaei , Zahra HosseiniFard

This paper explores the implications of using machine learning models in the pricing of catastrophe (CAT) bonds. By integrating advanced machine learning techniques, our approach uncovers nonlinear relationships and complex interactions…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-27 Xiaowei Chen , Hong Li , Yufan Lu , Rui Zhou

Recently, safe reinforcement learning (RL) with the actor-critic structure for continuous control tasks has received increasing attention. It is still challenging to learn a near-optimal control policy with safety and convergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Xinglong Zhang , Yaoqian Peng , Biao Luo , Wei Pan , Xin Xu , Haibin Xie

In this paper, we study an optimal reinsurance-investment problem in a risk model with two dependent classes of insurance business, where the two claim number processes are correlated through a common shock component. We assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Xia Han , Zhibin Liang

Bank credit risk is a significant challenge in modern financial transactions, and the ability to identify qualified credit card holders among a large number of applicants is crucial for the profitability of a bank'sbank's credit card…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Chang Yu , Yixin Jin , Qianwen Xing , Ye Zhang , Shaobo Guo , Shuchen Meng