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Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

This paper aims at improving the classification accuracy of a Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier with Sequential Minimal Optimization (SMO) training algorithm in order to properly classify failure and normal instances from oil and gas…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Zhiyuan Chen , Isa Dino , Nik Ahmad Akram

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is vital for the effective and economic operation of power grids and energy markets. However, the non-linearity and non-stationarity of electricity demand as well as its dependency on various external…

This paper presents a meta-learning based, automatic distribution system load forecasting model selection framework. The framework includes the following processes: feature extraction, candidate model labeling, offline training, and online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Yiyan Li , Si Zhang , Rongxing Hu , Ning Lu

Accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of the power sector. Forecasting load at a fine granularity such as hourly loads of individual households is challenging due to higher volatility and inherent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Haris Mansoor , Sarwan Ali , Imdadullah Khan , Naveed Arshad , Muhammad Asad Khan , Safiullah Faizullah

Electricity load forecasting is crucial for the power systems' planning and maintenance. However, its un-stationary and non-linear characteristics impose significant difficulties in anticipating future demand. This paper proposes a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Ruobin Gao , Liang Du , P. N. Suganthan , Qin Zhou , Kum Fai Yuen

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in diverse fields, necessitating the development of robust models that can effectively handle complex temporal patterns. In this article, we present a novel feature selection method embedded in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Raquel Espinosa , Fernando Jiménez , José Palma

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Accurate load forecasting is crucial for maintaining the power balance between generators and consumers,particularly with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, which introduce significant intermittent volatility. With the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Mingyang Gao , Suyang Zhou , Wei Gu , Zhi Wu , Haiquan Liu , Aihua Zhou

The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) calls for new monitoring and operational planning tools to ensure stability and sustainability in distribution grids. One idea is to use existing monitoring tools in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-05 Jiafan Yu , Yang Weng , Ram Rajagopal

In this paper, we develop a new approach to the very short-term point forecasting of electricity prices in the continuous market. It is based on the Support Vector Regression with a kernel correction built on additional forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-26 Andrzej Puć , Joanna Janczura

Support vector regression (SVR) is one of the most popular machine learning algorithms aiming to generate the optimal regression curve through maximizing the minimal margin of selected training samples, i.e., support vectors. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Gaoyang Li , Jinyu Yang , Chunguo Wu , Qin Ma

Electricity load forecasting enables the grid operators to optimally implement the smart grid's most essential features such as demand response and energy efficiency. Electricity demand profiles can vary drastically from one region to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Abdul Wahab , Muhammad Anas Tahir , Naveed Iqbal , Faisal Shafait , Syed Muhammad Raza Kazmi

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

This paper studies the addition of linear constraints to the Support Vector Regression (SVR) when the kernel is linear. Adding those constraints into the problem allows to add prior knowledge on the estimator obtained, such as finding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Quentin Klopfenstein , Samuel Vaiter

Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting (STELF) refers to the prediction of the immediate demand (in the next few hours to several days) for the power system. Various external factors, such as weather changes and the emergence of new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Chenhui Cui , Dave Towey , Ling Zhou , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang

Timely alerts about hazardous air pollutants are crucial for public health. However, existing forecasting models often overlook key factors like baseline parameters and missing data, limiting their accuracy. This study introduces a hybrid…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Parviz Ghafariasl , Masoomeh Zeinalnezhad , Amir Ahmadishokooh