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This paper introduces a novel spatial scalar-on-function quantile regression model that extends classical scalar-on-function models to account for spatial dependence and heterogeneous conditional distributions. The proposed model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Muge Mutis , Ufuk Beyaztas , Filiz Karaman , Han Lin Shang

In this paper I introduce quantile spectral densities that summarize the cyclical behavior of time series across their whole distribution by analyzing periodicities in quantile crossings. This approach can capture systematic changes in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-28 Andreas Hagemann

This paper introduces a causal machine learning approach to investigate the impact of the EU-Canada Comprehensive Economic Trade Agreement (CETA). We propose a matrix completion algorithm on French customs data to obtain multidimensional…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-01 Lionel Fontagné , Francesca Micocci , Armando Rungi

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

This paper investigates the presence of long memory in corporate bond and stock indices of six European Union countries from July 1998 to February 2015. We compute the Hurst exponent by means of the DFA method and using a sliding window in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-24 Lisana B. Martinez , M. Belen Guercio , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Antonio Terceño

An innovative method is proposed to construct a quantile dependence system for inflation and money growth. By considering all quantiles and leveraging a novel notion of quantile sensitivity, the method allows the assessment of changes in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-20 Matteo Iacopini , Aubrey Poon , Luca Rossini , Dan Zhu

Many studies have shown that there are good reasons to claim very low predictability of currency nevertheless, the deviations from true randomness exist which have potential predictive and prognostic power [J.James, Quantitative finance 3…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Tomáš Tokár , Denis Horváth

Urban sprawl reshapes cities, yet its quantitative laws remain elusive. Analyzing built-up expansion in 19 cities (1985-2015) with tools from surface growth physics in radial geometry, we reveal anisotropic, branch-like growth and a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-04 Ulysse Marquis , Oriol Artime , Riccardo Gallotti , Marc Barthelemy

With the rapid advances of data acquisition techniques, spatio-temporal data are becoming increasingly abundant in a diverse array of disciplines. Here we develop spatio-temporal regression methodology for analyzing large amounts of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-01 Ting Fung Ma , Fangfang Wang , Jun Zhu , Anthony R. Ives , Katarzyna E. Lewińska

An integrated European Research Area (ERA) is a critical component for a more competitive and open European R&D system. However, the impact of EU-specific integration policies aimed at overcoming innovation barriers associated with national…

A robust estimator is proposed for the parameters that characterize the linear regression problem. It is based on the notion of shrinkages, often used in Finance and previously studied for outlier detection in multivariate data. A thorough…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Elisa Cabana , Rosa E. Lillo , Henry Laniado

Quantile regression, the prediction of conditional quantiles, finds applications in various fields. Often, some or all of the variables are discrete. The authors propose two new quantile regression approaches to handle such mixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-24 Niklas Schallhorn , Daniel Kraus , Thomas Nagler , Claudia Czado

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, modified the relations between cities of the former communist bloc. The European and worldwide reorientation of interactions that followed raises the question of the actual state of historical…

General Economics · Economics 2019-11-04 Natalia Zdanowska

During the last decades, public policies become a central pillar in supporting and stabilising agricultural sector. In 1962, EU policy-makers developed the so-called Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) to ensure competitiveness and a common…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-16 Marusca De Castris , Daniele Di Gennaro

Environmental and climate processes are often distributed over large space-time domains. Their complexity and the amount of available data make modelling and analysis a challenging task. Statistical modelling of environment and climate data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Behnaz Pirzamanbein

Extremiles provide a generalization of quantiles which are not only robust, but also have an intrinsic link with extreme value theory. This paper introduces an extremile regression model tailored for functional covariate spaces. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Maria Laura Battagliola , Martin Bladt

We use a new method of studying the Hurst exponent with time and scale dependency. This new approach allow us to recover the major events affecting worldwide markets (such as the September 11th terrorist attack) and analyze the way those…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 J. A. O. Matos , S. M. A. Gama , H. J. Ruskin , A. Sharkasi , M. Crane

Kulldorff's (1997) seminal paper on spatial scan statistics (SSS) has led to many methods considering different regions of interest, different statistical models, and different approximations while also having numerous applications in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-13 Mingxuan Han , Michael Matheny , Jeff M. Phillips

Socio-economic inequalities derived from an exhaustive wealth distribution is studied in a closed geographical region from Transylvania (Romania). Exhaustive wealth data is computed from the agricultural records of the Sancraiu commune for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-02 István Gere , Szabolcs Kelemen , Tamás S. Biró , Zoltán Néda