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In this paper, we introduce quantile coherency to measure general dependence structures emerging in the joint distribution in the frequency domain and argue that this type of dependence is natural for economic time series but remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Jozef Baruník , Tobias Kley

This study analyses, through cross-section estimation methods, the influence of spatial effects in the conditional product convergence in the parishes' economies of mainland Portugal between 1991 and 2001 (the last year with data available…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-26 Vitor Joao Pereira Domingues Martinho

Treatment effects in a wide range of economic, environmental, and epidemiological applications often vary across space, and understanding the heterogeneity of causal effects across space and outcome quantiles is a critical challenge in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yan Gong , Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Raphaël Huser

We investigate nonparametric regression methods based on spatial depth and quantiles when the response and the covariate are both functions. As in classical quantile regression for finite dimensional data, regression techniques developed…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Joydeep Chowdhury , Probal Chaudhuri

This paper examines the degree of integration at euro area financial markets. To that end, we estimate overall and country-specific integration indices based on a panel vector-autoregression with factor stochastic volatility. Our results…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-13 Martin Feldkircher , Karin Klieber

The aim of the present article is to offer a strictly mathematical, statistical treatment of the current account balances in EU and in the Eurozone. Based on Eurostat data, an overview of the total and annual balances is first made for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-26 Dimitris Sardelis

Expected Shortfall (ES), also known as superquantile or Conditional Value-at-Risk, has been recognized as an important measure in risk analysis and stochastic optimization, and is also finding applications beyond these areas. In finance, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Most of the analytical techniques used in the business cycle synchronisation literature rely upon the estimation of an empirical correlation matrix of time series data of macroeconomic aggregates, real GDP usually being the key variable.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Paul Ormerod

This is the first study that attempts to assess the regional economic impacts of the European Institute of Innovation and Technology (EIT) investments in a spatially explicit macroeconomic model, which allows us to take into account all key…

General Economics · Economics 2019-12-17 Olga Ivanova , d'Artis Kancs , Mark Thissen

Quantile regression has become a valuable tool to analyze heterogeneous covaraite-response associations that are often encountered in practice. The development of quantile regression methodology for high-dimensional covariates primarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-06 Qi Zheng , Limin Peng , Xuming He

This handbook chapter provides an essential introduction to the field of spatial econometrics, offering a comprehensive overview of techniques and methodologies for analysing spatial data in the social sciences. Spatial econometrics…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-20 Tobias Rüttenauer

Can we use data on the biographies of historical figures to estimate the GDP per capita of countries and regions? Here we introduce a machine learning method to estimate the GDP per capita of dozens of countries and hundreds of regions in…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-15 Philipp Koch , Viktor Stojkoski , César A. Hidalgo

We report on an empirical study of the main strategies for quantile regression in the context of stochastic computer experiments. To ensure adequate diversity, six metamodels are presented, divided into three categories based on order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-22 Léonard Torossian , Victor Picheny , Robert Faivre , Aurélien Garivier

The paper studies the nowcasting of Euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth using mixed data sampling machine learning panel data regressions with both standard macro releases and daily news data. Using a panel of 19 Euro area…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-30 Andrii Babii , Luca Barbaglia , Eric Ghysels , Jonas Striaukas

This paper addresses the challenge of integrating sequentially arriving data within the quantile regression framework, where the number of features is allowed to grow with the number of observations, the horizon is unknown, and memory is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Yinan Shen , Dong Xia , Wen-Xin Zhou

Extremal dependence between international stock markets is of particular interest in today's global financial landscape. However, previous studies have shown this dependence is not necessarily stationary over time. We concern ourselves with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-06 Daniela Castro Camilo , Miguel de Carvalho , Jennifer Wadsworth

Recent advances in the urban science make broad use of the notion of scaling. We focus here on the important scaling relationship between the gross metropolitan product (GMP) of a city and its population (pop). It has been demonstrated that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-28 Emanuele Strano , Vishal Sood

Compositional data, such as regional shares of economic sectors or property transactions, are central to understanding structural change in economic systems across space and time. This paper introduces a spatiotemporal multivariate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-16 Matthias Eckardt , Philipp Otto

Spatiotemporal modeling of economic aggregates is increasingly relevant in regional science due to the presence of both spatial spillovers and temporal dynamics. Traditional temporal disaggregation methods, such as Chow-Lin, often ignore…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 A. Tobar , A. Mir , R. Alberich , I. Garcia Mosquera , M. Miró , NA. Cruz

We introduce EA-MD-QD, a new publicly available dataset comprising 1136 macroeconomic time series for the euro area (EA) and its ten largest member countries observed at monthly or quarterly frequency. Since January 2024, EA-MD-QD has been…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-21 Matteo Barigozzi , Claudio Lissona , Lorenzo Tonni