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Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) is a methodology to identify experiments that are expected to yield informative data. Recent work in cognitive science considered BOED for computational models of human behavior with tractable and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Simon Valentin , Steven Kleinegesse , Neil R. Bramley , Michael U. Gutmann , Christopher G. Lucas

Replication studies are essential for assessing the credibility of claims from original studies. A critical aspect of designing replication studies is determining their sample size; a too small sample size may lead to inconclusive studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 Samuel Pawel , Guido Consonni , Leonhard Held

Algorithms which compute locally optimal continuous designs often rely on a finite design space or on repeatedly solving a complex non-linear program. Both methods require extensive evaluations of the Jacobian Df of the underlying model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-18 Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Michael Bortz

The real-world testing of decisions made using causal machine learning models is an essential prerequisite for their successful application. We focus on evaluating and improving contextual treatment assignment decisions: these are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Desi R. Ivanova , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Adam Foster

We propose an algorithm for Bayesian functional optimisation - that is, finding the function to optimise a process - guided by experimenter beliefs and intuitions regarding the expected characteristics (length-scale, smoothness, cyclicity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Alistair Shilton , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

Cumulative link models have been widely used for ordered categorical responses. Uniform allocation of experimental units is commonly used in practice, but often suffers from a lack of efficiency. We consider D-optimal designs with ordered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Jie Yang , Liping Tong , Abhyuday Mandal

Microplastics contamination is one of the most rapidly growing research topics. However, monitoring microplastics contamination in the environment presents both logistical and statistical challenges, particularly when constrained resources…

DuMouchel and Jones (1994) proposed the Bayesian D criterion by modifying the D-optimality approach to reduce dependence of the selected design on an assumed model. This criterion has been applied to select various single-stratum designs…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-30 Chang-Yun Lin

Discrete choice experiments (DCEs) investigate the attributes that influence individuals' choices when selecting among various options. To enhance the quality of the estimated choice models, researchers opt for Bayesian optimal designs that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Yicheng Mao , Roselinde Kessels , Tom van der Zanden

The Design of Experiments (DOEs) is a fundamental scientific methodology that provides researchers with systematic principles and techniques to enhance the validity, reliability, and efficiency of experimental outcomes. In this study, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Miao Huang , Hongqiao Wang , Kunyu Wu

We study the optimal design problems where the goal is to choose a set of linear measurements to obtain the most accurate estimate of an unknown vector in $d$ dimensions. We study the $A$-optimal design variant where the objective is to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-07-18 Aleksandar Nikolov , Mohit Singh , Uthaipon Tao Tantipongpipat

Bayesian optimal design is a well-established approach to planning experiments. A distribution for the responses, i.e. a statistical model, is assumed which is dependent on unknown parameters. A utility function is then specified giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Antony M. Overstall , Jacinta Holloway-Brown , James M. McGree

Inferring the causal structure of a system typically requires interventional data, rather than just observational data. Since interventional experiments can be costly, it is preferable to select interventions that yield the maximum amount…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Michele Zemplenyi , Jeffrey W. Miller

Most computational approaches to Bayesian experimental design require making posterior calculations repeatedly for a large number of potential designs and/or simulated datasets. This can be expensive and prohibit scaling up these methods to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-18 Dennis Prangle , Sophie Harbisher , Colin S Gillespie

Computational models are powerful tools for understanding human cognition and behavior. They let us express our theories clearly and precisely, and offer predictions that can be subtle and often counter-intuitive. However, this same…

In discrete choice experiments, the information matrix depends on the model parameters. Therefore designing optimally informative experiments for arbitrary initial parameters often yields highly nonlinear optimization problems and makes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Frank Röttger , Thomas Kahle , Rainer Schwabe

The ability to design effective experiments is crucial for obtaining data that can substantially reduce the uncertainty in the predictions made using computational models. An optimal experimental design (OED) refers to the choice of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Troy Butler , John Jakeman , Michael Pilosov , Scott Walsh , Timothy Wildey

Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

We present a unified deterministic approach for experimental design problems using the method of interlacing polynomials. Our framework recovers the best-known approximation guarantees for the well-studied D/A/E-design problems with simple…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Lap Chi Lau , Robert Wang , Hong Zhou

Bayesian approaches developed to solve the optimal design of sequential experiments are mathematically elegant but computationally challenging. Recently, techniques using amortization have been proposed to make these Bayesian approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Tom Blau , Edwin V. Bonilla , Iadine Chades , Amir Dezfouli