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Surrogate models are extensively employed for forward and inverse uncertainty quantification in complex, computation-intensive engineering problems. Nonetheless, constructing high-accuracy surrogate models for complex dynamical systems with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Zhouzhou Song , Weiyun Xu , Marcos A. Valdebenito , Matthias G. R. Faes

This paper presents a wind farm layout optimization framework that integrates polynomial chaos expansion, a Kriging model, and the expected improvement algorithm. The proposed framework addresses the computational challenges associated with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Yi-Xiao Shao , Zhen-Fan Wang , Shine Win Naung , Kai Zhang , Yufeng Yao , Dai Zhou

Optimization problems with rank constraints arise in many applications, including matrix regression, structured PCA, matrix completion and matrix decomposition problems. An attractive heuristic for solving such problems is to factorize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Yudong Chen , Martin J. Wainwright

Kriging-based surrogate models have become very popular during the last decades to approximate a computer code output from few simulations. In practical applications, it is very common to sequentially add new simulations to obtain more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-31 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela

Gradient-enhanced Kriging (GE-Kriging) is a well-established surrogate modelling technique for approximating expensive computational models. However, it tends to get impractical for high-dimensional problems due to the size of the inherent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-05 Kai Cheng , Ralf Zimmermann

In the last few decades, the size of spatial and spatio-temporal datasets in many research areas has rapidly increased with the development of data collection technologies. As a result, classical statistical methods in spatial statistics…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-11-08 Sameh Abdulah , Faten Alamri , Pratik Nag , Ying Sun , Hatem Ltaief , David E. Keyes , Marc G. Genton

We propose a few-shot learning method for spatial regression. Although Gaussian processes (GPs) have been successfully used for spatial regression, they require many observations in the target task to achieve a high predictive performance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-12 Tomoharu Iwata , Yusuke Tanaka

Automated sensing instruments on satellites and aircraft have enabled the collection of massive amounts of high-resolution observations of spatial fields over large spatial regions. If these datasets can be efficiently exploited, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-08 Matthias Katzfuss

Covariance tapering is a popular approach for reducing the computational cost of spatial prediction and parameter estimation for Gaussian process models. However, tapering can have poor performance when the process is sampled at spatially…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-22 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

In the present work, we consider multi-fidelity surrogate modelling to fuse the output of multiple aero-servo-elastic computer simulators of varying complexity. In many instances, predictions from multiple simulators for the same quantity…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-25 I. Abdallah , C. Lataniotis , B. Sudret

Treeging combines the flexible mean structure of regression trees with the covariance-based prediction strategy of kriging into the base learner of an ensemble prediction algorithm. In so doing, it combines the strengths of the two primary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Gregory L. Watson , Michael Jerrett , Colleen E. Reid , Donatello Telesca

Spatial prediction problems often use Gaussian process models, which can be computationally burdensome in high dimensions. Specification of an appropriate covariance function for the model can be challenging when complex non-stationarities…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Qi Wang , Paul A. Parker , Robert B. Lund

Informative sampling designs can impact spatial prediction, or kriging, in two important ways. First, the sampling design can bias spatial covariance parameter estimation, which in turn can bias spatial kriging estimates. Second, even with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-30 Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle , Ranadeep Daw

Functional Ordinary Kriging is the most widely used method to predict a curve at a given spatial point. However, uncertainty remains an open issue. In this article a distribution-free prediction method based on two different modulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-01 Anna De Magistris , Andrea Diana , Elvira Romano

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

Numerical computing of the rank of a matrix is a fundamental problem in scientific computation. The datasets generated by the internet often correspond to the analysis of high-dimensional sparse matrices. Notwithstanding recent advances in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Chen Zhao , Yuqing Liu , Li Hu , Zhengzhong Yuan

Classical Gaussian processes and Kriging models are commonly based on stationary kernels, whereby correlations between observations depend exclusively on the relative distance between scattered data. While this assumption ensures analytical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Gianluca Audone , Francesco Marchetti , Emma Perracchione , Milvia Rossini

Gaussian processes (GP) and Kriging are widely used in traditional spatio-temporal mod-elling and prediction. These techniques typically presuppose that the data are observed from a stationary GP with parametric covariance structure.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Pratik Nag , Ying Sun , Brian J Reich

We consider bi-objective ranking and selection problems, where the goal is to correctly identify the Pareto optimal solutions among a finite set of candidates for which the two objective outcomes have been observed with uncertainty (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-29 Sebastian Rojas Gonzalez , Juergen Branke , Inneke van Nieuwenhuyse

Stochastic kriging is a popular metamodeling technique for representing the unknown response surface of a simulation model. However, the simulation model may be inadequate in the sense that there may be a non-negligible discrepancy between…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Lu Zou , Xiaowei Zhang