English
Related papers

Related papers: Online Forecasting of Total-Variation-bounded Sequ…

200 papers

We consider the problem of online learning in Linear Quadratic Control systems whose state transition and state-action transition matrices $A$ and $B$ may be initially unknown. We devise an online learning algorithm and provide guarantees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

We study algorithms for online linear optimization in Hilbert spaces, focusing on the case where the player is unconstrained. We develop a novel characterization of a large class of minimax algorithms, recovering, and even improving,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-22 H. Brendan McMahan , Francesco Orabona

We study online learning problems in which a decision maker has to take a sequence of decisions subject to $m$ long-term constraints. The goal of the decision maker is to maximize their total reward, while at the same time achieving small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Matteo Castiglioni , Andrea Celli , Alberto Marchesi , Giulia Romano , Nicola Gatti

We study online conformal prediction for non-stationary data streams subject to unknown distribution drift. While most prior work studied this problem under adversarial settings and/or assessed performance in terms of gaps of time-averaged…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jiadong Liang , Zhimei Ren , Yuxin Chen

We propose a version of the follow-the-perturbed-leader online prediction algorithm in which the cumulative losses are perturbed by independent symmetric random walks. The forecaster is shown to achieve an expected regret of the optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-26 Luc Devroye , Gábor Lugosi , Gergely Neu

We consider prediction with expert advice for strongly convex and bounded losses, and investigate trade-offs between regret and "variance" (i.e., squared difference of learner's predictions and best expert predictions). With $K$ experts,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

We consider a family of learning strategies for online optimization problems that evolve in continuous time and we show that they lead to no regret. From a more traditional, discrete-time viewpoint, this continuous-time approach allows us…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-28 Joon Kwon , Panayotis Mertikopoulos

We consider a variant of online convex optimization in which both the instances (input vectors) and the comparator (weight vector) are unconstrained. We exploit a natural scale invariance symmetry in our unconstrained setting: the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-24 Wojciech Kotłowski

We study nonparametric regression over Besov spaces from noisy observations under sub-exponential noise, aiming to achieve minimax-optimal guarantees on the integrated squared error that hold with high probability and adapt to the unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Paul Liautaud , Pierre Gaillard , Olivier Wintenberger

We consider the problem of online prediction in a marginally stable linear dynamical system subject to bounded adversarial or (non-isotropic) stochastic perturbations. This poses two challenges. Firstly, the system is in general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Udaya Ghai , Holden Lee , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang , Yi Zhang

Reflecting the greater significance of recent history over the distant past in non-stationary environments, $\lambda$-discounted regret has been introduced in online convex optimization (OCO) to gracefully forget past data as new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Wenhao Yang , Sifan Yang , Lijun Zhang

We study online prediction for marginally stable, partially observed linear dynamical systems under nonstochastic disturbances. Our objective is to minimize the cumulative squared prediction loss and compete with the best-in-hindsight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Chih-Fan Pai , Yang Zheng

Algorithmic stability is a classical approach to understanding and analysis of the generalization error of learning algorithms. A notable weakness of most stability-based generalization bounds is that they hold only in expectation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Vitaly Feldman , Jan Vondrak

We revisit the challenge of designing online algorithms for the bandit convex optimization problem (BCO) which are also scalable to high dimensional problems. Hence, we consider algorithms that are \textit{projection-free}, i.e., based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Dan Garber , Ben Kretzu

We consider the problem of online linear regression on individual sequences. The goal in this paper is for the forecaster to output sequential predictions which are, after $T$ time rounds, almost as good as the ones output by the best…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-17 Sébastien Gerchinovitz , Jia Yuan Yu

This paper studies spectral approximation for a positive semidefinite matrix in the online setting. It is known in [Cohen et al. APPROX 2016] that we can construct a spectral approximation of a given $n \times d$ matrix in the online…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Masataka Gohda , Naonori Kakimura

We study the problem of predicting the results of computations that are too expensive to run, via the observation of the results of smaller computations. We model this as an online learning problem with delayed feedback, where the length of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Scott Garrabrant , Nate Soares , Jessica Taylor

We revisit the classical problem of universal prediction of stochastic sequences with a finite time horizon $T$ known to the learner. The question we investigate is whether it is possible to derive vanishing regret bounds that hold with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Matthias Frey , Jonathan H. Manton , Jingge Zhu

Consider an online convex optimization problem where the loss functions are self-concordant barriers, smooth relative to a convex function $h$, and possibly non-Lipschitz. We analyze the regret of online mirror descent with $h$. Then, based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-22 Chung-En Tsai , Hao-Chung Cheng , Yen-Huan Li

Universal online learning aims to achieve optimal regret guarantees without requiring prior knowledge of the curvature of online functions. Existing methods have established minimax-optimal regret bounds for universal online learning, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Peng Zhao , Yu-Hu Yan , Hang Yu , Zhi-Hua Zhou